405 Springdale Dr · Columbus, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 48.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$76,320
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
AUCTION. This affordable ranch home features 3 beds, 2.5 baths, living room with fireplace, kitchen with breakfast area and ample storage. The home sits on a large tree-lined lot with an attached covered porch and carport. Home will need your renovation ideas and is sold as-is. CAUTION MOLD may be present. Property is sold as-is with NO property disclosure or inspection reports. Come create your dream space.
Key facts
- Large tree-lined lot
- Carport
- 0.24 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 1-car carport (1 parking space total)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer and water available
- Home design: Single family residence (house); One level
- Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Lot is approximately 0.24 acres; Zoned for single-family residential
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level; Two additional bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (3 total)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Living room with fireplace; Total of 5 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $76k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $637 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $76k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#219 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
- Columbus Municipal School District (town): math 9% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #113 of 130 in MS (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 130 units permitted in Lowndes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $528 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lowndes County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 48% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.78%
- DSCR
- 2.59
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $28,289
- Equity at exit
- $11,380
- IRR
- 38.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.61×
- Total profit
- $77,197
- Equity at exit
- $6,599
Cash invested: $21,370 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39702
- Home prices YoY
- -29.8%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,582 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$400
- Tax from tax record
- −$181 /mo · $2,167/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$332
- Net cashflow
- $637
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $680 | -5% $659 | +0% $637 | +5% $616 | +10% $594 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $512 | -5% $575 | +0% $637 | +5% $700 | +10% $762 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $676 | -0.5pp $657 | base $637 | +0.5pp $617 | +1.0pp $597 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,080
- Closing costs
- $2,290
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300 S Lehmberg Rd Columbus, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1015 | $1,149 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3946 Hwy 182 E Columbus, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $1,568 | $1.57 | 45d | 8 | 0.76mi |
| 240 Sylvan Rd Columbus, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1830 | $2,400 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $76,320 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 411-char remark
-
2026-06-18$76,320 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,167 · $181/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,167 · $181/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 48% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,984
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,275
- − Property taxes
- −$2,167
- − Insurance
- −$382
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,519
- − Management
- −$1,519
- − Depreciation
- −$2,220
- Taxable income
- $6,902
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,657
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,989/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbus Municipal School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801200
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,376
- Composite
- 10.49/100
- National rank
- #9782
- State rank
- #113 of 130 in MS
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #219
- US rank
- #18952
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, MS
- County
- Lowndes County · 35,442 people
- City population
- 35,442
- Metro
- Columbus, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,484
- Household income
- $54,650
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 704.0
Population outlook (Lowndes County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,842 people
- By 2030
- 59,312 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 57,282 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 54,348 · -9.2%
- By 2075
- 45,423 · -24.1%
- By 2100
- 34,724 · -42.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (52%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 52% White 45% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lowndes
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.2) · D 45.4% · R 53.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.3pp toward R · 2008: -2.9pp · 2024: -8.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.2 2020: R+2.6 2016: R+6.3 2012: R+1.5 2008: R+2.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.27%
- Current HPI
- 170.5528
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Columbus, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $76,320 MLSU
- 2020-03-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+30.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,167 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…