5620 Taos Way · San Diego, CA 92154

$609,900

3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,378 sqft · Townhouse · 34 Days on market

Built 2026 Good condition $443/sqft · 39% below area Est $1000k · 39% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +7.3/30.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.4/5.0
• Schools +2.2/10.0
• 1% rule +2.1/10.0
• DSCR +1.5/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This new three-story paired home delivers modern essentials, including a secluded tech space on the first floor-ideal for productive work-from-home days. The second level is host to a generous open layout shared between the kitchen, living and dining spaces with direct access to an outdoor deck, along with a flexible bedroom ready to meet the needs of the homeowner. Two additional bedrooms offer private retreats on the third floor, including a comfortable owner's suite with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.

Key facts

• Full bathroom
• Walk-in closet
• Outdoor deck

Tags

• OPEN LAYOUT
• OUTDOOR DECK
• OWNER'S SUITE
• FULL BATHROOM
• WALK-IN CLOSET

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $610k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-810 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $493k (19.2% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $431k (29.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $431k (29.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.0% in San Diego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in CA, #4,206 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, cost of living F.
• San Diego Unified (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #393 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Cadman Elementary (176 students, 51% FRL); Marston Middle (594 students, 41% FRL); Clairemont High (835 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 265 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 29d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $4,310/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($95k/yr) (locally 19% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($592k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $431,033 (29.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.71% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.70%
• Cash-on-cash: -5.69%
• DSCR: 0.75
• GRM: 11.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $999,793
• List price: $609,900
• Delta: -39.00%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4454 Caminito Pedernal	0.38mi	3/2.0	1,501 (+9%)	4mo	$965,000	$643	60
4516 Caminito Pedernal	0.47mi	2/1.5 (-1)	1,412 (+2%)	10mo	$1,160,000	$822	54
3041 Caminito Arenoso	0.48mi	3/2.0	1,548 (+12%)	1mo	$1,135,000	$733	52
3040 Caminito Arenoso	0.46mi	3/2.0	1,597 (+16%)	7mo	$1,245,000	$780	43
3737 Balboa Ter Unit D	0.91mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,243 (-10%)	2mo	$751,000	$604	38
3756 Balboa Ter Unit B	0.90mi	3/2.5	1,600 (+16%)	1mo	$872,500	$545	37
3705 Balboa Ter Unit A	0.95mi	2/2.5 (-1)	1,205 (-13%)	0mo	$779,000	$646	37
4851 Cole St #1	1.04mi	3/2.0	1,188 (-14%)	8mo	$525,000	$442	31
4829 Bella Pacific Row #116	0.98mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,110 (-19%)	3mo	$719,000	$648	28
3711 Balboa Unit B	0.92mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,140 (-17%)	5mo	$710,000	$623	27
3762 Balboa Terrace Unit B Ter	0.90mi	3/2.0	1,580 (+15%)	14mo	$815,000	$516	25
4859 Bella Pacific Row #228	0.98mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,110 (-19%)	15mo	$750,000	$676	18

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -29.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.05×
• Total profit: $-162,968
• Equity at exit: $90,938

10-year hold

• IRR: -48.4%
• Equity multiple: -0.50×
• Total profit: $-256,870
• Equity at exit: $52,733

Cash invested: $170,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Seller's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 3 active · 3 under contract
• Months of supply: 2.2 mo (44%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $735,000 ($525/sqft)
• Median days on market: 59 d
• This list price: 33% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: +38.2% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 92154

• Rents YoY: -0.5%
• Active inventory: 265
• Price-to-rent: 11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $4,310 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$3,198
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$762 /mo · $9,148/yr
• Insurance: −$254
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$905
• Net cashflow: $-810

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,335

Max offer price $492,732

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-388	-5% $-599	+0% $-810	+5% $-1,020	+10% $-1,231
Rent	-10% $-1,150	-5% $-980	+0% $-810	+5% $-639	+10% $-469
Rate	-1.0pp $-503	-0.5pp $-655	base $-810	+0.5pp $-968	+1.0pp $-1,129

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $152,475
• Closing costs: $18,297
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4434 La Crosse Ave San Diego, CA	3.0	1.5	1440	$4,695	$3.26	21d	1	0.17mi
3518 Oak Glen Ln San Diego, CA	3.0	3.0	922	$3,600	$3.90	7d	1	0.21mi
4259 Quapaw Ave San Diego, CA	3.0	2.0	1200	$4,995	$4.16	17d	1	0.23mi
3672 Mabon Pl Unit 3672 San Diego, CA	3.0	2.0	1152	$4,650	$4.04	73d	1	0.29mi
3672 Mabon Pl Unit 3674 San Diego, CA	4.0	2.0	1200	$3,312	$2.76	64d	1	0.29mi
5353 Hatteras Ave San Diego, CA	2.0	2.0	1175	$1,665	$1.42	19d	1	0.30mi
4443 Caminito Pedernal San Diego, CA	3.0	2.0	1597	$4,650	$2.91	11d	1	0.37mi
3467 Luna Ave Unit 3467 San Diego, CA	3.0	2.0	1050	$4,500	$4.29	19d	1	0.40mi
3081 Nute Way San Diego, CA	3.0	2.0	1670	$8,900	$5.33	73d	1	0.42mi
4591 Gila Ave Unit 2 San Diego, CA	2.0	2.0	1000	$2,995	$3.00	48d	1	0.45mi
3284 Luna Ave Unit 3284 San Diego, CA	3.0	1.0	900	$3,750	$4.17	73d	1	0.54mi
4070 Huerfano Ave San Diego, CA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	762	$2,920	$3.83	11d	7	0.54mi
4327 Clairemont Dr San Diego, CA	3.0	2.0	1150	$4,595	$4.00	73d	1	0.56mi
4064 Huerfano Ave #166 San Diego, CA	3.0	2.0	1008	$3,750	$3.72	23d	1	0.60mi
4064 Huerfano Ave San Diego, CA	2.0–3.0	1.5–2.0	1002	$3,750	$3.74	25d	2	0.60mi
4064 Huerfano Ave San Diego, CA	3.0	2.0	1008	$3,400	$3.37	73d	1	0.62mi
4060 Huerfano Ave #238 San Diego, CA	2.0	2.0	878	$3,100	$3.53	21d	1	0.63mi
4489 Bertha St San Diego, CA	3.0	2.0	1478	$10,900	$7.37	63d	1	0.68mi
4737 Pocahontas Ave Unit PO-4737 San Diego, CA	3.0	1.0	900	$3,065	$3.41	66d	1	0.69mi
4542 Hidalgo Ave San Diego, CA	3.0	2.0	1292	$3,995	$3.09	71d	1	0.81mi
3641 Martha St San Diego, CA	3.0	2.0	1120	$4,250	$3.79	29d	1	0.83mi
4161 Clairemont Mesa Blvd Unit 4163-2 (Back Right) San Diego, CA	3.0	2.0	1200	$4,400	$3.67	9d	1	0.88mi
2725 Ariane Dr San Diego, CA	2.0	2.0	1100	$3,900	$3.55	46d	1	0.90mi
2949 Naugatuck Ave San Diego, CA	3.0	2.0	1200	$6,295	$5.25	11d	1	0.91mi
4164 Mount Herbert Ave San Diego, CA	4.0	2.0	1426	$5,200	$3.65	17d	1	0.94mi
3731 Balboa Ter Unit B San Diego, CA	2.0	1.5	1147	$3,800	$3.31	22d	1	0.95mi
4959 Bella Pacific Row San Diego, CA	2.0	2.0	1094	$3,690	$3.37	48d	1	0.96mi
4765 Gallatin Way Unit 4765 San Diego, CA	3.0	2.0	1104	$4,450	$4.03	71d	1	0.99mi
2918 Havasupai Ave San Diego, CA	3.0	2.0	1140	$4,125	$3.62	27d	1	1.00mi
4859 Bella Pacific Row San Diego, CA	2.0	2.0	1094	$3,800	$3.47	67d	1	1.00mi
4379 Mount Henry Ave San Diego, CA	4.0	2.0	1235	$4,000	$3.24	73d	1	1.02mi
4062 Conrad Ave San Diego, CA	4.0	3.0	1650	$5,600	$3.39	54d	1	1.05mi
4666 Monongahela St San Diego, CA	3.0	2.0	1432	$4,350	$3.04	18d	1	1.09mi
4373 Conrad Ave San Diego, CA	3.0	3.0	1200	$4,000	$3.33	27d	1	1.20mi
2726 Tonto Way San Diego, CA	4.0	2.0	1860	$5,750	$3.09	22d	1	1.20mi
4786 Monongahela St San Diego, CA	4.0	2.0	1345	$8,500	$6.32	73d	1	1.21mi
2369 Loring St San Diego, CA	3.0	2.0	1350	$6,499	$4.81	67d	1	1.25mi
3620 Paul Jones Ave San Diego, CA	4.0	2.0	1715	$5,600	$3.27	11d	1	1.26mi
3652 Clairemont Dr San Diego, CA	2.0	2.0	932	$2,948	$3.16	33d	2	1.26mi
4651 Pico St #111 San Diego, CA	2.0	1.0	925	$3,200	$3.46	21d	1	1.27mi

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-06-17
   days on market $609,900 Active 34 DOM
2. 2026-06-16
   days on market $609,900 Active 33 DOM
3. 2026-06-15
   days on market $609,900 Active 32 DOM
4. 2026-06-13
   days on market $609,900 Active 30 DOM
5. 2026-06-09
   days on market $609,900 Active 26 DOM
6. 2026-06-08
   days on market $609,900 Active 25 DOM
7. 2026-06-07
   days on market $609,900 Active 24 DOM
8. 2026-06-04
   days on market $609,900 Active 21 DOM
9. 2026-06-03
   pricedays on market $609,900 Active 20 DOM
10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $624,900 Active 18 DOM
11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $624,900 Active 17 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $51,724
• − Mortgage interest: −$34,164
• − Property taxes: −$9,148
• − Insurance: −$3,050
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$4,138
• − Management: −$4,138
• − Depreciation: −$17,743
• Taxable loss: −$20,656
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$4,958
• After-tax cash flow: $-4,759/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This modern three-story townhouse is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It is move-in ready with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. The home has a good resale and rental value with updates like painting and smart home features that can further increase its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
• Resale Updating the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers ↑
• Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value ↑

Zoned Schools

Elementary Cadman Elementary Middle Marston Middle High Clairemont High

Schools (NCES district)

• District: San Diego Unified
• NCES district ID: 0634320
• Math proficiency: 19% ▼ -29.00%
• Reading proficiency: 29% ▼ -28.00%
• Median HH income: $61,673
• Composite: 22.31/100
• National rank: #8135
• State rank: #393 of 517 in CA

B Composite livability gradescore 75/100

Livability — San Diego

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #123
• US rank: #4206

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: San Diego, CA
• County: San Diego County · 3,678,185 people
• City population: 1,397,612
• Metro: San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
• Population (ZIP): 80,445
• Household income: $94,901
• Rent vs Own: 38.9% rent · 61.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 19% of renters

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Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 3,678,185 people
• By 2030: 3,856,546 · +4.8%
• By 2040: 4,171,407 · +13.4%
• By 2050: 4,421,607 · +20.2%
• By 2075: 4,831,599 · +31.4%
• By 2100: 4,832,502 · +31.4%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (68%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 68% Two or more races 30% White 12% Asian 12% Black 5% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 65%
• Foreign-born: 32% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 35% English-only · Spanish 56% Tagalog/Filipino 7% Chinese 1%

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Political lean MEDSL · San Diego

• 2024 margin: D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: +6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -568.62%
• Current HPI: 393.1836
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.52%
• Metro: San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B