10618 Woodwind Dr · Ferguson, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.3/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Have you ever walked into a home, seen that it needed a little updating, but knew it wouldn't take much to make it perfect? Well, this is that home. Because it has been so lovingly maintained over the years, there really isn't much to do. You could move right in or spruce it up a bit by removing the carpet to reveal beautiful hardwood floors and maybe changing a fixture or two. With an eat-in kitchen, a separate living room, family room and dining room on the main floor and a partially finished basement, there is plenty of room here to spread out. 95% high efficiency furnace was recently installed as well. This would make a great place to call home.
Key facts
- 8,611 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1964
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area approximately 1,406 (public records); Lot size approximately 0.1977 acres (public records)
- Financial info: Lease not considered; No second mortgage recorded
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric: Other
- Home design: Single family residence; House; One story
- Construction: Brick and other exterior materials; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot features: Other
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Partial basement; Hardwood floors; Free-standing electric range; Refrigerator
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $238 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#586 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Hazelwood (suburban): math 11% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #306 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Keeven Elem. (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,037 of 1,115 statewide, top 94%, 267 students, 99% FRL); Hazelwood Central High (math 12% / reading 33%, grade F, #455 of 521 statewide, top 88%, 1,628 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 53% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.87%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $140,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10618 Woodwind Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,406 (0%) | 0mo | $129,900 | $92 | 100 |
| 10626 Landseer Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,401 (-0%) | 5mo | $121,000 | $86 | 80 |
| 2559 Burchard Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 | 1,350 (-4%) | 7mo | $190,000 | $141 | 59 |
| 11008 Saginaw Dr | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-4%) | 6mo | $154,900 | $115 | 58 |
| 1705 Cargill Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,514 (+8%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $99 | 56 |
| 2241 Luxmore Dr | 0.41mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,276 (-9%) | 2mo | $187,500 | $147 | 55 |
| 2270 Ainsworth Dr | 0.42mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,276 (-9%) | 2mo | $94,900 | $74 | 54 |
| 10412 Hallwood Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 | 1,573 (+12%) | 0mo | $159,900 | $102 | 53 |
| 10412 Viscount Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,528 (+9%) | 0mo | $89,900 | $59 | 51 |
| 10197 Green Valley Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,245 (-12%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $100 | 43 |
| 10619 Alliance Dr | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,275 (-9%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $106 | 43 |
| 11129 Old Halls Ferry Rd | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,216 (-14%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $62 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $39,253
- Equity at exit
- $64,273
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.20×
- Total profit
- $116,484
- Equity at exit
- $103,876
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63136
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,430 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$156 /mo · $1,874/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $238
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 39 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62 Capitol Hill Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $1,250 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2259 Ainsworth Dr Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1561 | $2,100 | $1.35 | 2d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2259 Ainsworth Dr Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,776 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1915 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1740 | $1,500 | $0.86 | 4d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2257 Luxmore Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1073 | $1,495 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 10239 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,395 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 10304 Bon Oak Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2745 Rottingdean Dr St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $975 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2544 Netherton Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,945 | $1.51 | 2d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 10504 Baron Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 7d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 10129 Cavalier Ct Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 912 | $1,250 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 10512 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,195 | $1.35 | 15d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 10322 Monarch Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,728 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 13061 Lord Dr St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,040 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 10409 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,100 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 10078 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,325 | $1.47 | 7d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1547 Babcock Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,480 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 10329 Chesley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 10501 Duke Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,090 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1654 Mowbry Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,300 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 10113 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $775 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 10441 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1380 | $1,380 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1926 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $995 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 10421 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,275 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 10557 Castle Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,300 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2257 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 10139 Royal Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1016 | $900 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2326 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,050 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 9868 Lorna Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,175 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 9840 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,095 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 9812 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,495 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1733 Kappel Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,250 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 9839 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,095 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 11635 Hazeloak Dr Black Jack, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $1,728 | $1.54 | 17d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2321 Noll Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,320 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 9850 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,175 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 9845 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,550 | $1.61 | 12d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 9709 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 9750 Lorna Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-17$129,900 Active
-
2017-11-01soldstatus $3,709,816
-
2015-11-20soldstatus $45,000
-
2012-06-21soldstatus $65,500
-
2012-06-15soldstatus 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
Have you ever walked into a home, seen that it needed a little updating, but knew it wouldn't take much to make it perfect? Well, this is that home. Because it has been so lovingly maintained over the years, there really isn't much to do. You could move right in or spruce it up a bit by removing the carpet to reveal beautiful hardwood floors and maybe changing a fixture or two. With an eat-in kitchen, a separate living room, family room and dining room on the main floor and a partially finished basement, there is plenty of room here to spread out. 95% high efficiency furnace was recently installed as well. This would make a great place to call home.
-
2012-03-14$69,900 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
Have you ever walked into a home, seen that it needed a little updating, but knew it wouldn't take much to make it perfect? Well, this is that home. Because it has been so lovingly maintained over the years, there really isn't much to do. You could move right in or spruce it up a bit by removing the carpet to reveal beautiful hardwood floors and maybe changing a fixture or two. With an eat-in kitchen, a separate living room, family room and dining room on the main floor and a partially finished basement, there is plenty of room here to spread out. 95% high efficiency furnace was recently installed as well. This would make a great place to call home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,874 · $156/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,874 · $156/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,163
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,874
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,373
- − Management
- −$1,373
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $838
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$201
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,660/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hazelwood
- NCES district ID
- 2913830
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,621
- Composite
- 16.77/100
- National rank
- #9156
- State rank
- #306 of 324 in MO
Livability — Ferguson
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #586
- US rank
- #20809
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ferguson, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,929
- Household income
- $41,154
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3085.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.79%
- Current HPI
- 420.28
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.97%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
+85.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Listed $129,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $3,709,816 Public Records
- 2015-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2012-06-21 Sold (Public Records) $65,500 Public Records
- 2012-06-15 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-03-14 Listed $69,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2022): $1,874 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…