344 W Main St · East Palestine, OH
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 2 story home offers 1st floor bath with laundry, 3 bedrooms, full bath on 2nd level, all natural hardwood trim throughout. 2 car detached garage, cement drive, front porch and rear deck.
Key facts
- 1st floor bath
- Front porch
- Rear deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $529 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#325 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
- East Palestine City (town): math 50% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #405 of 656 in OH (top 62%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Columbiana County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Columbiana County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.85%
- DSCR
- 2.60
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $134,205
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- -47.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 344 W Main St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,791 (0%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $34 | 97 |
| 189 W Martin St | 0.31mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,820 (+2%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $82 | 75 |
| 99 W Martin St | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,791 (0%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $78 | 69 |
| 58 W Main St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,836 (+2%) | 17mo | $100,000 | $54 | 67 |
| 385 Park Ave | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (-13%) | 6mo | $193,000 | $124 | 67 |
| 331 Alice St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,714 (-4%) | 2mo | $142,000 | $83 | 60 |
| 353 W North Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,591 (-11%) | 9mo | $184,900 | $116 | 58 |
| 322 W North Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,664 (-7%) | 17mo | $115,000 | $69 | 57 |
| 237 Alice St | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,898 (+6%) | 16mo | $72,500 | $38 | 51 |
| 5136 State Route 170 | 0.65mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,680 (-6%) | 4mo | $66,000 | $39 | 49 |
| 5014 Wheathill Rd | 0.62mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,611 (-10%) | 13mo | $95,000 | $59 | 36 |
| 418 E Taggart St | 0.73mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,664 (-7%) | 14mo | $115,000 | $69 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $22,448
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 35.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.23×
- Total profit
- $63,235
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44413
- Home prices YoY
- -20.4%
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,385 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,364/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $529
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $569 | -5% $549 | +0% $529 | +5% $509 | +10% $490 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $420 | -5% $474 | +0% $529 | +5% $584 | +10% $639 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $564 | -0.5pp $547 | base $529 | +0.5pp $511 | +1.0pp $493 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Spacious 2 story home offers 1st floor bath with laundry, 3 bedrooms, full bath on 2nd level, all natural hardwood trim throughout. 2 car detached garage, cement drive, front porch and rear deck.
-
2026-03-19price $69,900 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Spacious 2 story home offers 1st floor bath with laundry, 3 bedrooms, full bath on 2nd level, all natural hardwood trim throughout. 2 car detached garage, cement drive, front porch and rear deck.
-
2026-02-28status Active 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Spacious 2 story home offers 1st floor bath with laundry, 3 bedrooms, full bath on 2nd level, all natural hardwood trim throughout. 2 car detached garage, cement drive, front porch and rear deck.
-
2026-02-16status Pending 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Spacious 2 story home offers 1st floor bath with laundry, 3 bedrooms, full bath on 2nd level, all natural hardwood trim throughout. 2 car detached garage, cement drive, front porch and rear deck.
-
2026-02-11$79,900 Active 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Spacious 2 story home offers 1st floor bath with laundry, 3 bedrooms, full bath on 2nd level, all natural hardwood trim throughout. 2 car detached garage, cement drive, front porch and rear deck.
-
2025-10-28historical
-
2025-10-08$79,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,364 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,364 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,619
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$1,364
- − Insurance
- −$1,016
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,329
- − Management
- −$1,329
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $5,631
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,351
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,999/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Palestine City
- NCES district ID
- 3904392
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,573
- Composite
- 44.86/100
- National rank
- #2726
- State rank
- #405 of 656 in OH
Livability — East Palestine
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #325
- US rank
- #5335
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Palestine, OH
- County
- Columbiana · 99,532 people
- City population
- 7,329
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,329
- Household income
- $51,071
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11.1
Population outlook (Columbiana County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 98,353 people
- By 2030
- 94,225 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 85,169 · -13.4%
- By 2050
- 76,157 · -22.6%
- By 2075
- 58,451 · -40.6%
- By 2100
- 42,805 · -56.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbiana
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.0) · D 25.1% · R 74.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.4pp toward R · 2008: -7.6pp · 2024: -49.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.0 2020: R+44.9 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+7.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -48.19%
- Current HPI
- 188.3714
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
-12.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $69,900 MLSNOW
- 2026-02-28 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2026-02-16 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-02-11 Listed $79,900 MLSNOW
- 2025-10-28 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2025-10-08 Listed $79,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,364 · +27.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…