Duplex
822 Mark St · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.6/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Investment opportunity. Duplex (upper and lower). 2 bed, 1 bath each. Full basement is already split for each unit if needed. Lower unit is already rented. Cash offers only.
Key facts
- Hard wood floors
- Separate utilities
- Covered porches
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property used as residential income; 2 total units (both currently vacant); 1 building; Tenants responsible for all utilities; Owner responsible for taxes
Exterior
- Parking: 4 parking spaces; Alley access; Off-street parking
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Electricity connected (100 amp service); Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential income property (duplex); Two-story; Two levels; Duplex / Multi-family
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Built (year source: public records)
- Exterior features: Front porch; Covered porch; Privacy fencing; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Has basement
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Open floor plan; Double pane windows with screens; Storm door(s)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $502/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Cap rate 22.4% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Sherman Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,554 of 1,584 statewide, top 100%, 293 students, 0% FRL); Woodward High School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #726 of 781 statewide, top 94%, 672 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,939/mo this rent would consume 79% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 911% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $19k; list at $75k implies a 294% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1891 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1891 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 57.41%
- DSCR
- 3.55
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $82,368
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 Locust St | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 | 1,968 (-7%) | 6mo | $25,000 | $13 | 74 |
| 106 Melrose Ave | 0.37mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,158 (+2%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $35 | 72 |
| 2824 Chestnut St | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 2,055 (-3%) | 2mo | $81,000 | $39 | 70 |
| 2278 Warren St | 0.44mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,380 (+13%) | 4mo | $845,000 | $355 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.55×
- Total profit
- $53,559
- Equity at exit
- $11,168
- IRR
- 62.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.50×
- Total profit
- $136,395
- Equity at exit
- $6,476
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43608
- Home prices YoY
- -21.3%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,939 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$104 /mo · $1,253/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$407
- Net cashflow
- $1,003
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $1,938 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $969 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $969 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,939 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2621 Chestnut St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 119 Winthrop St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1734 | $1,350 | $0.78 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 38 E Central Ave Toledo, OH | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1510 | $1,500 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1031 N Michigan St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $1,195 | $0.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2907 Rockwood Pl Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1494 | $1,100 | $0.74 | 14d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 724 Mulberry St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1530 | $995 | $0.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 610 Cadillac Ct Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1409 | $1,050 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 614 Cadillac Ct Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1581 | $1,075 | $0.68 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1449 N Huron St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,045 | $0.73 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1536 N Erie St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,300 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-15status $74,900 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $74,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 512-char remark
-
2026-06-14days on market $74,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $74,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 444-char remark
-
2026-06-09$74,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,253 · $104/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,253 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,268
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$1,253
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,861
- − Management
- −$1,861
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $11,543
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,770
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,271/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,593
- Household income
- $29,275
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 911.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 25% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.73%
- Current HPI
- 139.4964
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.89%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+36.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $74,900 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $19,000 NORIS
- 2017-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
- 2017-03-02 Sold (MLS) $19,000 NORIS
- 2016-11-29 Listed $20,000 NORIS
- 2016-07-07 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2016-02-15 Listed $25,000 NORIS
- 2011-11-22 Sold (MLS) $10,000 NORIS
- 2011-11-17 Price Changed $10,000 NORIS
- 2011-10-25 Listed $7,000 NORIS
- 2011-07-20 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2010-04-20 Listed $11,000 NORIS
- 2003-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,253 · +19.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…