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27143 Westland Rd
F Composite 34.7
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

27143 Westland Rd · Livonia, MI 48240
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,101 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1954 0.33 ac lot Est $195k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED, HIGHEST AND BEST DUE WEDNESDAY 5/20 2PM. 3 bedroom, 2 bath brick ranch with full finished basement in Beautiful winding streets section of Redford. Living room with hardwood floors, dining section, kitchen with all appliances included, 3rd bedroom has walk thru door to basement stairway, finished basement with full bath. Beautiful deep lot and 2 1/2 car garage. Make this house your own!

Key facts

  • Deep lot
  • Hardwood floors
  • Brick ranch

Tags

BRICK RANCHFULL FINISHED BASEMENTHARDWOOD FLOORSKITCHEN WITH ALL APPLIANCESDEEP LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (2 car) with garage facing front
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick exterior
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Above-grade finished area and additional finished space below grade
  • Exterior features: Paved road; Lot approximately 70 x 200 (0.33 acre)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing gas oven; Free-standing refrigerator; Microwave
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central air
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Dishwasher; Dryer; Free-standing gas oven; Free-standing refrigerator; Microwave; Washer; Full, partially finished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer and dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-43 ($-518/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $192k (3.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (26.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (26.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.9% in Livonia — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#116 in MI, #2,784 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, health & safety D, commute F.
  • Redford Union Schools District No. 1 (suburban): math 8% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #489 of 540 in MI (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $147,744 (26.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.93%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$194,877
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16544 Delaware Ave 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,146 (+4%) 1mo $203,000 $177 65
16635 Macarthur 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,148 (+4%) 1mo $185,000 $161 65
18653 Indian 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,071 (-3%) 1mo $151,000 $141 62
17150 Wakenden 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,120 (+2%) 4mo $210,000 $188 62
18434 Fox 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,071 (-3%) 9mo $185,000 $173 60
17694 Fox 0.39mi 3/1.0 970 (-12%) 7mo $179,500 $185 56
18070 Floral St 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,225 (+11%) 5mo $230,000 $188 51
18400 Delaware Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 981 (-11%) 6mo $175,000 $178 48
17052 Kinloch St 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,184 (+8%) 7mo $172,000 $145 48
16887 Wakenden 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,197 (+9%) 9mo $190,000 $159 47
27220 Puritan St 0.62mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,219 (+11%) 6mo $175,000 $144 40
18632 Lexington 0.73mi 3/1.5 966 (-12%) 7mo $183,000 $189 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.9%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-35,226
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
-10.1%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-34,554
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48240

Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,477 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $945/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$310
Net cashflow
$-43

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,532
Max offer price $192,269
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $70 -5% $13 +0% $-43 +5% $-100 +10% $-156
Rent -10% $-160 -5% $-102 +0% $-43 +5% $15 +10% $74
Rate -1.0pp $57 -0.5pp $8 base $-43 +0.5pp $-95 +1.0pp $-148

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18405 Gillman St Livonia, MI 3.0 2.0 1014 $1,950 $1.92 5d 1 0.77mi
25822 W 6 Mile Rd Redford Township, MI 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 25d 1 0.82mi
26539 Clarita Redford, MI 3.0 1.5 931 $1,875 $2.01 25d 1 0.84mi
19354 Seminole Redford, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,450 $1.38 25d 1 1.07mi
29200 Dardanella St Livonia, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,230 $1.49 0d 5 1.34mi
17324 Salem St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 989 $1,200 $1.21 25d 1 1.44mi
16896 Salem St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,300 $1.13 44d 1 1.45mi
28940 Lancaster St Livonia, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $1,365 $1.71 25d 5 1.50mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    status Pending 415-char remark
    Show marketing remark (415 chars)

    MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED, HIGHEST AND BEST DUE WEDNESDAY 5/20 2PM. 3 bedroom, 2 bath brick ranch with full finished basement in Beautiful winding streets section of Redford. Living room with hardwood floors, dining section, kitchen with all appliances included, 3rd bedroom has walk thru door to basement stairway, finished basement with full bath. Beautiful deep lot and 2 1/2 car garage. Make this house your own!

  2. 2026-05-20
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (415 chars)

    MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED, HIGHEST AND BEST DUE WEDNESDAY 5/20 2PM. 3 bedroom, 2 bath brick ranch with full finished basement in Beautiful winding streets section of Redford. Living room with hardwood floors, dining section, kitchen with all appliances included, 3rd bedroom has walk thru door to basement stairway, finished basement with full bath. Beautiful deep lot and 2 1/2 car garage. Make this house your own!

  3. 2026-05-16
    listed $199,900 Active 415-char remark
    Show marketing remark (415 chars)

    MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED, HIGHEST AND BEST DUE WEDNESDAY 5/20 2PM. 3 bedroom, 2 bath brick ranch with full finished basement in Beautiful winding streets section of Redford. Living room with hardwood floors, dining section, kitchen with all appliances included, 3rd bedroom has walk thru door to basement stairway, finished basement with full bath. Beautiful deep lot and 2 1/2 car garage. Make this house your own!

  4. 2026-05-16
    listed $199,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (415 chars)

    MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED, HIGHEST AND BEST DUE WEDNESDAY 5/20 2PM. 3 bedroom, 2 bath brick ranch with full finished basement in Beautiful winding streets section of Redford. Living room with hardwood floors, dining section, kitchen with all appliances included, 3rd bedroom has walk thru door to basement stairway, finished basement with full bath. Beautiful deep lot and 2 1/2 car garage. Make this house your own!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$945 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,012 · $168/mo
Expected delta
+$1,067/yr (+$89/mo · 112.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,729
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$945
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,418
− Management
−$1,418
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$4,065
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$976
After-tax cash flow
$457/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Redford Union Schools District No. 1
NCES district ID
2629460
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$49,778
Composite
14.1/100
National rank
#9460
State rank
#489 of 540 in MI

Livability — Livonia

Score
77/100
State rank
#116
US rank
#2784

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
56,806
Population (ZIP)
17,097

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 45% Black 40% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -177.98%
Current HPI
236.2958
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-16 Listed $199,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-16 Listed $199,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $945 · -59.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…