Duplex
251 Ward St · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 65.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.2/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Attention value-add investors! This prime duplex offers powerful upside potential in a rapidly growing market, perfectly positioned for those looking to renovate and maximize long-term returns. The property features two spacious units with layouts designed to meet high rental demand: Unit 1 is a generous 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom residence complete with a versatile flex room, while Unit 2 offers an expansive 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom configuration. Investors will appreciate the solid structural integrity and recent capital improvements, including a roof replaced within the last three years, two central A/C units under 10 years old (both recently serviced), and updated water heaters. Currently generating a reliable month-to-month income of $950 per unit with one side delivered vacant, this "multi-dwelling" gem is ready for immediate upgrades to capture peak market rates. The sizable lot provides off-street parking, basement storage, and exciting expansion possibilities, ensuring significant appreciation and a robust bottom line for the savvy buyer.
Key facts
- Basement storage
- Multi-family gem
- Off-street parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2bd/1ba + 1×3bd/2ba units multifamily listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $950 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $475/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,505/mo this rent would consume 102% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 1124% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 195 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 195 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.44%
- DSCR
- 2.13
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $174,529
- List price
- $159,999
- Delta
- -8.33%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.11% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $34,827
- Equity at exit
- $23,856
- IRR
- 27.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.44×
- Total profit
- $109,316
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31201
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,505 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,483/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$526
- Net cashflow
- $950
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $1,201 |
| 1× unit | 3 | 2 | $1,305 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,505 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 Orange St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2791 | $2,950 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2663 Hillcrest Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1931 | $1,395 | $0.72 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 240 Candler Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2635 | $1,850 | $0.70 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2694 Cherokee Ave Unit A Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1985 | $1,250 | $0.63 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2733 Hillcrest Ave Macon, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3094 | $2,300 | $0.74 | 13d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 879 Nottingham Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2147 | $1,700 | $0.79 | 13d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 870 Laurel Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2205 | $1,300 | $0.59 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1221 Brentwood Ave Macon, GA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2026 | $1,399 | $0.69 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $159,999 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,999 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,999 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,999 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,999 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $159,999 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,999 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $159,999 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,999 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,999 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,999 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,999 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,999 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,999 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,999 Active 176 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $159,999 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-03-02price $159,999 1065-char remark
Show marketing remark (1065 chars)
Attention value-add investors! This prime duplex offers powerful upside potential in a rapidly growing market, perfectly positioned for those looking to renovate and maximize long-term returns. The property features two spacious units with layouts designed to meet high rental demand: Unit 1 is a generous 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom residence complete with a versatile flex room, while Unit 2 offers an expansive 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom configuration. Investors will appreciate the solid structural integrity and recent capital improvements, including a roof replaced within the last three years, two central A/C units under 10 years old (both recently serviced), and updated water heaters. Currently generating a reliable month-to-month income of $950 per unit with one side delivered vacant, this "multi-dwelling" gem is ready for immediate upgrades to capture peak market rates. The sizable lot provides off-street parking, basement storage, and exciting expansion possibilities, ensuring significant appreciation and a robust bottom line for the savvy buyer.
-
2026-03-02price $164,900 1065-char remark
Show marketing remark (1065 chars)
Attention value-add investors! This prime duplex offers powerful upside potential in a rapidly growing market, perfectly positioned for those looking to renovate and maximize long-term returns. The property features two spacious units with layouts designed to meet high rental demand: Unit 1 is a generous 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom residence complete with a versatile flex room, while Unit 2 offers an expansive 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom configuration. Investors will appreciate the solid structural integrity and recent capital improvements, including a roof replaced within the last three years, two central A/C units under 10 years old (both recently serviced), and updated water heaters. Currently generating a reliable month-to-month income of $950 per unit with one side delivered vacant, this "multi-dwelling" gem is ready for immediate upgrades to capture peak market rates. The sizable lot provides off-street parking, basement storage, and exciting expansion possibilities, ensuring significant appreciation and a robust bottom line for the savvy buyer.
-
2026-01-26price $154,999 1065-char remark
Show marketing remark (1065 chars)
Attention value-add investors! This prime duplex offers powerful upside potential in a rapidly growing market, perfectly positioned for those looking to renovate and maximize long-term returns. The property features two spacious units with layouts designed to meet high rental demand: Unit 1 is a generous 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom residence complete with a versatile flex room, while Unit 2 offers an expansive 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom configuration. Investors will appreciate the solid structural integrity and recent capital improvements, including a roof replaced within the last three years, two central A/C units under 10 years old (both recently serviced), and updated water heaters. Currently generating a reliable month-to-month income of $950 per unit with one side delivered vacant, this "multi-dwelling" gem is ready for immediate upgrades to capture peak market rates. The sizable lot provides off-street parking, basement storage, and exciting expansion possibilities, ensuring significant appreciation and a robust bottom line for the savvy buyer.
-
2025-12-06$164,999 Active 1065-char remark
Show marketing remark (1065 chars)
Attention value-add investors! This prime duplex offers powerful upside potential in a rapidly growing market, perfectly positioned for those looking to renovate and maximize long-term returns. The property features two spacious units with layouts designed to meet high rental demand: Unit 1 is a generous 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom residence complete with a versatile flex room, while Unit 2 offers an expansive 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom configuration. Investors will appreciate the solid structural integrity and recent capital improvements, including a roof replaced within the last three years, two central A/C units under 10 years old (both recently serviced), and updated water heaters. Currently generating a reliable month-to-month income of $950 per unit with one side delivered vacant, this "multi-dwelling" gem is ready for immediate upgrades to capture peak market rates. The sizable lot provides off-street parking, basement storage, and exciting expansion possibilities, ensuring significant appreciation and a robust bottom line for the savvy buyer.
-
2025-12-06$164,999 New 1065-char remark
Show marketing remark (1065 chars)
Attention value-add investors! This prime duplex offers powerful upside potential in a rapidly growing market, perfectly positioned for those looking to renovate and maximize long-term returns. The property features two spacious units with layouts designed to meet high rental demand: Unit 1 is a generous 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom residence complete with a versatile flex room, while Unit 2 offers an expansive 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom configuration. Investors will appreciate the solid structural integrity and recent capital improvements, including a roof replaced within the last three years, two central A/C units under 10 years old (both recently serviced), and updated water heaters. Currently generating a reliable month-to-month income of $950 per unit with one side delivered vacant, this "multi-dwelling" gem is ready for immediate upgrades to capture peak market rates. The sizable lot provides off-street parking, basement storage, and exciting expansion possibilities, ensuring significant appreciation and a robust bottom line for the savvy buyer.
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2024-08-28soldstatus $151,000
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2024-08-23soldstatus $151,000 Sold
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2024-07-19status Under Contract
-
2024-06-06price $155,000
-
2024-03-13status Back On Market
-
2024-03-08status Under Contract
-
2024-02-13price $165,000
-
2024-01-28$175,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,483 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,483 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,060
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$1,483
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,405
- − Management
- −$2,405
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable income
- $9,351
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,244
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,152/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,891
- Household income
- $29,420
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1124.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.32%
- Current HPI
- 100.04
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.11%
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-8.6% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $159,999 FMLS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $164,900 FMLS
- 2026-01-26 Price Changed $154,999 GAMLS
- 2025-12-06 Listed $164,999 GAMLS
- 2025-12-06 Listed $164,999 FMLS
- 2024-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $151,000 Public Records
- 2024-08-23 Sold (MLS) $151,000 GAMLS
- 2024-07-19 Pending — GAMLS
- 2024-06-06 Price Changed $155,000 GAMLS
- 2024-03-13 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2024-03-08 Pending — GAMLS
- 2024-02-13 Price Changed $165,000 GAMLS
- 2024-01-28 Listed $175,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+9.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,483 · +47.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…