CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1301 Martin Luther King Blvd
F Composite 28.52
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.2/30.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

1301 Martin Luther King Blvd · Northport, AL 35476
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 400 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1950 4,791 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity for investment or residential use. The main house is spacious with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, fully updated with new flooring, countertops, and bathrooms, along with new appliances. It is in excellent condition and move-in ready. The detached garage offers great storage and includes a 1-bedroom, 1-bath unit above. It is conveniently located near businesses, schools, and shopping.

Key facts

  • Storage
  • 1 bedroom unit
  • Conveniently located

Tags

DETACHED GARAGESTORAGE1 BEDROOM UNIT1 BATH UNITCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Gas water heater; Internet service availability unknown
  • Home design: Existing property (year built: existing); 4-side brick construction
  • Construction: 4-side brick exterior; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: No waterfront; No pool; No patio, deck, or garden/patio listed; Lot size approximately 0.11 acres; Not in a flood plain; No notable lot view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with laminate countertops; Refrigerator included
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level); Additional bedroom (main level)
  • Flooring: Hardwood laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (including a master bath) — both on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Hardwood laminate and tile flooring; Gas fireplace with gas logs in the living room; Ceilings: other (see remarks); No additional interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup and electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-279 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $151k (24.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (42.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $115k (42.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in AL, #2,686 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Tuscaloosa County (suburban): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #47 of 129 in AL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Englewood Elementary School (math 19% / reading 48%, grade F, #318 of 627 statewide, top 51%, 512 students, 74% FRL); Hillcrest High School (math 18% / reading 26%, grade F, #142 of 305 statewide, top 51%, 1,356 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 45% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $200k implies a 304% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $114,927 (42.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.57%
Cap rate
4.62%
Cash-on-cash
-5.99%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
14.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.7%
Equity multiple
0.10×
Total profit
$-50,295
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
-24.3%
Equity multiple
-0.20×
Total profit
$-67,132
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35476

Home prices YoY
-32.3%
Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
14.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,149 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $670/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$241
Net cashflow
$-279

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,503
Max offer price $150,527
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-166 -5% $-223 +0% $-279 +5% $-336 +10% $-393
Rent -10% $-370 -5% $-325 +0% $-279 +5% $-234 +10% $-189
Rate -1.0pp $-179 -0.5pp $-229 base $-279 +0.5pp $-331 +1.0pp $-384

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $199,900 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 17 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $199,900 Active 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $199,900 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $235,000 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $235,000 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $235,000 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $235,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $235,000 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $235,000 Active 2 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    remarks 397-char remark
  16. 2026-06-02
    listed $235,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$670 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$820 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$150/yr (+$12/mo · 22.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 53% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,791
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$670
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,103
− Management
−$1,103
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$7,098
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,703
After-tax cash flow
$-1,650/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tuscaloosa County
NCES district ID
0103390
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$53,000
Composite
28.88/100
National rank
#6641
State rank
#47 of 129 in AL

Livability — Northport

Score
78/100
State rank
#8
US rank
#2686

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Northport, AL
County
Tuscaloosa County · 206,491 people
City population
47,464
Metro
Tuscaloosa, AL
Population (ZIP)
8,521
Household income
$61,154
Rent vs Own
58.8% rent · 41.2% own
Severe rent burden
281.0

Population outlook (Tuscaloosa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,293 people
By 2030
240,551 · +5.4%
By 2040
263,856 · +15.6%
By 2050
286,491 · +25.5%
By 2075
335,783 · +47.1%
By 2100
370,520 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% White 40% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Tuscaloosa

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.4% · R 59.8%
2008→2024 swing
-4.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -20.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -104.98%
Current HPI
219.7539
Rent YoY
Metro
Tuscaloosa, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+135.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $235,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $235,000 WAMLS
  • 2023-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
  • 2017-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2017-05-15 Sold (MLS) $65,000 WAMLS
  • 2017-01-09 Listed $72,900 WAMLS
  • 2017-01-09 Listed $72,900 WAMLS
  • 2016-09-26 Listed $99,900 WAMLS

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $670 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…