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2208 Dumesnil St
B Composite 70.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.7/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$95,000

2208 Dumesnil St · Louisville, KY 40210
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,348 sqft · SingleFamily · 23 Days on market
Built 1900 4,356 sqft lot Est $88k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor opportunity! This well-maintained 2-bedroom home is currently tenant occupied with rental income of $1,025/m, (which is currently below market rents of $1,289/m). Tenant is on a yearly lease and has resided in the property for the past five years, offering stability and consistent occupancy. The home underwent a complete renovation in 2019, taken down to the studs with major updates completed at that time, making everything new throughout the property. This property has been utilized as a rental and would make a great addition to an investment portfolio or a turnkey opportunity for an investor seeking immediate cash flow. Please allow 48/hr notice for showings due to tenant occupan

Key facts

  • Complete renovation
  • Major updates
  • Rental income

Tags

COMPLETE RENOVATIONMAJOR UPDATESRENTAL INCOME

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Merriwether & Davison
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas
  • Home design: Single-family ranch/shotgun-style home; One above-grade finished level; Built in 1900
  • Construction: Wood frame and brick construction; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Cleared lot; Privacy wood fencing (full)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first floor; Primary bedroom on the first floor
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning; One HVAC unit
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Basement with cellar, finished space and outside entry
  • Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $286 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, crime F.
  • Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Wheatley Elementary (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #670 of 676 statewide, top 100%, 318 students, 84% FRL); Western Middle School For The Arts (math 9% / reading 41%, grade F, #184 of 217 statewide, top 87%, 650 students, 60% FRL); Seneca High (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #228 of 254 statewide, top 91%, 1,309 students, 64% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Jefferson County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 93 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $93,575 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
9.91%
Cash-on-cash
12.91%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$87,620
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1812 Wilson Ave 0.22mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,248 (-7%) 1mo $135,000 $108 70
2316 Greenwood Ave 0.34mi 2/1.0 1,228 (-9%) 3mo $80,000 $65 67
2104 W Burnett Ave 0.41mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,282 (-5%) 6mo $67,000 $52 63
2008 W Burnett Ave 0.42mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,396 (+4%) 7mo $115,900 $83 62
1415 S 28th St 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,384 (+3%) 2mo $190,000 $137 61
865 S 26th St 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,371 (+2%) 3mo $51,999 $38 60
1705 1/2 Hale Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,257 (-7%) 4mo $58,000 $46 56
1736 W Gaulbert Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,326 (-2%) 4mo $53,600 $40 56
1334 Cypress St 0.35mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,491 (+11%) 2mo $195,000 $131 55
1458 Olive St 0.56mi 2/2.0 1,460 (+8%) 2mo $90,000 $62 54
1331 S 28th St 0.46mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,152 (-14%) 6mo $60,000 $52 43
101 Saunders 0.65mi 2/2.0 1,148 (-15%) 5mo $145,000 $126 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.0%
Equity multiple
3.85×
Total profit
$75,759
Equity at exit
$85,584
10-year hold
IRR
32.7%
Equity multiple
9.39×
Total profit
$223,138
Equity at exit
$184,564

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40210

Home prices YoY
12.1%
Rents YoY
8.1%
Active inventory
93
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,102 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $560/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$286

Break-even live

Break-even rent $740
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $340 -5% $313 +0% $286 +5% $259 +10% $232
Rent -10% $199 -5% $243 +0% $286 +5% $330 +10% $373
Rate -1.0pp $334 -0.5pp $310 base $286 +0.5pp $262 +1.0pp $236

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1854 W Ormsby Ave Louisville, KY 2.0 2.0 1094 $800 $0.73 17d 1 0.11mi
2223 Saint Louis Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 1.5 1152 $1,175 $1.02 25d 1 0.12mi
1410 Standard Village Cir Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1200 $900 $0.75 25d 1 0.26mi
2614 Virginia Ave Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 975 $925 $0.95 25d 1 0.29mi
2706 Hale Ave Unit 1 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 25d 1 0.40mi
2706 Hale Ave Unit 2 Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 25d 1 0.40mi
1842 Bolling Ave Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 16d 1 0.45mi
1339 S 28th St Unit 3 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1125 $1,175 $1.04 21d 1 0.45mi
1705 1/2 Hale Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1257 $1,400 $1.11 12d 1 0.46mi
1148 S 17th St Unit 2 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1000 $895 $0.90 25d 1 0.47mi
1847 W Kentucky St Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 1368 $895 $0.65 5d 1 0.49mi
1774 Bolling Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1611 $1,300 $0.81 12d 1 0.52mi
2708 Greenwood Ave Apt 1 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 25d 1 0.53mi
2416 Garland Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1172 $1,600 $1.37 25d 1 0.57mi
2913 Dumesnil St Apt 3 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1112 $740 $0.67 12d 1 0.57mi
1616 Gallagher St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.5 1056 $1,400 $1.33 25d 1 0.59mi
2710 W Kentucky St Apt 2 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1015 $1,300 $1.28 25d 1 0.60mi
1792 W Gaulbert Ave Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 915 $950 $1.04 25d 1 0.61mi
2711 W Kentucky St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1155 $1,100 $0.95 25d 1 0.63mi
848 S 23rd St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.5 1050 $1,450 $1.38 25d 1 0.64mi
1723 W Kentucky St Unit 3 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 25d 1 0.65mi
2821 Greenwood Ave #1 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1113 $1,300 $1.17 25d 1 0.65mi
2634 Garland Ave Unit A Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1152 $940 $0.82 25d 1 0.65mi
2634 Garland Ave Unit B Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1152 $895 $0.78 21d 1 0.65mi
1644 W Kentucky St Unit 3 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 25d 1 0.65mi
2825 Greenwood Ave #2 Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 1300 $995 $0.77 25d 1 0.66mi
2825 Greenwood Ave #4 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1440 $1,250 $0.87 25d 1 0.66mi
1714 W Hill St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,045 $1.00 25d 1 0.66mi
2912 Greenwood Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1362 $1,150 $0.84 17d 1 0.69mi
2400 Burwell Ave Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 972 $895 $0.92 17d 1 0.69mi
2724 Garland Ave Unit 202 Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 950 $745 $0.78 5d 1 0.69mi
1708 W Gaulbert Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 936 $975 $1.04 25d 1 0.71mi
1439 Beech St Apt 1 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.5 1000 $820 $0.82 25d 1 0.72mi
1418 Beech St Unit 2 Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 1000 $980 $0.98 22d 1 0.73mi
1115 S 32nd St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1393 $1,275 $0.92 25d 1 0.85mi
1115 S 32nd St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1393 $1,275 $0.92 22d 1 0.85mi
3215 Virginia Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 975 $924 $0.95 25d 1 0.89mi
3122 W Kentucky St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1030 $1,150 $1.12 25d 1 0.90mi
2310 W Broadway Unit 1 Louisville, KY 1.0 1.0 1100 $975 $0.89 4d 1 0.90mi
2411 Elliott Ave Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 892 $895 $1.00 25d 1 1.00mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $95,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $95,000 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$560 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$817 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$257/yr (+$21/mo · 45.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,224
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$560
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,058
− Management
−$1,058
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$1,988
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$477
After-tax cash flow
$2,956/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
2102990
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,885
Composite
23.45/100
National rank
#7884
State rank
#121 of 165 in KY

Livability — Louisville

Score
63/100
State rank
#333
US rank
#15887

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Louisville, KY
County
Jefferson County · 790,184 people
City population
769,292
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
13,518
Household income
$35,347
Rent vs Own
56.0% rent · 44.0% own
Severe rent burden
815.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
823,112 people
By 2030
849,343 · +3.2%
By 2040
895,696 · +8.8%
By 2050
933,630 · +13.4%
By 2075
1,028,262 · +24.9%
By 2100
1,072,675 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (84%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 84% White 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 28.45%
Current HPI
264.0146
Rent YoY
▲ 8.05%
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+46.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $95,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2019-12-09 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2019-11-20 Listed $95,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2019-11-20 Price Changed $92,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2019-11-19 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2019-11-12 Relisted Metro Search MLS
  • 2019-11-12 Price Changed $95,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2019-09-19 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2019-08-30 Listed $65,000 Metro Search MLS

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $560 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…