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4336 Southern Ave SE
D+ Composite 48.89
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.1/15.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,000

4336 Southern Ave SE · Washington, DC 20019
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,070 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 82 Days on market
Built 1924 4,667 sqft lot Est $341k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor opportunity! 3-bedroom single-family home with 2,400+ sq ft being sold as-is. Currently configured as a 3-bedroom with potential to expand to 4 or 5 bedrooms. Previously issued permit and full architectural plans available to contracted buyers. Two adjoining lots (4338 & 4340 Southern Ave SE) are available for separate purchase, offering the opportunity to develop three semi-detached properties and transform the entire corner. Don't miss this value-add play in a prime location. Proof of funds required with all offers.

Key facts

  • 4,667 sq ft lot
  • Built 1924
  • Listed 82 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas hot water
  • Home design: Detached structure; Above-grade and below-grade living areas
  • Construction: Brick construction; Permanent foundation; Estimated year built
  • Exterior features: No tidal water

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level; Two bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on first upper level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; Has one fireplace; Basement with interior access; Partially finished basement; Doors swing in (accessibility)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $57 ($681/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (16.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $250k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.5% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#1 in DC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • District Of Columbia Public Schools (urban): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #8 of 32 in DC (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Beers Es (372 students, 0% FRL); Sousa Ms (215 students, 0% FRL); Anacostia Hs (287 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 65% district-wide (65 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 281 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,737 units permitted in District of Columbia in 2024 (1,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,501/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 5115% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • District of Columbia County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $100k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $250,137 (16.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.52%
Cash-on-cash
0.81%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$341,330
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4012 Will St 0.14mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,089 (+2%) 7mo $190,000 $174 80
4214 Vine St 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,170 (+9%) 4mo $305,000 $261 65
1402 Edgewick Ave 0.41mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,010 (-6%) 2mo $210,150 $208 63
4014 Byers St 0.26mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (-12%) 2mo $175,000 $187 60
1135 46th St SE 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,160 (+8%) 6mo $370,000 $319 56
4602 Boosa St 0.44mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,074 (+0%) 16mo $375,000 $349 53
4308 Byers St 0.47mi 4/2.0 (+1) 966 (-10%) 3mo $330,000 $342 50
1011 Balboa 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,152 (+8%) 6mo $190,000 $165 48
1915 Lakewood St 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,100 (+3%) 13mo $445,000 $405 47
4814 Gunther St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,160 (+8%) 12mo $320,000 $276 37
1122 Drum Ave 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 960 (-10%) 14mo $400,000 $417 34
4728 Quadrant St 0.65mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,224 (+14%) 14mo $444,000 $363 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.9%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-36,953
Equity at exit
$44,582
10-year hold
IRR
1.0%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$6,946
Equity at exit
$25,852

Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State District of Columbia
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
County
— inherits STATE
City Washington
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
Rent Stabilization Program; TOPA gives tenants right of first refusal.

ZIP-level market 20019

Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
281
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,501 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,568
Tax from tax record
$227 /mo · $2,721/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$525
Net cashflow
$57

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,430
Max offer price $299,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $226 -5% $141 +0% $57 +5% $-28 +10% $-113
Rent -10% $-141 -5% $-42 +0% $57 +5% $156 +10% $254
Rate -1.0pp $207 -0.5pp $133 base $57 +0.5pp $-21 +1.0pp $-100

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,750
Closing costs
$8,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4348 Southern Ave SE Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 860 $2,400 $2.79 20d 1 0.02mi
1201 Benning Rd Capitol Heights, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0 854 $2,090 $2.45 1d 43 0.39mi
4632 Hillside Rd SE Unit 1 Washington, DC 4.0 2.0 1222 $3,000 $2.45 26d 1 0.40mi
4648 Hillside Rd SE Apt 1 Washington, DC 4.0 2.0 1389 $4,200 $3.02 26d 1 0.42mi
4308 Alton St Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,500 $2.27 45d 1 0.47mi
812 Burns St SE Washington, DC 3.0 2.5 1280 $3,300 $2.58 26d 1 0.47mi
5037 Benning Rd SE Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 1184 $3,100 $2.62 26d 1 0.48mi
1210 Balboa Ave Unit B Capitol Heights, MD 2.0 1.0 858 $1,095 $1.28 45d 1 0.48mi
1193 46th Pl SE Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 1056 $3,200 $3.03 26d 1 0.49mi
4213 Hildreth St SE Washington, DC 2.0 1.5 832 $2,500 $3.00 26d 1 0.49mi
1559 41st St SE Unit 1546448P Washington, DC 4.0 2.0 1022 $2,926 $2.86 9d 1 0.53mi
1111 Balboa Ave Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 1.0 864 $2,000 $2.31 20d 1 0.55mi
4113 Southern Ave SE Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 1.0–1.5 816 $1,950 $2.39 1d 49 0.60mi
4601 Pistachio Ln Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 2.5 1376 $2,795 $2.03 19d 1 0.63mi
4318 G St SE Washington, DC 2.0 2.5 1376 $2,500 $1.82 20d 1 0.67mi
608 Chaplin St SE Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 832 $2,200 $2.64 20d 1 0.68mi
4332 Gorman Ter SE Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 832 $2,350 $2.82 24d 1 0.68mi
3935 S St SE #304 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 735 $2,500 $3.40 26d 1 0.77mi
3937 S St SE #108 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 751 $1,750 $2.33 9d 1 0.77mi
912 Elfin Ave Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 2.0 1028 $2,000 $1.95 45d 1 0.82mi
3915 Pennsylvania Ave SE Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 782 $2,500 $3.20 26d 1 0.83mi
2217 Gaylord Dr Suitland, MD 3.0 1.0 1216 $2,450 $2.01 6d 1 0.84mi
5119 E St SE Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 941 $4,000 $4.25 21d 1 0.84mi
1513 Pacific Ave Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 1.0 1008 $2,450 $2.43 45d 1 0.84mi
1205 Mentor Ave Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 1.0 1400 $3,000 $2.14 45d 1 0.86mi
5005 D St SE #104 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 772 $1,700 $2.20 7d 1 0.88mi
3930 Suitland Rd Suitland, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 772 $1,650 $2.14 0d 27 0.89mi
2232 Houston St Suitland, MD 3.0 1.0 1216 $2,500 $2.06 45d 1 0.92mi
2301 Houston St Suitland, MD 3.0 1.0 1216 $2,200 $1.81 24d 1 0.93mi
3930 Stone Gate Dr Suitland, MD 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,750 $1.67 45d 1 0.93mi
3936 Stone Gate Dr Unit D Suitland, MD 2.0 1.0 870 $1,800 $2.07 15d 1 0.93mi
3928 Stone Gate Dr Unit D Suitland, MD 3.0 1.5 1031 $1,700 $1.65 20d 1 0.94mi
3901 Suitland Rd Suitland, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 816 $1,555 $1.90 1d 9 1.04mi
4473 B St SE #304 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 775 $1,999 $2.58 24d 1 1.05mi
5401 Call Pl SE Washington, DC 2.0–3.0 1.0 1094 $2,626 $2.40 4d 2 1.07mi
5225 Marlboro Pike Capitol Heights, MD 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1050 $2,038 $1.94 3d 3 1.08mi
4511 B St SE Washington, DC 1.0–2.0 1.0 675 $1,650 $2.44 26d 2 1.10mi
3738 D St SE Washington, DC 1.0–2.0 1.0 542 $1,549 $2.86 0d 10 1.10mi
5344 C St SE Unit 102 Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 1000 $2,499 $2.50 26d 1 1.11mi
5344 C St SE Unit 302 Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 1000 $2,100 $2.10 26d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $299,000 Active 82 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,000 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,000 Active 78 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,000 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,000 Active 76 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $299,000 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,000 Active 70 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,000 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $299,000 Active 68 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $299,000 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $299,000 Active 64 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $299,000 Active 63 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $299,000 Active 62 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,000 Active 61 DOM
  15. 2026-04-13
    price $299,000
  16. 2026-03-31
    listed $399,000 Active
  17. 2025-12-17
    historical
  18. 2025-09-25
    listed $425,000 Active
  19. 2025-09-24
    historical
  20. 2025-06-16
    listed $425,000 Active
  21. 2025-06-09
    historical
  22. 2022-11-01
    historical
  23. 2022-09-06
    listed $825,000 Active
  24. 2020-08-18
    historical
  25. 2020-06-17
    listed $800,000 Active
  26. 2006-10-04
    soldstatus $335,000
  27. 1991-01-03
    soldstatus $100,000
  28. 1990-07-12
    soldstatus $51,583

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast DC · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,721 · $227/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,721 · $227/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,016
− Mortgage interest
−$16,749
− Property taxes
−$2,721
− Insurance
−$1,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,401
− Management
−$2,401
− Depreciation
−$8,698
Taxable loss
−$4,449
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,068
After-tax cash flow
$1,749/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
District Of Columbia Public Schools
NCES district ID
1100030
Math proficiency
33% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$67,671
Composite
35.84/100
National rank
#9606
State rank
#8 of 32 in DC

Livability — Washington

Score
73/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#5327

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Washington, DC
County
District of Columbia · 671,873 people
City population
671,873
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
63,380
Household income
$58,296
Rent vs Own
58.2% rent · 41.8% own
Severe rent burden
5115.0

Population outlook (District of Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
821,926 people
By 2030
899,517 · +9.4%
By 2040
1,061,162 · +29.1%
By 2050
1,231,493 · +49.8%
By 2075
1,603,312 · +95.1%
By 2100
1,847,141 · +124.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (87%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 87% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% White 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Dominican 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · District of Columbia

2024 margin
Solid D (+86.1) · D 91.2% · R 5.1% · Other 3.8%
2008→2024 swing
+0.1pp no change · 2008: 85.9pp · 2024: 86.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+86.1 2020: D+86.8 2016: D+88.7 2012: D+84.2 2008: D+85.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -416.91%
Current HPI
326.4481
Rent YoY
▲ 6.06%
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.33%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in DC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+479.6% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $299,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $399,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-17 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-25 Listed $425,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-24 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-16 Listed $425,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-09 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-11-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-09-06 Listed $825,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-08-18 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-06-17 Listed $800,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $335,000 Public Records
  • 1991-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 1990-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $51,583 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,721 · -82.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…