16939 W Santiago Cir · Hauser, ID
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $584 – $1,086
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 14 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +5.4/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
ATTENTION BUYERS . .. . The Seller has REDUCED THE PRICE of this lovely manufactured home to $129,900. In addition, YOU WILL BE GIVEN 2 MONTHS OF PAID LOT FEE at closing, AND the SELLER WILL PAY ALL BUYER CLOSING COSTS. The seller introduces you to a marvelous, well kept manufactured home in this Southview Terrace Community located in Hauser, ID. This 3 bedroom and 2 bath home is surrounded by wonderful landscaping, carport and detached 13' x 13 1/2' shed with plenty of storage space. Included in the purchase is an entire array of brand new appliances - dishwasher, microwave, refrigerator, stove/oven, and including a new freezer. The washer and dryer are included along with a security came
Key facts
- Brand new appliances
- Manufactured home
- Detached shed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Part of Southview Terrace association (monthly fee); Association covers grounds maintenance, sewer, snow removal, trash, and water
Exterior
- Utilities: Community sewer; Community water; Electric power
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story (manufactured); Pillar/post/pier foundation; Composition roof; T1-11 exterior siding
- Construction: Built with T1-11 siding; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Outdoor lighting; Lawn; Partial fencing; Shed(s); Landscaped, level yard; Paved public-maintained road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; LVP
- Bathrooms: 3 main-level bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Furnace
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Washer hookup; No basement; crawl space
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Electric dryer; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $605 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 1.0% in Hauser — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#192 in ID) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living B; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Lakeland District (rural): math 41% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #34 of 92 in ID (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 625 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,606 units permitted in Kootenai County in 2024 (154 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kootenai County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.96%
- DSCR
- 1.89
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $123,984
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8512 N Kendra Way | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 924 (-8%) | 12mo | $95,800 | $104 | 76 |
| 17000 W Santiago Cir #6 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 924 (-8%) | 12mo | $117,000 | $127 | 73 |
| 17530 W Santiago Cir | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 938 (-7%) | 11mo | $115,000 | $123 | 72 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.46% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $14,609
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $50,907
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Idaho
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 83854
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 625
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,902 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,948/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $605
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $695 | -5% $650 | +0% $605 | +5% $560 | +10% $515 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $455 | -5% $530 | +0% $605 | +5% $680 | +10% $755 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $670 | -0.5pp $638 | base $605 | +0.5pp $571 | +1.0pp $537 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $129,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $129,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $129,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $129,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-21price $129,900
-
2026-03-11$136,900 Active
-
2025-05-15$136,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,826
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,948
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,826
- − Management
- −$1,826
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $5,521
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,325
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,935/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lakeland District
- NCES district ID
- 1601800
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,454
- Composite
- 42.13/100
- National rank
- #3310
- State rank
- #34 of 92 in ID
Livability — Hauser
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #192
- US rank
- #19909
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hauser, ID
- County
- Kootenai County · 146,553 people
- Metro
- Coeur d'Alene, ID
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,851
- Household income
- $82,742
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1218.0
Population outlook (Kootenai County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 177,692 people
- By 2030
- 190,689 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 214,704 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 236,510 · +33.1%
- By 2075
- 285,984 · +60.9%
- By 2100
- 316,459 · +78.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Kootenai
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.9) · D 22.9% · R 74.8% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.3pp · 2024: -51.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.9 2020: R+42.9 2016: R+42.5 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+26.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -259.70%
- Current HPI
- 259.7767
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.46%
- Metro
- Coeur d'Alene, ID
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $79B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $6B |
|
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Price history
-5.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $129,900 CDAMLS
- 2026-03-11 Listed $136,900 CDAMLS
- 2025-05-15 Listed $136,900 CDAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…