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1426 Laurel Ct
B Composite 70.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

1426 Laurel Ct · Cumberland, MD 21502
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,024 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1961 7,200 sqft lot ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

All brick home in Mounstain Side Maryland with great potenial. This one level 3 bedroom, 2 bath home is ready for rehab to return to it's original charm and located on a level lot close to shopping, services and medical center. Sold strickly as is with no warranties.

Key facts

  • Level lot
  • Brick home
  • Close to shopping

Tags

BRICK HOMELEVEL LOTCLOSE TO SHOPPINGCLOSE TO SERVICESCLOSE TO MEDICAL CENTER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Detached structure; Metal roof; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Year built (assessor source)
  • Exterior features: Property located in city limits (Cumberland)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms total (1 on main level, 1 on lower level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Full basement; Major rehab needed
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main floor; Electric hot water

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $391 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 6.7% in Cumberland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#64 in MD, #2,385 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Allegany County Public Schools (other): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #18 of 24 in MD (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.9%/yr); 235 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 24 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Allegany County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 11 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $80,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
12.16%
Cash-on-cash
20.95%
DSCR
1.93
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$188,232
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1426 Laurel Ct 0.00mi 3/2.0 2,024 (0%) 0mo $80,000 $40 100
1427 Church St 0.15mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,097 (+4%) 2mo $225,000 $107 80
135 New Hampshire Ave 0.31mi 3/2.0 2,056 (+2%) 21mo $185,000 $90 66
51 Maple St 0.36mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,060 (+2%) 11mo $190,000 $92 64
33 Beechwood Dr 0.13mi 3/1.5 1,861 (-8%) 20mo $173,000 $93 62
40 Memorial Ave 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,786 (-12%) 14mo $219,000 $123 43
607 White Ave 0.69mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,054 (+2%) 23mo $282,000 $137 41
814 Hicks Ave 0.71mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,891 (-7%) 12mo $259,900 $137 41
436 Homer St 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,722 (-15%) 19mo $95,000 $55 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$18,444
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
30.7%
Equity multiple
4.47×
Total profit
$77,684
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21502

Home prices YoY
-17.4%
Rents YoY
10.9%
Active inventory
235
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,223 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$122 /mo · $1,464/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$257
Net cashflow
$391

Break-even live

Break-even rent $728
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
131 Grand Ave Cumberland, MD 3.0 2.0 1444 $1,300 $0.90 43d 1 0.89mi
109 Grand Ave Unit B Cumberland, MD 2.0 1.0 3000 $800 $0.27 43d 1 0.89mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-05-30
    status $80,000 Pending 1 DOM
  2. 2026-05-29
    listed $80,000 Active
  3. 2014-07-31
    historical
  4. 2014-01-29
    status Active
  5. 2014-01-29
    historical
  6. 2014-01-28
    historical
  7. 2013-07-25
    listed Active
  8. 2013-07-24
    listed $129,900
  9. 2012-10-22
    historical
  10. 2012-10-21
    historical
  11. 2012-07-01
    price
  12. 2011-07-18
    listed Active
  13. 2011-07-18
    listed $129,000
  14. 2011-07-11
    historical Expired
  15. 2011-07-11
    historical
  16. 2011-06-08
    price
  17. 2011-01-28
    status Active
  18. 2011-01-20
    historical Temporarily Off-Market
  19. 2011-01-11
    status Active
  20. 2011-01-11
    historical Expired
  21. 2011-01-10
    listed Active
  22. 2011-01-10
    listed $149,900
  23. 1998-01-22
    soldstatus $88,000
  24. 1998-01-20
    soldstatus $88,000
  25. 1997-11-22
    historical
  26. 1997-11-13
    listed $88,500
  27. 1995-10-26
    soldstatus $81,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,464 · $122/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,464 · $122/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,674
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,464
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,174
− Management
−$1,174
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$3,653
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$877
After-tax cash flow
$3,817/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Allegany County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400030
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -20.00%
Median HH income
$39,760
Composite
18.95/100
National rank
#8854
State rank
#18 of 24 in MD

Livability — Cumberland

Score
78/100
State rank
#64
US rank
#2385

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cumberland, MD
County
Allegany County · 41,015 people
City population
41,015
Metro
Cumberland, MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
41,015
Household income
$60,725
Rent vs Own
28.0% rent · 72.0% own
Severe rent burden
824.0

Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,778 people
By 2030
66,766 · -2.9%
By 2040
62,784 · -8.7%
By 2050
59,179 · -14.0%
By 2075
50,732 · -26.2%
By 2100
40,837 · -40.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegany

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.3) · D 28.9% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.4pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -40.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.3 2020: R+38.3 2016: R+48.0 2012: R+32.9 2008: R+25.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.33%
Current HPI
258.6676
Rent YoY
▲ 10.88%
Metro
Cumberland, MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.2% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-07-31 Delisted MRIS
  • 2014-01-29 Relisted MRIS
  • 2014-01-29 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-01-28 Delisted MRIS
  • 2013-07-25 Listed MRIS
  • 2013-07-24 Listed $129,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-10-22 Delisted MRIS
  • 2012-10-21 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-07-01 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2011-07-18 Listed MRIS
  • 2011-07-18 Listed $129,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-07-11 Delisted MRIS
  • 2011-07-11 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-06-08 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2011-01-28 Relisted MRIS
  • 2011-01-20 Delisted MRIS
  • 2011-01-11 Relisted MRIS
  • 2011-01-11 Delisted MRIS
  • 2011-01-10 Listed MRIS
  • 2011-01-10 Listed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1998-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
  • 1998-01-20 Sold (MLS) $88,000 MRIS
  • 1997-11-22 Delisted MRIS
  • 1997-11-13 Listed $88,500 MRIS
  • 1995-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,464 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…