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1125 Ridgewood Dr
C- Composite 53.03
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.2/30.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,900

1125 Ridgewood Dr · Lillian, AL 36549
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 12 Days on market
Built 2000 7,056 sqft lot Est $142k · at est. $74/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

BIG REDUCTION. .. Affordable Living In Spanish Cove. .. This mobile home and corner lot is located in Perdido Pines, Spanish Cove and offers two bedrooms, two baths, kitchen appliances, carport, concrete parking, and storage building. Enjoy the amenities of Spanish Cove such as: heated pool, beach area, clubhouses, fishing pier, tennis courts, parks, and 25 hour security. Check it Out.

Key facts

  • Boat parking
  • Soaking tub
  • Ensuite bath

Tags

CORNER LOTBOAT PARKINGEAT-UP KITCHEN ISLANDENSUITE BATHSOAKING TUBWALK-IN SHOWER

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee ($74) covering management, clubhouse, common area insurance, grounds maintenance, pest control, pool, recreational facilities, reserve funds, security, common area taxes, and trash; Community amenities include BBQ area, clubhouse, common lobby, conference/meeting rooms, covered entry, fitness center, fishing, game room, on-site management, outdoor pool, and playground; Transfer fees apply

Exterior

  • Parking: Single carport (1 covered space)
  • Security: Community security (via association)
  • Utilities: Perdido Bay Water; Baldwin County sewer service; Riviera Utilities
  • Home design: Mobile home; One story; Resale condition; Corner location
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block construction; Composition and metal roof
  • Exterior features: Storage; Community/association pool; Less than 1 acre lot; No waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom with attached bath
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Primary bath with soaking tub and separate shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; En-suite; Living/Dining layout; Dining/kitchen combo; No fireplace; Storage (exterior access)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located inside and in a common area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.1% in Lillian — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#97 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Baldwin County (rural): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #18 of 129 in AL (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Elberta Elementary School (math 47% / reading 65%, grade C+, #83 of 627 statewide, top 13%, 884 students, 58% FRL); Elberta Middle School (math 21% / reading 67%, grade D, #42 of 257 statewide, top 17%, 267 students, 63% FRL); Elberta High School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #47 of 305 statewide, top 17%, 784 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 38% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 3,883 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (481 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baldwin County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $145k implies a 408% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $144,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.03%
Cash-on-cash
6.20%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$142,296
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
741 Buena Vista Dr 0.34mi 1/1.5 (-1) 922 (-0%) 1mo $134,000 $145 76
106 Portage Cir 0.36mi 2/1.0 940 (+2%) 7mo $145,000 $154 70
685 Escambia Loop 0.33mi 2/2.0 1,000 (+8%) 2mo $152,000 $152 69
476 Buena Vista Dr 0.52mi 2/1.0 950 (+3%) 3mo $130,000 $137 65
241 Defuniak Loop 0.28mi 2/1.0 1,016 (+10%) 3mo $160,000 $157 64
1561 Valencia Dr 0.48mi 2/2.0 980 (+6%) 6mo $129,000 $132 63
1413 Ridgewood Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 (+1) 924 (0%) 8mo $85,000 $92 62
1686 Santa Cruz Dr 0.63mi 2/2.0 952 (+3%) 5mo $165,000 $173 61
657 Escambia Loop 0.39mi 2/1.0 864 (-6%) 8mo $150,000 $174 60
1525 Valencia Dr 0.42mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+14%) 2mo $60,000 $57 55
1347 Ridgewood Dr 0.69mi 2/2.0 840 (-9%) 7mo $180,000 $214 47
420 Buena Vista Dr 0.59mi 2/1.0 804 (-13%) 3mo $143,770 $179 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.7%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-10,059
Equity at exit
$21,605
10-year hold
IRR
3.0%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$8,716
Equity at exit
$12,528

Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36549

Home prices YoY
-7.6%
Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,627 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax est. 1.5%
$181 /mo · $2,174/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$74
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$342
Net cashflow
$210

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,361
Max offer price $144,900
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $310 -5% $260 +0% $210 +5% $160 +10% $109
Rent -10% $81 -5% $145 +0% $210 +5% $274 +10% $338
Rate -1.0pp $283 -0.5pp $246 base $210 +0.5pp $172 +1.0pp $134

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,225
Closing costs
$4,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$74 · $888/yr
Likely covers
poolsecurity

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    status $144,900 Pending 12 DOM
  2. 2026-05-30
    days on market $144,900 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-05-18
    listed $144,900 Active
  4. 2013-02-15
    soldstatus $28,500 388-char remark
    Show marketing remark (388 chars)

    BIG REDUCTION. .. Affordable Living In Spanish Cove. .. This mobile home and corner lot is located in Perdido Pines, Spanish Cove and offers two bedrooms, two baths, kitchen appliances, carport, concrete parking, and storage building. Enjoy the amenities of Spanish Cove such as: heated pool, beach area, clubhouses, fishing pier, tennis courts, parks, and 25 hour security. Check it Out.

  5. 2012-11-16
    listed $29,900 388-char remark
    Show marketing remark (388 chars)

    BIG REDUCTION. .. Affordable Living In Spanish Cove. .. This mobile home and corner lot is located in Perdido Pines, Spanish Cove and offers two bedrooms, two baths, kitchen appliances, carport, concrete parking, and storage building. Enjoy the amenities of Spanish Cove such as: heated pool, beach area, clubhouses, fishing pier, tennis courts, parks, and 25 hour security. Check it Out.

  6. 2010-03-03
    soldstatus $59,800
  7. 2010-01-06
    soldstatus $50,000
  8. 2001-03-30
    soldstatus $11,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,519
− Mortgage interest
−$8,117
− Property taxes
−$2,174
− Insurance
−$724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,562
− Management
−$1,562
− HOA
−$888
− Depreciation
−$4,215
Taxable income
$278
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$67
After-tax cash flow
$2,449/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baldwin County
NCES district ID
0100270
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$50,677
Composite
38.61/100
National rank
#4157
State rank
#18 of 129 in AL

Livability — Lillian

Score
66/100
State rank
#97
US rank
#11371

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
6,152
Population (ZIP)
6,152

Population outlook (Baldwin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,264 people
By 2030
270,315 · +8.9%
By 2040
312,967 · +26.1%
By 2050
352,262 · +41.9%
By 2075
438,841 · +76.8%
By 2100
487,736 · +96.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 7% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Baldwin

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.2) · D 20.5% · R 78.7%
2008→2024 swing
-6.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.5pp · 2024: -58.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.2 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+57.8 2012: R+55.8 2008: R+51.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.45%
Current HPI
285.5902
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1217.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $144,900 BCAR
  • 2013-02-15 Sold (MLS) $28,500 BCAR
  • 2012-11-16 Listed $29,900 BCAR
  • 2010-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $59,800 Public Records
  • 2010-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2001-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $198 · +34.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…