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3950 Homedale Rd Unit 8
B+ Composite 76.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

3950 Homedale Rd Unit 8 · Altamont, OR 97603
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,404 sqft · Manufactured public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1998 $57/sqft · 26% below area Est $109k · 26% under ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well maintained home in a clean park, easy maintenance, move in ready! Primary suite has large claw foot tub for soaking, bedrooms is large with room for an offer. Storage shed in covered parking and garden shed in back for lots of storage. Newer paver back patio great for entertaining and relaxing.

Key facts

  • Storage shed
  • Paver back patio
  • Garden shed

Tags

CLAW FOOT TUBSTORAGE SHEDGARDEN SHEDPAVER BACK PATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $837 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.9% vs local median 3.7% in Altamont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#195 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, crime F.
  • Klamath County SD (rural): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #46 of 58 in OR (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 232 units permitted in Klamath County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Klamath County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $75,200 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.11%
Cap rate
18.85%
Cash-on-cash
44.86%
DSCR
3.00
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$108,741
List price
$80,000
Delta
-26.43%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5131 Bristol Ave 0.08mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,296 (-8%) 2mo $168,000 $130 77
3950 Homedale Rd Unit 44 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-11%) 15mo $90,000 $72 69
5602 Denver Ave #1 0.31mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+3%) 18mo $64,500 $45 61
4647 Winter Ave Spc 55 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,260 (-10%) 9mo $79,000 $63 61
4647 Winter Ave #54 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-8%) 15mo $82,500 $64 60
5445 Winterfield Way 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,404 (0%) 14mo $263,000 $187 57
5546 Winterfield Way 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+8%) 11mo $265,000 $175 44
2839 Kane St 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,568 (+12%) 9mo $315,000 $201 41
5461 Winterfield Way 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-8%) 21mo $250,000 $193 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.8% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.8%
Equity multiple
2.86×
Total profit
$41,736
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
49.2%
Equity multiple
5.94×
Total profit
$110,700
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97603

Rents YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
263
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,688 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $521/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$355
Net cashflow
$837

Break-even live

Break-even rent $628
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 45%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4195 Bristol Ct Klamath Falls, OR 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,350 $1.25 43d 1 0.40mi
3039 Kane St Klamath Falls, OR 3.0 2.0 988 $1,395 $1.41 43d 1 0.50mi
4306 Fargo St Klamath Falls, OR 3.0 2.0 1288 $1,850 $1.44 43d 1 0.65mi
4831 Darwin Pl Klamath Falls, OR 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,475 $1.35 43d 1 0.93mi
3823 Kelley Dr Klamath Falls, OR 3.0 3.0 1600 $2,000 $1.25 43d 1 0.96mi
2439 Homedale Rd Klamath Falls, OR 3.0 1.0 1320 $1,400 $1.06 43d 1 0.96mi
4305 Altamont Dr Klamath Falls, OR 4.0 2.0 1712 $2,300 $1.34 43d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    price $80,000 301-char remark
    Show marketing remark (301 chars)

    Well maintained home in a clean park, easy maintenance, move in ready! Primary suite has large claw foot tub for soaking, bedrooms is large with room for an offer. Storage shed in covered parking and garden shed in back for lots of storage. Newer paver back patio great for entertaining and relaxing.

  2. 2026-03-06
    listed $85,000 Active 301-char remark
    Show marketing remark (301 chars)

    Well maintained home in a clean park, easy maintenance, move in ready! Primary suite has large claw foot tub for soaking, bedrooms is large with room for an offer. Storage shed in covered parking and garden shed in back for lots of storage. Newer paver back patio great for entertaining and relaxing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$521 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$776 · $65/mo
Expected delta
+$255/yr (+$21/mo · 49.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 38 unhealthy d/yr today · 39 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,259
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$521
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,621
− Management
−$1,621
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$9,288
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,229
After-tax cash flow
$7,820/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Klamath County SD
NCES district ID
4107020
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$44,906
Composite
24.83/100
National rank
#7593
State rank
#46 of 58 in OR

Livability — Altamont

Score
65/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#12638

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Altamont, OR
County
Klamath County · 56,186 people
Metro
Klamath Falls, OR
Population (ZIP)
33,222
Household income
$66,937
Rent vs Own
29.7% rent · 70.3% own
Severe rent burden
1147.0

Population outlook (Klamath County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,870 people
By 2030
62,279 · -2.5%
By 2040
58,891 · -7.8%
By 2050
56,207 · -12.0%
By 2075
51,239 · -19.8%
By 2100
46,526 · -27.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 13% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Italian 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Klamath

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.9) · D 27.9% · R 69.8% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: -33.1pp · 2024: -41.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.9 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+38.2 2008: R+33.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.75%
Current HPI
198.1814
Rent YoY
▲ 3.80%
Metro
Klamath Falls, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $80,000 MLSCO
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $85,000 MLSCO

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $521 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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