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16300 State Highway 305 NE #50
B Composite 74.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.7/15.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

16300 State Highway 305 NE #50 · Suquamish, WA 98370
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured · 144 Days on market
Built 1978 Good condition $83/sqft · at area comps Est $126k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

MOTIVATED SELLER – HUGE PRICE ADJUSTMENT!! Enjoy senior living in this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home! Over $50,000 in improvements within the last 2 years; New roof, heat pump, furnace, water heater, oven, fresh paint inside & out, carpet, lighting and 10'x12' Tuff shed. Light filled spacious living area, dining room connected to a large kitchen, and a cozy family room with a wood stove. The roomy primary bedroom offers two closets and a bathroom with a walk-in shower & 2 vanities. Outside features a covered deck, raised garden beds, 24 rose bushes, extra wood for stove and plenty of space for gardening. Cedar Glen offers community activities; bingo, cook offs & more! Conve

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • Heat pump
  • Water heater

Tags

NEW ROOFHEAT PUMPFURNACEWATER HEATERFRESH PAINTLARGE SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#262 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, schools B+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • North Kitsap School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #54 of 291 in WA (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 265 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,294 units permitted in Kitsap County in 2024 (302 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kitsap County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $105,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.32%
Cap rate
20.01%
Cash-on-cash
49.00%
DSCR
3.18
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$125,984
List price
$119,900
Delta
-4.83%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16300 NE State Highway 305 #10 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,368 (-5%) 2mo $170,000 $124 85
16300 State Highway 305 NE #22 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 3mo $75,000 $56 83
16300 State Hwy 305 NE #75 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-7%) 5mo $40,000 $30 80
16300 State Hwy 305 NE #80 0.01mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-7%) 11mo $125,000 $93 74
16300 NE State Highway 305 #52 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,400 (-3%) 21mo $189,000 $135 72
16300 State Highway 305 NE #77 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,560 (+8%) 20mo $75,000 $48 68
16300 NE State Hwy 305 #18 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,260 (-12%) 10mo $185,000 $147 66
16300 NE State Highway 305 #71 0.01mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,276 (-11%) 12mo $142,500 $112 66
16300 State Highway 305 #82 0.01mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,288 (-11%) 20mo $95,000 $74 60
16300 State Route 305 NE #78 0.08mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,240 (-14%) 12mo $79,900 $64 58
16300 State Highway 305 NE #11 0.00mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,234 (-14%) 23mo $42,000 $34 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.0%
Equity multiple
2.84×
Total profit
$61,660
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
48.9%
Equity multiple
5.22×
Total profit
$141,718
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98370

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
265
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,784 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$585
Net cashflow
$1,371

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,049
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,454 -5% $1,412 +0% $1,371 +5% $1,330 +10% $1,288
Rent -10% $1,151 -5% $1,261 +0% $1,371 +5% $1,481 +10% $1,591
Rate -1.0pp $1,431 -0.5pp $1,401 base $1,371 +0.5pp $1,340 +1.0pp $1,308

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4005 NE Kedros Dr Poulsbo, WA 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,850 $2.38 14d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    price $119,900 Active 144 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 144 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 143 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 142 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 141 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,000 Active 139 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 138 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $135,000 Active 136 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 135 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 134 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 133 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 128 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 127 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 126 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $135,000 Active 125 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    price $135,000
  17. 2026-04-05
    status Active
  18. 2026-03-22
    status Pending
  19. 2026-01-27
    price $149,900
  20. 2026-01-11
    listed $169,900 Active
  21. 2023-06-23
    soldstatus $115,000 Closed
  22. 2023-05-26
    status Pending
  23. 2023-05-08
    status Active
  24. 2023-05-07
    status Pending
  25. 2023-05-03
    listed $115,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,412
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,798
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,673
− Management
−$2,673
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$15,463
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,711
After-tax cash flow
$12,741/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in good condition with recent improvements, offering a move-in-ready living space with potential for further updates to enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both update flooring in kitchen — hardwood flooring is more durable and visually appealing
  • Both update kitchen cabinets — newer cabinets would improve the kitchen's appearance and functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both update flooring in kitchen — hardwood flooring is more durable and visually appealing
  • Both update kitchen cabinets — newer cabinets would improve the kitchen's appearance and functionality

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Kitsap School District
NCES district ID
5305760
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$68,919
Composite
53.68/100
National rank
#3092
State rank
#54 of 291 in WA

Livability — Suquamish

Score
69/100
State rank
#262
US rank
#9023

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C- Crime B+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Suquamish, WA
County
Kitsap County · 243,099 people
City population
3,412
Metro
Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, WA
Population (ZIP)
33,655
Household income
$116,756
Rent vs Own
24.5% rent · 75.5% own
Severe rent burden
904.0

Population outlook (Kitsap County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
277,525 people
By 2030
285,040 · +2.7%
By 2040
294,957 · +6.3%
By 2050
300,622 · +8.3%
By 2075
315,580 · +13.7%
By 2100
304,340 · +9.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 3% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 7% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kitsap

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.9) · D 58.8% · R 37.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
+8.6pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 20.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.9 2020: D+18.1 2016: D+11.6 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -342.47%
Current HPI
347.3427
Rent YoY
▲ 0.71%
Metro
Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+17.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $135,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-05 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-22 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $149,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-11 Listed $169,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-23 Sold (MLS) $115,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-26 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-08 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-07 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-03 Listed $115,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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