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22199 Old US 52
D Composite 42.67
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.3/15.0

$159,900

22199 Old US 52 · Laurel, IN 47024
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,464 sqft · SingleFamily · 28 Days on market
Built 1900 Fair condition 6.30 ac lot Est $141k · 14% over ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Set on over 6 scenic acres in a peaceful rural setting, this longtime family home offers a unique opportunity to create your own private retreat. Lovingly cared for and lived in by the same owners for more than 50 years, the property is now ready for its next chapter. Ideally situated with convenient access to Metamora, Connersville, and Brookville. This location offers a balance of quiet living with nearby amenities. The home offers approximately 1,464 square feet of living space with a functional and flexible layout. The main level features a nicely sized kitchen, a comfortable living room, and a primary bedroom with generous closet space. Two additional bedrooms are located upstairs, pro

Key facts

  • Quiet living
  • Expansive yard
  • Convenient access

Tags

PEACEFUL RURAL SETTINGPRIVATE RETREATCONVENIENT ACCESSQUIET LIVINGOPEN GREEN SPACEEXPANSIVE YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking; Shared driveway
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half levels; 1 story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asbestos shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Wooded lot; Barn(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Oven
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wood heating; Window unit cooling
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-152 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (13.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (14.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#488 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Zoned schools: Franklin County Middle School (math 29% / reading 37%, grade F, #180 of 330 statewide, top 56%, 358 students, 53% FRL); Franklin County High (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #197 of 369 statewide, top 57%, 713 students, 44% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 58 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (7.9% local appreciation)).
  • Franklin County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,480 (14.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.09%
Cash-on-cash
-0.72%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$140,544
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
22199 Old US 52 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,464 (0%) 1mo $140,000 $96 100
22199 Old Us Highway 52 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,464 (0%) 1mo $140,000 $96 99

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.94% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
2.24×
Total profit
$55,699
Equity at exit
$120,858
10-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
4.77×
Total profit
$168,974
Equity at exit
$239,312

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47024

Home prices YoY
3.2%
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,365 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax est. 1.5%
$200 /mo · $2,398/yr
Insurance
$67
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$287
Net cashflow
$-152

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,557
Max offer price $137,898
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-42 -5% $-97 +0% $-152 +5% $-207 +10% $-263
Rent -10% $-260 -5% $-206 +0% $-152 +5% $-98 +10% $-44
Rate -1.0pp $-72 -0.5pp $-111 base $-152 +0.5pp $-193 +1.0pp $-236

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-23
    price $159,900
  3. 2026-04-08
    price $175,000
  4. 2026-04-06
    listed $195,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,378
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$2,398
− Insurance
−$2,302
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,310
− Management
−$1,310
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$4,552
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,092
After-tax cash flow
$-732/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

The property requires significant repairs and maintenance, including roof replacement, exterior repainting, and HVAC system replacement. Landscaping and curb-side improvements will also enhance its appeal.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Signs of wear and discoloration suggest significant damage and potential water infiltration.
  • Major exterior siding — Peeling and deterioration indicate a need for repainting and possibly replacement.
  • Major HVAC/mechanicals — Given the age of the property, HVAC systems are likely outdated and in need of replacement or repair.
  • Major interior walls/paint — The walls appear to be in poor condition, indicating a need for painting and possibly repairs to the drywall or plaster.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both painting and repainting — Painting and repainting the exterior and interior will improve the home's curb appeal and interior condition, enhancing both resale and rental value.
  • Both landscaping and curb-side improvements — Landscaping and curb-side improvements will enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers or renters.
  • Both HVAC replacement — Replacing outdated HVAC systems will improve comfort and energy efficiency, making the home more attractive to buyers and renters.
  • Both roof replacement — Replacing the old roof will address potential water damage and improve the home's overall condition, enhancing both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Signs of wear and discoloration suggest significant damage and potential water infiltration. Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · Peeling and deterioration indicate a need for repainting and possibly replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC/mechanicals · Given the age of the property, HVAC systems are likely outdated and in need of replacement or repair. Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls/paint · The walls appear to be in poor condition, indicating a need for painting and possibly repairs to the drywall or plaster. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $60,000–200,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both painting and repainting — Painting and repainting the exterior and interior will improve the home's curb appeal and interior condition, enhancing both resale and rental value.
  • Both landscaping and curb-side improvements — Landscaping and curb-side improvements will enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers or renters.
  • Both HVAC replacement — Replacing outdated HVAC systems will improve comfort and energy efficiency, making the home more attractive to buyers and renters.
  • Both roof replacement — Replacing the old roof will address potential water damage and improve the home's overall condition, enhancing both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Laurel

Score
61/100
State rank
#488
US rank
#17449

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,909

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,796 people
By 2030
22,556 · -1.1%
By 2040
21,762 · -4.5%
By 2050
20,575 · -9.7%
By 2075
17,810 · -21.9%
By 2100
13,698 · -39.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.4) · D 17.1% · R 81.5% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-30.3pp toward R · 2008: -34.1pp · 2024: -64.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.4 2020: R+63.0 2016: R+60.9 2012: R+42.8 2008: R+34.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.94%
Current HPI
255.8207
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending SEIBR
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $159,900 SEIBR
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $175,000 SEIBR
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $195,000 SEIBR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…