1206 Williams Ave · Wichita Falls, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.5/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This property features three bedrooms, one bathroom, ideal for an investor seeking to add to their portfolio. Tenant occupied. Call for more information
Key facts
- Built 1954
- Listed 104 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $203 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $90k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
- Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.80%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $33,780
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- 193.08%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 Scurry St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 866 (+4%) | 22mo | $35,000 | $40 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-649
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.96×
- Total profit
- $26,643
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76301
- Home prices YoY
- -34.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,057 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $854/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $203
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1208 Williams Ave Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 909 | $1,199 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1001 Redwood Ave Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 928 | $916 | $0.99 | 43d | 2 | 0.43mi |
| 33 Grant Gill Ln Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1200 Thompson Rd Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $898 | $0.97 | 43d | 7 | 0.69mi |
| 9 Shiver Cir Unit 1 Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $850 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-03-06$99,000 Active 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
This property features three bedrooms, one bathroom, ideal for an investor seeking to add to their portfolio. Tenant occupied. Call for more information
-
2025-08-05soldstatus Closed 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
SELLER PAYS ALL CLOSING COST!! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home has been completely remodeled. The open living concept is great for the whole family. The living area has a fireplace, kitchen has granite countertops, stainless appliances and a ceramic backsplash, utility closet has plenty of shelves, bathroom has granite countertop and ceramic tile, bedrooms are carpeted, roof is new, AC/heating is a new split heat pump, new gutters and doors. The property sits on a corner lot with a large fenced yard.
-
2025-08-05soldstatus
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
SELLER PAYS ALL CLOSING COST!! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home has been completely remodeled. The open living concept is great for the whole family. The living area has a fireplace, kitchen has granite countertops, stainless appliances and a ceramic backsplash, utility closet has plenty of shelves, bathroom has granite countertop and ceramic tile, bedrooms are carpeted, roof is new, AC/heating is a new split heat pump, new gutters and doors. The property sits on a corner lot with a large fenced yard.
-
2025-07-30historical 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
SELLER PAYS ALL CLOSING COST!! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home has been completely remodeled. The open living concept is great for the whole family. The living area has a fireplace, kitchen has granite countertops, stainless appliances and a ceramic backsplash, utility closet has plenty of shelves, bathroom has granite countertop and ceramic tile, bedrooms are carpeted, roof is new, AC/heating is a new split heat pump, new gutters and doors. The property sits on a corner lot with a large fenced yard.
-
2025-07-16price $100,000 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
SELLER PAYS ALL CLOSING COST!! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home has been completely remodeled. The open living concept is great for the whole family. The living area has a fireplace, kitchen has granite countertops, stainless appliances and a ceramic backsplash, utility closet has plenty of shelves, bathroom has granite countertop and ceramic tile, bedrooms are carpeted, roof is new, AC/heating is a new split heat pump, new gutters and doors. The property sits on a corner lot with a large fenced yard.
-
2025-06-30price $105,000 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
SELLER PAYS ALL CLOSING COST!! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home has been completely remodeled. The open living concept is great for the whole family. The living area has a fireplace, kitchen has granite countertops, stainless appliances and a ceramic backsplash, utility closet has plenty of shelves, bathroom has granite countertop and ceramic tile, bedrooms are carpeted, roof is new, AC/heating is a new split heat pump, new gutters and doors. The property sits on a corner lot with a large fenced yard.
-
2025-06-23price $109,999 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
SELLER PAYS ALL CLOSING COST!! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home has been completely remodeled. The open living concept is great for the whole family. The living area has a fireplace, kitchen has granite countertops, stainless appliances and a ceramic backsplash, utility closet has plenty of shelves, bathroom has granite countertop and ceramic tile, bedrooms are carpeted, roof is new, AC/heating is a new split heat pump, new gutters and doors. The property sits on a corner lot with a large fenced yard.
-
2025-06-16price $110,000 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
SELLER PAYS ALL CLOSING COST!! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home has been completely remodeled. The open living concept is great for the whole family. The living area has a fireplace, kitchen has granite countertops, stainless appliances and a ceramic backsplash, utility closet has plenty of shelves, bathroom has granite countertop and ceramic tile, bedrooms are carpeted, roof is new, AC/heating is a new split heat pump, new gutters and doors. The property sits on a corner lot with a large fenced yard.
-
2025-06-12price $115,000 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
SELLER PAYS ALL CLOSING COST!! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home has been completely remodeled. The open living concept is great for the whole family. The living area has a fireplace, kitchen has granite countertops, stainless appliances and a ceramic backsplash, utility closet has plenty of shelves, bathroom has granite countertop and ceramic tile, bedrooms are carpeted, roof is new, AC/heating is a new split heat pump, new gutters and doors. The property sits on a corner lot with a large fenced yard.
-
2025-06-05$120,000 Active 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
SELLER PAYS ALL CLOSING COST!! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home has been completely remodeled. The open living concept is great for the whole family. The living area has a fireplace, kitchen has granite countertops, stainless appliances and a ceramic backsplash, utility closet has plenty of shelves, bathroom has granite countertop and ceramic tile, bedrooms are carpeted, roof is new, AC/heating is a new split heat pump, new gutters and doors. The property sits on a corner lot with a large fenced yard.
-
2024-08-26soldstatus Closed
-
2024-08-26soldstatus
-
2024-08-16historical
-
2024-07-31price $32,500
-
2024-07-31price $39,900
-
2024-07-30price $35,000
-
2024-07-08$39,000 Active
-
2018-04-17soldstatus
-
2016-12-09soldstatus
-
2016-06-06soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $854 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,812 · $151/mo
- Expected delta
- +$957/yr (+$80/mo · 112.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,681
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$854
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,014
- − Management
- −$1,014
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $877
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$210
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,228/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wichita Falls ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845780
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,604
- Composite
- 27.06/100
- National rank
- #7051
- State rank
- #585 of 826 in TX
Livability — Wichita Falls
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #437
- US rank
- #8940
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wichita Falls, TX
- County
- Wichita County · 95,694 people
- City population
- 95,694
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,479
- Household income
- $41,947
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 577.0
Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 129,638 people
- By 2030
- 128,366 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 124,466 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 120,499 · -7.0%
- By 2075
- 113,884 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 101,818 · -21.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 38% Black 18% Two or more races 15% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 22%
Political lean MEDSL · Wichita
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -69.89%
- Current HPI
- 135.1511
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.27%
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+153.8% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Listed $99,000 WFAOR
- 2025-08-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-08-05 Sold (MLS) — WFAOR
- 2025-07-30 Delisted — WFAOR
- 2025-07-16 Price Changed $100,000 WFAOR
- 2025-06-30 Price Changed $105,000 WFAOR
- 2025-06-23 Price Changed $109,999 WFAOR
- 2025-06-16 Price Changed $110,000 WFAOR
- 2025-06-12 Price Changed $115,000 WFAOR
- 2025-06-05 Listed $120,000 WFAOR
- 2024-08-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-08-26 Sold (MLS) — WFAOR
- 2024-08-16 Delisted — WFAOR
- 2024-07-31 Price Changed $32,500 WFAOR
- 2024-07-31 Price Changed $39,900 WFAOR
- 2024-07-30 Price Changed $35,000 WFAOR
- 2024-07-08 Listed $39,000 WFAOR
- 2018-04-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-12-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-06-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+11.5%/yrLatest (2025): $854 · +101.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…