10723 Waterfield Rd · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.6/30.0
- ARV discount +6.4/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under Construction. The charming porch entry of the two-story Crescent plan leads into an airy kitchen with a center island and walk-in pantry, perfect for home chefs and entertaining guests. A dining area is just steps away, seamlessly connecting to a welcoming great room that completes the open-concept layout. Upstairs, you'll find three generously sized bedrooms, including an impressive owner's suite featuring a large walk-in closet and a private bath with dual vanities. A conveniently located laundry area adds everyday ease. With thoughtful design and modern finishes, the Crescent offers both comfort and style. Conveniently situated near I-10 and I-295, the Villas at Bishop Oaks offers
Key facts
- Airy kitchen
- Dining area
- Porch entry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Asphalt road access; Not a private pool; Not a senior community
- Financial info: $415 association fee (quarterly)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with quarterly fee; Quarterly association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 1-car garage
- Utilities: 220-volt electric; Electricity connected; Natural gas available; Public sewer; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Townhouse; Two levels; Attached property
- Construction: Fiber cement siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Electric range; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (heat pump); Central air conditioning; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Kitchen island; Open floorplan; Pantry
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on upper level; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-117 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $219k (8.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (23.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $183k (23.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Westview K-8 (math 38% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,758 of 2,144 statewide, top 83%, 1,222 students, 63% FRL); Edward H. White High School (math 31% / reading 25%, grade F, #464 of 667 statewide, top 70%, 1,538 students, 64% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 31% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Duval average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 443 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.10%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $234,356
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10702 Waterfield Rd | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,432 (+0%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $164 | 97 |
| 10700 Waterfield Rd | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 1,432 (+0%) | 2mo | $222,000 | $155 | 97 |
| 10698 Waterfield Rd | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 1,432 (+0%) | 2mo | $224,990 | $157 | 97 |
| 10692 Waterfield Rd | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 | 1,429 (0%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $150 | 96 |
| 5433 Arrow Ln | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 | 1,395 (-2%) | 0mo | $224,490 | $161 | 88 |
| 5429 Arrow Ln | 0.17mi | 3/2.5 | 1,395 (-2%) | 2mo | $235,990 | $169 | 86 |
| 5447 Arrow Ln | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 | 1,395 (-2%) | 2mo | $235,990 | $169 | 85 |
| 5548 Arrow Ln | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 | 1,395 (-2%) | 2mo | $236,490 | $170 | 84 |
| 5534 Arrow Ln | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 | 1,395 (-2%) | 2mo | $235,490 | $169 | 84 |
| 5510 Arrow Ln | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 | 1,395 (-2%) | 3mo | $235,490 | $169 | 84 |
| 5435 Arrow Ln | 0.18mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,395 (-2%) | 2mo | $223,990 | $161 | 81 |
| 5445 Arrow Ln | 0.19mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,395 (-2%) | 2mo | $223,490 | $160 | 80 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.11% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-48,017
- Equity at exit
- $35,783
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-58,109
- Equity at exit
- $20,750
Cash invested: $67,197 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32210
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 443
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,830 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $798/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$138
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$384
- Net cashflow
- $-117
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $19 | -5% $-49 | +0% $-117 | +5% $-185 | +10% $-253 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-262 | -5% $-190 | +0% $-117 | +5% $-45 | +10% $27 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $4 | -0.5pp $-56 | base $-117 | +0.5pp $-180 | +1.0pp $-243 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,998
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10628 Waterfield Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1429 | $1,900 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 4910 Samaritan Way Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 966 | $1,758 | $1.82 | 3d | 16 | 0.28mi |
| 10281 Magnolia Hills Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1564 | $1,900 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 9956 Somerset Grove Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,675 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 5437 Tellaro Ln Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1395 | $1,795 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5216 Brighton Park Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1472 | $1,795 | $1.22 | 11d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 5138 Sawmill Point Way Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1780 | $1,820 | $1.02 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 5229 Walkers Ridge Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1497 | $1,795 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 9732 Chirping Way Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 5d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 6560 Sandlers Preserve Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $2,095 | $1.15 | 8d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 9541 103rd St Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1040 | $1,668 | $1.60 | 3d | 21 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $138 · $1,656/yr
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $239,990 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,990 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,990 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,990 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,990 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,990 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,990 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-10$239,990 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $798 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,992 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,194/yr (+$99/mo · 149.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,960
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,443
- − Property taxes
- −$798
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,757
- − Management
- −$1,757
- − HOA
- −$1,656
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable loss
- −$5,632
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,352
- After-tax cash flow
- $-56/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,729
- Household income
- $61,050
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3605.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Hispanic 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -314.81%
- Current HPI
- 281.2688
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.11%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $239,990 realMLS
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $798 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…