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10618 Woodwind Dr
B- Composite 65.48
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.9/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0

$129,900

10618 Woodwind Dr · Ferguson, MO 63136
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,406 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1964 8,611 sqft lot Est $141k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Have you ever walked into a home, seen that it needed a little updating, but knew it wouldn't take much to make it perfect? Well, this is that home. Because it has been so lovingly maintained over the years, there really isn't much to do. You could move right in or spruce it up a bit by removing the carpet to reveal beautiful hardwood floors and maybe changing a fixture or two. With an eat-in kitchen, a separate living room, family room and dining room on the main floor and a partially finished basement, there is plenty of room here to spread out. 95% high efficiency furnace was recently installed as well. This would make a great place to call home.

Key facts

  • 8,611 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1964

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area approximately 1,406 (public records); Lot size approximately 0.1977 acres (public records)
  • Financial info: Lease not considered; No second mortgage recorded

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric: Other
  • Home design: Single family residence; House; One story
  • Construction: Brick and other exterior materials; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot features: Other

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (on main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Partial basement; Hardwood floors; Free-standing electric range; Refrigerator

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $238 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#586 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Hazelwood (suburban): math 11% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #306 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Keeven Elem. (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,037 of 1,115 statewide, top 94%, 267 students, 99% FRL); Hazelwood Central High (math 12% / reading 33%, grade F, #455 of 521 statewide, top 88%, 1,628 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 53% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $129,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.50%
Cash-on-cash
7.87%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$140,600
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10618 Woodwind Dr 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,406 (0%) 0mo $129,900 $92 100
10626 Landseer Dr 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,401 (-0%) 5mo $121,000 $86 80
2559 Burchard Dr 0.57mi 3/2.5 1,350 (-4%) 7mo $190,000 $141 59
11008 Saginaw Dr 0.52mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-4%) 6mo $154,900 $115 58
1705 Cargill Dr 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,514 (+8%) 1mo $149,900 $99 56
2241 Luxmore Dr 0.41mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,276 (-9%) 2mo $187,500 $147 55
2270 Ainsworth Dr 0.42mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,276 (-9%) 2mo $94,900 $74 54
10412 Hallwood Dr 0.53mi 3/2.5 1,573 (+12%) 0mo $159,900 $102 53
10412 Viscount Dr 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,528 (+9%) 0mo $89,900 $59 51
10197 Green Valley Dr 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,245 (-12%) 7mo $125,000 $100 43
10619 Alliance Dr 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,275 (-9%) 7mo $135,000 $106 43
11129 Old Halls Ferry Rd 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,216 (-14%) 6mo $75,000 $62 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
2.08×
Total profit
$39,253
Equity at exit
$64,273
10-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
4.20×
Total profit
$116,484
Equity at exit
$103,876

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63136

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
372
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,430 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$156 /mo · $1,874/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$238

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,128
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 39 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
62 Capitol Hill Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1239 $1,250 $1.01 44d 1 0.33mi
2259 Ainsworth Dr Saint Louis, MO 4.0 2.0 1561 $2,100 $1.35 2d 1 0.40mi
2259 Ainsworth Dr Saint Louis, MO 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,776 $1.18 44d 1 0.40mi
1915 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO 4.0 2.0 1740 $1,500 $0.86 4d 1 0.45mi
2257 Luxmore Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 3.0 1073 $1,495 $1.39 24d 1 0.46mi
10239 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,395 $1.38 24d 1 0.50mi
10304 Bon Oak Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,250 $0.83 44d 1 0.58mi
2745 Rottingdean Dr St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $975 $1.18 44d 1 0.68mi
2544 Netherton Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1288 $1,945 $1.51 2d 1 0.75mi
10504 Baron Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 7d 1 0.76mi
10129 Cavalier Ct Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 912 $1,250 $1.37 24d 1 0.77mi
10512 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 888 $1,195 $1.35 15d 1 0.81mi
10322 Monarch Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1073 $1,728 $1.61 24d 1 0.81mi
13061 Lord Dr St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,040 $1.16 22d 1 0.84mi
10409 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,100 $1.21 22d 1 0.84mi
10078 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $1,325 $1.47 7d 1 0.86mi
1547 Babcock Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,480 $1.46 44d 1 0.87mi
10329 Chesley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,350 $1.33 24d 1 0.90mi
10501 Duke Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1140 $1,090 $0.96 44d 1 0.96mi
1654 Mowbry Ln Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 936 $1,300 $1.39 24d 1 0.99mi
10113 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 882 $775 $0.88 44d 1 1.08mi
10441 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.5 1380 $1,380 $1.00 44d 1 1.09mi
1926 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.0 1095 $995 $0.91 15d 1 1.09mi
10421 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1023 $1,275 $1.25 24d 1 1.10mi
10557 Castle Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1023 $1,300 $1.27 15d 1 1.12mi
2257 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 24d 1 1.18mi
10139 Royal Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1016 $900 $0.89 44d 1 1.23mi
2326 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,050 $0.99 24d 1 1.26mi
9868 Lorna Ln Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1032 $1,175 $1.14 44d 1 1.26mi
9840 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,095 $1.20 44d 1 1.29mi
9812 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,495 $1.00 22d 1 1.32mi
1733 Kappel Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,250 $1.37 24d 1 1.32mi
9839 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,095 $1.20 44d 1 1.33mi
11635 Hazeloak Dr Black Jack, MO 3.0 2.0 1124 $1,728 $1.54 17d 1 1.36mi
2321 Noll Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 975 $1,320 $1.35 24d 1 1.36mi
9850 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1032 $1,175 $1.14 44d 1 1.37mi
9845 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,550 $1.61 12d 1 1.40mi
9709 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 44d 1 1.43mi
9750 Lorna Ln Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1032 $1,100 $1.07 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-17
    listed $129,900 Active
  3. 2017-11-01
    soldstatus $3,709,816
  4. 2015-11-20
    soldstatus $45,000
  5. 2012-06-21
    soldstatus $65,500
  6. 2012-06-15
    soldstatus 658-char remark
    Show marketing remark (658 chars)

    Have you ever walked into a home, seen that it needed a little updating, but knew it wouldn't take much to make it perfect? Well, this is that home. Because it has been so lovingly maintained over the years, there really isn't much to do. You could move right in or spruce it up a bit by removing the carpet to reveal beautiful hardwood floors and maybe changing a fixture or two. With an eat-in kitchen, a separate living room, family room and dining room on the main floor and a partially finished basement, there is plenty of room here to spread out. 95% high efficiency furnace was recently installed as well. This would make a great place to call home.

  7. 2012-03-14
    listed $69,900 658-char remark
    Show marketing remark (658 chars)

    Have you ever walked into a home, seen that it needed a little updating, but knew it wouldn't take much to make it perfect? Well, this is that home. Because it has been so lovingly maintained over the years, there really isn't much to do. You could move right in or spruce it up a bit by removing the carpet to reveal beautiful hardwood floors and maybe changing a fixture or two. With an eat-in kitchen, a separate living room, family room and dining room on the main floor and a partially finished basement, there is plenty of room here to spread out. 95% high efficiency furnace was recently installed as well. This would make a great place to call home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,874 · $156/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,874 · $156/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,163
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$1,874
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,373
− Management
−$1,373
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$838
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$201
After-tax cash flow
$2,660/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hazelwood
NCES district ID
2913830
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$51,621
Composite
16.77/100
National rank
#9156
State rank
#306 of 324 in MO

Livability — Ferguson

Score
58/100
State rank
#586
US rank
#20809

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ferguson, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
40,929
Household income
$41,154
Rent vs Own
53.1% rent · 46.9% own
Severe rent burden
3085.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.79%
Current HPI
420.28
Rent YoY
▲ 4.97%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+85.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $129,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $3,709,816 Public Records
  • 2015-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2012-06-21 Sold (Public Records) $65,500 Public Records
  • 2012-06-15 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-03-14 Listed $69,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,874 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…