903 S Shireview Cir · Abbeville, LA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- ARV discount +9.9/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This one has ALL THE THINGS!!! With 3 bedrooms, and 2 baths, this home has a large living room, open kitchen/dining area, and a massive utility room... but the REAL deal is the outside! There's a large RV/boat covered area, a MASSIVE covered patio, a 12' x 12 shed, a PARTY ROOM (24' x 30') with a patio, outdoor fireplace & rollup door, and a WORKSHOP (16' x 24') with a rollup door! There's plenty of room for projects or storage and lots of space for guests!**This property may qualify for 100% financing with the RD (Rural Development) Loan Program**Come and get it!
Key facts
- Outdoor fireplace
- Party room
- Workshop
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-79 ($-953/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $131k (9.7% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 6.6% in Abbeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#94 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Vermilion Parish (town): math 40% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #15 of 98 in LA (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 180 active listings in the ZIP; 228 units permitted in Vermilion Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Vermilion County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 545 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 545 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.26%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $153,182
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -5.34%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215 Celeste St | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,323 (-0%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $121 | 61 |
| 2024 Evelyn St | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,282 (-3%) | 12mo | $184,500 | $144 | 55 |
| 703 Perry Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,468 (+11%) | 16mo | $55,125 | $38 | 49 |
| 101 Landry Dr | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,251 (-6%) | 4mo | $79,999 | $64 | 47 |
| 800 S Washington St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,475 (+11%) | 5mo | $97,000 | $66 | 45 |
| 1509 Sylvester St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,515 (+14%) | 23mo | $124,000 | $82 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-28,342
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-30,330
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70510
- Active inventory
- 180
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,556 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$61 /mo · $735/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$327
- Net cashflow
- $-79
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 545 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 544 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 543 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 542 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $145,000 Active 540 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 539 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $145,000 Active 537 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 536 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 535 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 534 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 530 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 529 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 528 DOM
-
2026-05-31statusdays on market $145,000 Active 527 DOM
-
2025-08-15price $145,000 577-char remark
Show marketing remark (577 chars)
This one has ALL THE THINGS!!! With 3 bedrooms, and 2 baths, this home has a large living room, open kitchen/dining area, and a massive utility room... but the REAL deal is the outside! There's a large RV/boat covered area, a MASSIVE covered patio, a 12' x 12 shed, a PARTY ROOM (24' x 30') with a patio, outdoor fireplace & rollup door, and a WORKSHOP (16' x 24') with a rollup door! There's plenty of room for projects or storage and lots of space for guests!**This property may qualify for 100% financing with the RD (Rural Development) Loan Program**Come and get it!
-
2025-04-11price $148,000 577-char remark
Show marketing remark (577 chars)
This one has ALL THE THINGS!!! With 3 bedrooms, and 2 baths, this home has a large living room, open kitchen/dining area, and a massive utility room... but the REAL deal is the outside! There's a large RV/boat covered area, a MASSIVE covered patio, a 12' x 12 shed, a PARTY ROOM (24' x 30') with a patio, outdoor fireplace & rollup door, and a WORKSHOP (16' x 24') with a rollup door! There's plenty of room for projects or storage and lots of space for guests!**This property may qualify for 100% financing with the RD (Rural Development) Loan Program**Come and get it!
-
2024-12-13$150,000 Active 577-char remark
Show marketing remark (577 chars)
This one has ALL THE THINGS!!! With 3 bedrooms, and 2 baths, this home has a large living room, open kitchen/dining area, and a massive utility room... but the REAL deal is the outside! There's a large RV/boat covered area, a MASSIVE covered patio, a 12' x 12 shed, a PARTY ROOM (24' x 30') with a patio, outdoor fireplace & rollup door, and a WORKSHOP (16' x 24') with a rollup door! There's plenty of room for projects or storage and lots of space for guests!**This property may qualify for 100% financing with the RD (Rural Development) Loan Program**Come and get it!
-
2024-08-06price $159,900
-
2024-06-18price $165,000
-
2024-05-31price $175,000
-
2024-05-01price $179,000
-
2024-04-01$185,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $735 · $61/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $798 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- +$63/yr (+$5/mo · 8.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,671
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$735
- − Insurance
- −$5,844
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,494
- − Management
- −$1,494
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$3,235
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$776
- After-tax cash flow
- $-176/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vermilion Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201800
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,115
- Composite
- 39.37/100
- National rank
- #3974
- State rank
- #15 of 98 in LA
Livability — Abbeville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #94
- US rank
- #9800
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Abbeville, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,909
Population outlook (Vermilion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 64,095 people
- By 2030
- 65,915 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 68,985 · +7.6%
- By 2050
- 70,804 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 73,897 · +15.3%
- By 2100
- 71,793 · +12.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 24% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Vietnamese 3% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Vermilion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.8) · D 17.6% · R 81.4% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.3pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -63.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.8 2020: R+61.9 2016: R+59.6 2012: R+52.8 2008: R+47.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.44%
- Current HPI
- 97.6131
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-21.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2025-08-15 Price Changed $145,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-04-11 Price Changed $148,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-12-13 Listed $150,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-08-06 Price Changed $159,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-06-18 Price Changed $165,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-05-31 Price Changed $175,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-05-01 Price Changed $179,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-04-01 Listed $185,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $735 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…