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202/204 S Sterling Ave Duplex
F Composite 29.0
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.8/30.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

202/204 S Sterling Ave · Sugar Creek, MO 64054
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,617 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1959 0.26 ac lot Est $233k · 18% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

An investment to look in to! Terrific location, loyal and stable tenants, an attractive property in a great little community! One side of this duplex, #204, has been completely renovated! In addition, a new roof was installed this year along with a new grinder pump for more a efficient sewage system. The floor plan, the walk out basements and the all BRICK construction make this property and sound and lucrative investment! Side note: Per seller, the house itself was built in 1959. Tax Records state it was built in 1954, however, that is when the Lot was purchased.

Key facts

  • Large driveway
  • Newer roof
  • Separate meters

Tags

NEWER ROOFUPDATED THERMAL WINDOWSLARGE DRIVEWAYUNFINISHED WALKOUT BASEMENTSSEPARATE METERS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Gross income reported: $21,600; Operating expenses include insurance, property management, and real estate tax; Current occupancy under 80%; Total units: 2 (each unit is 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, 5 rooms)

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage with direct access
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: City/public water (verify); Public sewer with grinder pump; Individual heating and air for units; Individual water heaters
  • Home design: Duplex (residential income property); Single-story; Located inside city limits
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Age: approximately 51–75 years
  • Exterior features: Patio; Public road maintenance; Not in a flood plain

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: Multiple 2-bedroom units (see Unit breakdown)
  • Bathrooms: One bathroom per unit
  • Interior features: Disposal; Separate utility meters; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-73 ($-881/yr) — negative. Per door: $-37/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $262k (4.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (22.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $212k (22.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#261 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, commute B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Independence 30 (suburban): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #252 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $212,000 (22.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.97%
Cash-on-cash
-1.14%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$232,848
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
107 & 109 S Oak Ridge Ter 0.35mi 4/2.0 1,560 (-4%) 7mo $225,000 $144 72
10501 E 8th St 0.71mi 4/2.0 1,516 (-6%) 15mo $190,000 $125 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.2%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-49,297
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
-10.5%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-49,195
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64054

Home prices YoY
-4.4%
Active inventory
24
Price-to-rent
21.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,120 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$191 /mo · $2,298/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$445
Net cashflow
$-73

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,213
Max offer price $262,037
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $82 -5% $4 +0% $-73 +5% $-151 +10% $-229
Rent -10% $-241 -5% $-157 +0% $-73 +5% $10 +10% $94
Rate -1.0pp $65 -0.5pp $-3 base $-73 +0.5pp $-145 +1.0pp $-217

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,120

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11500 E Anderson St Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,599 $1.33 17d 1 0.27mi
11323 E Thompson St Sugar Creek, MO 3.0 2.5 1794 $1,800 $1.00 13d 1 0.33mi
10622 E Scarritt Ave Sugar Creek, MO 4.0 1.0 1560 $1,445 $0.93 44d 1 0.39mi
182 Novak St Sugar Creek, MO 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,800 $1.33 17d 1 0.43mi
1109 S Appleton Ave Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,195 $1.00 16d 1 0.86mi
10104 E Golf Ave Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 1205 $1,395 $1.16 15d 1 0.97mi
554 S Arlington Ave Independence, MO 4.0 1.0 1161 $1,395 $1.20 15d 1 1.05mi
1425 S Northern Blvd Independence, MO 3.0 1.5 1275 $1,200 $0.94 8d 1 1.15mi
1416 S Hardy Ave Independence, MO 5.0 2.0 1328 $1,625 $1.22 44d 1 1.20mi
100 S Oxford Ave Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 1141 $1,425 $1.25 45d 1 1.20mi
600 S Glenwood Ave Unit G-2 Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,650 $1.03 21d 1 1.22mi
600 S Glenwood Ave Unit G Independence, MO 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,675 $1.05 44d 1 1.22mi
576 S Oxford Ave Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 1098 $1,400 $1.28 44d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $275,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $275,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $275,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $275,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $275,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $275,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $275,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $275,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $275,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $275,000 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  12. 2026-06-02
    listed $275,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,298 · $191/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,668 · $222/mo
Expected delta
+$370/yr (+$31/mo · 16.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,440
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$2,298
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,035
− Management
−$2,035
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$5,707
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,370
After-tax cash flow
$489/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Independence 30
NCES district ID
2915480
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$41,843
Composite
27.04/100
National rank
#7054
State rank
#252 of 324 in MO

Livability — Sugar Creek

Score
65/100
State rank
#261
US rank
#12484

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sugar Creek, MO
County
Jackson County · 687,798 people
City population
3,547
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
3,547
Household income
$59,719
Rent vs Own
29.2% rent · 70.8% own
Severe rent burden
76.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
719,589 people
By 2030
731,456 · +1.6%
By 2040
746,689 · +3.8%
By 2050
749,289 · +4.1%
By 2075
736,227 · +2.3%
By 2100
668,210 · -7.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 4% Pacific Islander 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 7% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -14.28%
Current HPI
310.9216
Rent YoY
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $275,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-02-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-02-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-01-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-01-27 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-01-03 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-10-29 Listed $109,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-18 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-10 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-09 Relisted Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-31 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-03-05 Listed $109,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,298 · -8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…