1911 NW Columbia Ave · Lawton, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.4/30.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- ARV discount +3.7/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$117,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice curb appeal showcasing a beautiful wood deck in front. Large workshop in back. Separate dining area and spacious living area.
Key facts
- New gorgeous kitchen
- Granite countertops
- New bathrooms
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential property
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Open parking (no garage)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; Updated/remodeled
- Construction: Brick veneer construction; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation; Built (year not provided)
- Exterior features: Chain link and wood fencing; Shed(s); Public maintained road access; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 55 x 140
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central electric air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Granite counters; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup in kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $118k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (9.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $106k (9.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#206 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, commute F.
- Lawton (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 270 in OK (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Whittier Es (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #479 of 845 statewide, top 63%, 351 students, 0% FRL); Central Ms (math 17% / reading 24%, grade F, #153 of 345 statewide, top 45%, 994 students, 0% FRL); Lawton Hs (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #302 of 447 statewide, top 68%, 1,417 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 209 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $812 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Comanche County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $34k; list at $118k implies a 250% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.24%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $108,270
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1603 NW Columbia Ave | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 1,200 (-0%) | 8mo | $35,000 | $29 | 81 |
| 1742 NW Ash Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-0%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $83 | 78 |
| 732 NW 16th St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 1,200 (-0%) | 3mo | $99,000 | $83 | 75 |
| 1605 NW Columbia Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 1,100 (-9%) | 1mo | $73,800 | $67 | 73 |
| 1416 NW Bell Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-0%) | 3mo | $119,900 | $100 | 70 |
| 1410 NW Columbia Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-0%) | 5mo | $108,000 | $90 | 67 |
| 1703 NW Euclid Ave | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (+8%) | 2mo | $42,000 | $32 | 64 |
| 1722 NW Liberty Ave | 0.46mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-0%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $113 | 63 |
| 1702 NW Euclid Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,300 (+8%) | 7mo | $42,000 | $32 | 62 |
| 1703 NW Lake Ave | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-9%) | 6mo | $135,000 | $123 | 60 |
| 1704 NW Oak Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,092 (-9%) | 1mo | $141,500 | $130 | 45 |
| 1202 NW Oak Ave | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 1,056 (-12%) | 7mo | $117,700 | $111 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-16,264
- Equity at exit
- $17,520
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-18,060
- Equity at exit
- $10,159
Cash invested: $32,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73507
- Home prices YoY
- -23.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 209
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,060 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$616
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $999/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $89
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $155 | -5% $122 | +0% $89 | +5% $55 | +10% $22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $5 | -5% $47 | +0% $89 | +5% $131 | +10% $172 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $148 | -0.5pp $119 | base $89 | +0.5pp $58 | +1.0pp $27 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,375
- Closing costs
- $3,525
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $117,500 Pending 15 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $117,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $117,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $117,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $117,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $117,500 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $117,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $117,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $117,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $117,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $117,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-27$117,500 Active
-
2014-07-08soldstatus $33,600 130-char remark
Show marketing remark (130 chars)
Nice curb appeal showcasing a beautiful wood deck in front. Large workshop in back. Separate dining area and spacious living area.
-
2014-01-29$29,900 130-char remark
Show marketing remark (130 chars)
Nice curb appeal showcasing a beautiful wood deck in front. Large workshop in back. Separate dining area and spacious living area.
-
2007-06-06soldstatus $92,000
-
2006-12-15soldstatus $53,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $999 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,058 · $88/mo
- Expected delta
- +$58/yr (+$5/mo · 5.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,716
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,582
- − Property taxes
- −$999
- − Insurance
- −$588
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,017
- − Management
- −$1,017
- − Depreciation
- −$3,418
- Taxable loss
- −$905
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$217
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,282/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lawton
- NCES district ID
- 4017250
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,618
- Composite
- 19.68/100
- National rank
- #8732
- State rank
- #137 of 270 in OK
Livability — Lawton
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #206
- US rank
- #15131
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lawton, OK
- County
- Comanche County · 96,361 people
- City population
- 89,233
- Metro
- Lawton, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,046
- Household income
- $62,132
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 979.0
Population outlook (Comanche County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 124,518 people
- By 2030
- 124,231 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 122,193 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 120,368 · -3.3%
- By 2075
- 120,492 · -3.2%
- By 2100
- 123,113 · -1.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 13% Black 13% Native American 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Comanche
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.3) · D 37.4% · R 60.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.5pp · 2024: -23.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.3 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.48%
- Current HPI
- 127.057
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.25%
- Metro
- Lawton, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+121.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $117,500 LBRMLS
- 2014-07-08 Sold (MLS) $33,600 LBRMLS
- 2014-01-29 Listed $29,900 LBRMLS
- 2007-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
- 2006-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $999 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…