6 Iroquois Rd · Penn Forest, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.4/30.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Appreciation +3.6/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move right in - 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, wood stove wrap-around deck 1 acre corner lot in STR-friendly amenity-filled and gated community
Key facts
- Gated community
- 1 acre corner lot
- Wood stove
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $146 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $241k (7.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $241k (7.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Jim Thorpe Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #394 of 539 in PA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Penn-Kidder Campus (math 18% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,518 statewide, top 73%, 571 students, 62% FRL); Jim Thorpe Area Hs (math 62% / reading 75%, grade B, #53 of 437 statewide, top 13%, 565 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 54% FRL vs 38% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Jim Thorpe Area SD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 457 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.9%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($244k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $165k; list at $260k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.40%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $218,272
- List price
- $259,900
- Delta
- 19.07%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Quincy Ln | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-1%) | 22mo | $192,500 | $154 | 74 |
| 100 Clearbrook Dr | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-1%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $160 | 72 |
| 71 Blairwood Ln | 0.26mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,124 (-10%) | 1mo | $179,000 | $159 | 63 |
| 121 Algonquin Trl | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,224 (-2%) | 2mo | $347,500 | $284 | 61 |
| 283 Brittany Dr | 0.21mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,361 (+8%) | 14mo | $309,920 | $228 | 60 |
| 66 Winding Way | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+7%) | 9mo | $210,000 | $156 | 59 |
| 170 Crescent Way | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (-6%) | 5mo | $220,000 | $187 | 52 |
| 247 Mountain Rd | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,174 (-6%) | 13mo | $225,000 | $192 | 45 |
| 67 Tunkhannock Dr | 0.46mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,392 (+11%) | 12mo | $339,900 | $244 | 40 |
| 349 Mountain Rd | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,421 (+13%) | 21mo | $268,000 | $189 | 34 |
| 243 Mountain Rd | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,107 (-12%) | 19mo | $220,000 | $199 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.89% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-31,594
- Equity at exit
- $40,062
- IRR
- -2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-14,459
- Equity at exit
- $24,728
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18210
- Home prices YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 457
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,414 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$185 /mo · $2,224/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$105
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$507
- Net cashflow
- $146
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $293 | -5% $219 | +0% $146 | +5% $72 | +10% $-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-45 | -5% $50 | +0% $146 | +5% $241 | +10% $336 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $276 | -0.5pp $212 | base $146 | +0.5pp $78 | +1.0pp $10 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 147 Winding Way Albrightsville, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,500 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 182 Mountain Rd Albrightsville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $2,100 | $2.19 | 4d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 108 Reynolds Rd Albrightsville, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1841 | $2,500 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 35 Grouse Trl Albrightsville, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1399 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 16d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $105 · $1,260/yr
- Likely covers
- security
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $259,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $259,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $259,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $259,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $259,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $259,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $259,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $259,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $259,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $259,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $259,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $259,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $259,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $259,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-03-25$259,900 Active 133-char remark
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
Move right in - 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, wood stove wrap-around deck 1 acre corner lot in STR-friendly amenity-filled and gated community
-
2026-03-10historical
-
2026-01-02price $259,900
-
2026-01-02price $259,900
-
2025-10-16$269,900 Active
-
2025-10-11$269,900 Active
-
2022-11-01soldstatus $165,000
-
2022-10-28soldstatus $165,000 Closed
-
2022-09-28$169,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,224 · $185/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,165 · $264/mo
- Expected delta
- +$941/yr (+$78/mo · 42.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,970
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$2,224
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,318
- − Management
- −$2,318
- − HOA
- −$1,260
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable loss
- −$2,568
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$616
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,364/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jim Thorpe Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4212540
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,476
- Composite
- 31.42/100
- National rank
- #5988
- State rank
- #394 of 539 in PA
Livability — Penn Forest
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indian Mountain Lake, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,879
Population outlook (Carbon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 61,643 people
- By 2030
- 59,840 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 55,413 · -10.1%
- By 2050
- 50,843 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 43,326 · -29.7%
- By 2100
- 37,126 · -39.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Russian 4% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Carbon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.8) · D 32.2% · R 67.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.9pp · 2024: -34.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.8 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+6.9 2008: D+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.89%
- Current HPI
- 203.8099
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+53.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Listed $259,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-10 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-02 Price Changed $259,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-02 Price Changed $259,900 PMAR
- 2025-10-16 Listed $269,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-11 Listed $269,900 PMAR
- 2022-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2022-10-28 Sold (MLS) $165,000 PMAR
- 2022-09-28 Listed $169,000 PMAR
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2026): $2,224 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…