4183 Jade Dr · Douglasville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Calling all investors! Hidden Gem in Douglasville GA. Property is being Sold AS-IS subject to Douglas County Probate Court Approval.
Key facts
- Parking
- Built 1969
- Listed 27 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Other electric service
- Home design: One-level home; Fee simple ownership; Property condition: Fixer
- Construction: Brick construction (brick 4 sides); Block foundation; Other roof type; Built with other/mobile body type
- Exterior features: Private entrance; Private yard; Fenced front and back yard; Paved road frontage on a city street
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; No additional kitchen features listed
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; Master on main
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Main level has one full and one half bath; Master bathroom: None
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Other interior features; No common walls; Attic
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $511 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 4.5% in Douglasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#82 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime F, amenities F.
- Douglas County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Mason Creek Elementary School (math 36% / reading 40%, grade F, #469 of 1,228 statewide, top 38%, 593 students, 64% FRL); Mason Creek Middle School (math 28% / reading 42%, grade F, #191 of 470 statewide, top 41%, 879 students, 64% FRL); Alexander High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #162 of 424 statewide, top 40%, 1,823 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 595 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.59%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $311,521
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -51.85%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6920 Berea Rd | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,662 (-3%) | 3mo | $285,000 | $171 | 81 |
| 6720 Manor Creek Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 | 1,701 (-0%) | 4mo | $260,000 | $153 | 71 |
| 4007 Nations Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,837 (+7%) | 6mo | $234,500 | $128 | 62 |
| 6829 Laurel View Ct | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,650 (-4%) | 1mo | $264,900 | $161 | 62 |
| 3995 Nations Dr | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,644 (-4%) | 9mo | $225,000 | $137 | 59 |
| 6850 Oakland Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,606 (-6%) | 9mo | $245,000 | $153 | 58 |
| 3978 Nations Dr | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,668 (-2%) | 14mo | $223,404 | $134 | 55 |
| 4179 Westview St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,702 (-0%) | 12mo | $225,000 | $132 | 53 |
| 6668 Prinston Cir | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,534 (-10%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $176 | 49 |
| 4093 Knotty Oak Trl | 0.60mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,850 (+8%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $138 | 47 |
| 4428 Highway 5 | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,622 (-5%) | 22mo | $262,400 | $162 | 42 |
| 4065 Bent Oak Ct | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,470 (-14%) | 15mo | $234,000 | $159 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $2,789
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $23,275
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30135
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 595
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,905 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$145 /mo · $1,745/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$400
- Net cashflow
- $511
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $596 | -5% $553 | +0% $511 | +5% $468 | +10% $426 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $360 | -5% $436 | +0% $511 | +5% $586 | +10% $661 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $586 | -0.5pp $549 | base $511 | +0.5pp $472 | +1.0pp $432 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6945 Pompas Ct Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2084 | $2,019 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3960 Watkins Way Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1692 | $1,511 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3971 Highway 5 Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $1,995 | $1.44 | 4d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3751 Sherwood Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1677 | $1,500 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3964 Wedgewood Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $1,750 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 22 Fox Hall Dr Unit B Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1583 | $1,465 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 6200 King Arthur Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,495 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4839 W Lake Way Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1835 | $1,940 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 6677 Birchwood Ter Winston, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $1,680 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4852 W Ridge Dr Douglasville, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1872 | $2,085 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 6165 Marilla St Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1305 | $1,665 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3468 Rocky Creek Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,750 | $1.20 | 19d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 6364 Dorsett Shoals Rd Douglasville, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1900 | $1,500 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4956 W Ridge Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,725 | $1.33 | 5d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-07$150,000 New 132-char remark
Show marketing remark (132 chars)
Calling all investors! Hidden Gem in Douglasville GA. Property is being Sold AS-IS subject to Douglas County Probate Court Approval.
-
2026-05-07$150,000 Active 132-char remark
Show marketing remark (132 chars)
Calling all investors! Hidden Gem in Douglasville GA. Property is being Sold AS-IS subject to Douglas County Probate Court Approval.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,745 · $145/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,745 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,866
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,745
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,829
- − Management
- −$1,829
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $3,946
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$947
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,182/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Douglas County
- NCES district ID
- 1301860
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,335
- Composite
- 25.84/100
- National rank
- #7353
- State rank
- #92 of 174 in GA
Livability — Douglasville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #6971
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Douglas County · 141,416 people
- City population
- 114,380
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 66,800
- Household income
- $94,526
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 890.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 163,022 people
- By 2030
- 173,956 · +6.7%
- By 2040
- 196,859 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 220,017 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 279,831 · +71.7%
- By 2100
- 322,702 · +97.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.4) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +29.6pp toward D · 2008: 1.8pp · 2024: 31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.4 2020: D+25.1 2016: D+10.8 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+1.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -225.50%
- Current HPI
- 223.9534
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.08%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Relisted — FMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $150,000 GAMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $150,000 FMLS
Property tax history
+13.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,745 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…