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C+ Composite 60.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

12745 Northfield Blvd Blvd · Oak Park, MI 48237
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,970 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 257 Days on market
Built 1953 9,600 sqft lot Est $327k · 46% under ↓ 23% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.

Key facts

  • 9,600 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1953

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $273 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.9% in Oak Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#41 in MI, #888 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime D.
  • Oak Park School District (suburban): math 5% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #521 of 540 in MI (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 80 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 257 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $66k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $154,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 257 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.17%
Cash-on-cash
6.69%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$326,700
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12820 Dartmouth St 0.22mi 3/2.0 2,841 (-4%) 8mo $300,000 $106 76
13431 Burton St 0.46mi 3/1.5 2,962 (-0%) 1mo $310,000 $105 75
24280 Moritz St 0.19mi 3/2.0 2,730 (-8%) 5mo $334,900 $123 74
10431 Oneida Blvd 0.41mi 3/3.0 3,036 (+2%) 4mo $335,000 $110 70
23580 Rensselaer St 0.30mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,819 (-5%) 4mo $313,000 $111 69
24000 Morton St 0.11mi 3/2.0 2,628 (-12%) 10mo $240,000 $91 68
24201 Seneca St 0.22mi 3/2.0 2,651 (-11%) 7mo $262,500 $99 66
24701 Scotia Rd 0.32mi 3/2.0 2,697 (-9%) 6mo $285,000 $106 64
13343 Victoria Ave 0.63mi 3/1.5 2,969 (-0%) 8mo $515,000 $173 62
24561 Seneca St 0.30mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,716 (-9%) 4mo $360,000 $133 59
24030 Dante St 0.34mi 3/1.5 2,608 (-12%) 10mo $220,000 $84 54
13365 Winchester Ave 0.70mi 3/3.0 2,700 (-9%) 4mo $484,000 $179 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-11,465
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
3.0%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$10,323
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48237

Rents YoY
2.7%
Active inventory
80
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,877 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax est. 1.5%
$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$394
Net cashflow
$273

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,531
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $394 -5% $334 +0% $273 +5% $213 +10% $152
Rent -10% $125 -5% $199 +0% $273 +5% $348 +10% $422
Rate -1.0pp $361 -0.5pp $318 base $273 +0.5pp $228 +1.0pp $182

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
24051 Geneva St Oak Park, MI 3.0 1.5 2052 $1,800 $0.88 44d 1 0.10mi
15341 Marlow St Oak Park, MI 3.0 2.0 2097 $2,200 $1.05 4d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2025-06-27
    status Pending
  2. 2025-03-25
    historical
  3. 2024-12-17
    status Pending
  4. 2022-07-29
    status Pending
  5. 2022-07-28
    historical
  6. 2022-06-15
    status Pending
  7. 2022-04-12
    historical
  8. 2022-03-04
    soldstatus $185,250
  9. 2021-12-02
    status Pending 257-char remark
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.

  10. 2021-12-02
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.

  11. 2021-11-25
    price $175,000 257-char remark
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.

  12. 2021-11-24
    price $175,000
  13. 2021-11-04
    price $189,500 257-char remark
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.

  14. 2021-11-03
    price $189,500
  15. 2021-10-19
    price $210,000 257-char remark
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.

  16. 2021-10-18
    price $210,000
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.

  17. 2021-10-18
    status Active 257-char remark
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.

  18. 2021-10-18
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.

  19. 2021-03-24
    historical
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.

  20. 2021-03-24
    historical 257-char remark
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.

  21. 2021-03-21
    listed $241,000 Active 257-char remark
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.

  22. 2021-03-21
    listed $241,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.

  23. 2021-03-16
    historical $241,000 257-char remark
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.

  24. 2021-03-16
    historical $241,000
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    Showings are after 2;30 P. M. This is a 3bdrm ranch with a family room and small den, 1.5 bath, full and finished basement, family room has door wall that leads to a beautiful rear lawn. Home needs some TLC. Home has a 2 car gar. This is an estate property.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,523
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,625
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,802
− Management
−$1,802
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$526
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$126
After-tax cash flow
$3,154/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oak Park School District
NCES district ID
2626190
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$46,117
Composite
9.21/100
National rank
#9862
State rank
#521 of 540 in MI

Livability — Oak Park

Score
83/100
State rank
#41
US rank
#888

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oak Park, MI
County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
29,318
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
29,318
Household income
$71,510
Rent vs Own
36.7% rent · 63.3% own
Severe rent burden
960.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Black 53% White 36% Two or more races 6% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Vietnam, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
90% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Arabic 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -336.34%
Current HPI
229.1148
Rent YoY
▲ 2.71%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-23.1% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2025-06-27 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-17 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-07-29 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-07-28 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2022-06-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-04-12 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2022-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $185,250 Public Records
  • 2021-12-02 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-02 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-11-25 Price Changed $175,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-11-24 Price Changed $175,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-11-04 Price Changed $189,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-11-03 Price Changed $189,500 REALCOMP
  • 2021-10-19 Price Changed $210,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-10-18 Price Changed $210,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-10-18 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-10-18 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2021-03-24 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-03-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-21 Listed $241,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-21 Listed $241,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-03-16 Coming Soon $241,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-16 Coming Soon $241,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+10.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,794 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…