12745 Northfield Blvd Blvd · Oak Park, MI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.
Key facts
- 9,600 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1953
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $273 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.9% in Oak Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#41 in MI, #888 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime D.
- Oak Park School District (suburban): math 5% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #521 of 540 in MI (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 80 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 257 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $66k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 257 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.69%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $326,700
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12820 Dartmouth St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 2,841 (-4%) | 8mo | $300,000 | $106 | 76 |
| 13431 Burton St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 2,962 (-0%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $105 | 75 |
| 24280 Moritz St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 2,730 (-8%) | 5mo | $334,900 | $123 | 74 |
| 10431 Oneida Blvd | 0.41mi | 3/3.0 | 3,036 (+2%) | 4mo | $335,000 | $110 | 70 |
| 23580 Rensselaer St | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,819 (-5%) | 4mo | $313,000 | $111 | 69 |
| 24000 Morton St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 2,628 (-12%) | 10mo | $240,000 | $91 | 68 |
| 24201 Seneca St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 2,651 (-11%) | 7mo | $262,500 | $99 | 66 |
| 24701 Scotia Rd | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 2,697 (-9%) | 6mo | $285,000 | $106 | 64 |
| 13343 Victoria Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 2,969 (-0%) | 8mo | $515,000 | $173 | 62 |
| 24561 Seneca St | 0.30mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,716 (-9%) | 4mo | $360,000 | $133 | 59 |
| 24030 Dante St | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 2,608 (-12%) | 10mo | $220,000 | $84 | 54 |
| 13365 Winchester Ave | 0.70mi | 3/3.0 | 2,700 (-9%) | 4mo | $484,000 | $179 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-11,465
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $10,323
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48237
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 80
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,877 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$394
- Net cashflow
- $273
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $394 | -5% $334 | +0% $273 | +5% $213 | +10% $152 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $125 | -5% $199 | +0% $273 | +5% $348 | +10% $422 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $361 | -0.5pp $318 | base $273 | +0.5pp $228 | +1.0pp $182 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24051 Geneva St Oak Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2052 | $1,800 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 15341 Marlow St Oak Park, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2097 | $2,200 | $1.05 | 4d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2025-06-27status Pending
-
2025-03-25historical
-
2024-12-17status Pending
-
2022-07-29status Pending
-
2022-07-28historical
-
2022-06-15status Pending
-
2022-04-12historical
-
2022-03-04soldstatus $185,250
-
2021-12-02status Pending 257-char remark
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.
-
2021-12-02status Pending
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.
-
2021-11-25price $175,000 257-char remark
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.
-
2021-11-24price $175,000
-
2021-11-04price $189,500 257-char remark
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.
-
2021-11-03price $189,500
-
2021-10-19price $210,000 257-char remark
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.
-
2021-10-18price $210,000
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.
-
2021-10-18status Active 257-char remark
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.
-
2021-10-18status Active
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.
-
2021-03-24historical
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.
-
2021-03-24historical 257-char remark
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.
-
2021-03-21$241,000 Active 257-char remark
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.
-
2021-03-21$241,000 Active
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.
-
2021-03-16historical $241,000 257-char remark
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.
-
2021-03-16historical $241,000
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,523
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,625
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,802
- − Management
- −$1,802
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $526
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$126
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,154/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oak Park School District
- NCES district ID
- 2626190
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,117
- Composite
- 9.21/100
- National rank
- #9862
- State rank
- #521 of 540 in MI
Livability — Oak Park
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #41
- US rank
- #888
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oak Park, MI
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- City population
- 29,318
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,318
- Household income
- $71,510
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 960.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 53% White 36% Two or more races 6% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Vietnam, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Arabic 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -336.34%
- Current HPI
- 229.1148
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.71%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-23.1% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2025-06-27 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-03-25 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-12-17 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-07-29 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-07-28 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-06-15 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-04-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $185,250 Public Records
- 2021-12-02 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-12-02 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2021-11-25 Price Changed $175,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-11-24 Price Changed $175,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-11-04 Price Changed $189,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-11-03 Price Changed $189,500 REALCOMP
- 2021-10-19 Price Changed $210,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-10-18 Price Changed $210,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-10-18 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-10-18 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2021-03-24 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2021-03-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-03-21 Listed $241,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-03-21 Listed $241,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-03-16 Coming Soon $241,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-03-16 Coming Soon $241,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+10.6%/yrLatest (2025): $8,794 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…