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16939 W Santiago Cir
B- Composite 67.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.4/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

16939 W Santiago Cir · Hauser, ID 83854
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily · 100 Days on market
Built 1992 Est $124k · at est. ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

ATTENTION BUYERS . .. . The Seller has REDUCED THE PRICE of this lovely manufactured home to $129,900. In addition, YOU WILL BE GIVEN 2 MONTHS OF PAID LOT FEE at closing, AND the SELLER WILL PAY ALL BUYER CLOSING COSTS. The seller introduces you to a marvelous, well kept manufactured home in this Southview Terrace Community located in Hauser, ID. This 3 bedroom and 2 bath home is surrounded by wonderful landscaping, carport and detached 13' x 13 1/2' shed with plenty of storage space. Included in the purchase is an entire array of brand new appliances - dishwasher, microwave, refrigerator, stove/oven, and including a new freezer. The washer and dryer are included along with a security came

Key facts

  • Brand new appliances
  • Manufactured home
  • Detached shed

Tags

MANUFACTURED HOMESOUTHVIEW TERRACE COMMUNITYWONDERFUL LANDSCAPINGDETACHED SHEDBRAND NEW APPLIANCESSECURITY CAMERA SYSTEM

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Part of Southview Terrace association (monthly fee); Association covers grounds maintenance, sewer, snow removal, trash, and water

Exterior

  • Utilities: Community sewer; Community water; Electric power
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story (manufactured); Pillar/post/pier foundation; Composition roof; T1-11 exterior siding
  • Construction: Built with T1-11 siding; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Outdoor lighting; Lawn; Partial fencing; Shed(s); Landscaped, level yard; Paved public-maintained road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; LVP
  • Bathrooms: 3 main-level bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Furnace
  • Interior features: High-speed internet; Washer hookup; No basement; crawl space
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Electric dryer; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $605 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 1.0% in Hauser — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#192 in ID) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living B; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Lakeland District (rural): math 41% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #34 of 92 in ID (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 625 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,606 units permitted in Kootenai County in 2024 (154 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kootenai County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,209 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
11.88%
Cash-on-cash
19.96%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$123,984
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8512 N Kendra Way 0.00mi 3/2.0 924 (-8%) 12mo $95,800 $104 76
17000 W Santiago Cir #6 0.06mi 3/2.0 924 (-8%) 12mo $117,000 $127 73
17530 W Santiago Cir 0.07mi 3/1.0 938 (-7%) 11mo $115,000 $123 72

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.46% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.4%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$14,609
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
18.2%
Equity multiple
2.40×
Total profit
$50,907
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Idaho
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; minimal tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 83854

Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
625
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,902 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,948/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$399
Net cashflow
$605

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,136
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $695 -5% $650 +0% $605 +5% $560 +10% $515
Rent -10% $455 -5% $530 +0% $605 +5% $680 +10% $755
Rate -1.0pp $670 -0.5pp $638 base $605 +0.5pp $571 +1.0pp $537

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $129,900 Active 100 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 99 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 98 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 97 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 96 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $129,900 Active 94 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 93 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $129,900 Active 91 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 90 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 89 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 88 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Active 83 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Active 82 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 81 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $129,900 Active 80 DOM
  16. 2026-05-21
    price $129,900
  17. 2026-03-11
    listed $136,900 Active
  18. 2025-05-15
    listed $136,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,826
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$1,948
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,826
− Management
−$1,826
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$5,521
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,325
After-tax cash flow
$5,935/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lakeland District
NCES district ID
1601800
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$52,454
Composite
42.13/100
National rank
#3310
State rank
#34 of 92 in ID

Livability — Hauser

Score
59/100
State rank
#192
US rank
#19909

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment C- Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hauser, ID
County
Kootenai County · 146,553 people
Metro
Coeur d'Alene, ID
Population (ZIP)
54,851
Household income
$82,742
Rent vs Own
32.1% rent · 67.9% own
Severe rent burden
1218.0

Population outlook (Kootenai County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
177,692 people
By 2030
190,689 · +7.3%
By 2040
214,704 · +20.8%
By 2050
236,510 · +33.1%
By 2075
285,984 · +60.9%
By 2100
316,459 · +78.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Kootenai

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.9) · D 22.9% · R 74.8% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-25.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.3pp · 2024: -51.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.9 2020: R+42.9 2016: R+42.5 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+26.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -259.70%
Current HPI
259.7767
Rent YoY
▲ 1.46%
Metro
Coeur d'Alene, ID
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $129,900 CDAMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $136,900 CDAMLS
  • 2025-05-15 Listed $136,900 CDAMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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