W12560 Handsaw Rd · Crivitz, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Crivitz Area- 3 bdrm, 1 bath, 4 ft full cement crawl space. New roof 2024, Only minutes from Peshtio Flowage on Boat Landing 2. DNR Public Lands and Marinette Cty Forest in the neighborhood. UTV trails everywhere, . Yes, it's your dream location. Kayak, fish, hunting. Sand point well. 1/2 acre wooded parcel.
Key facts
- Boat landing
- Wooded parcel
- Public lands
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#343 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Crivitz School District (rural): math 38% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #225 of 342 in WI (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Crivitz Elementary (math 32% / reading 30%, grade F, #701 of 1,041 statewide, top 67%, 468 students, 44% FRL); Crivitz High (math 54% / reading 44%, grade D, #36 of 483 statewide, top 9%, 219 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 43% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 145 units permitted in Marinette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marinette County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.42%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $908
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $26,969
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 54114
- Home prices YoY
- -12.5%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,390 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,186/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $320
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $388 | -5% $354 | +0% $320 | +5% $286 | +10% $252 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $210 | -5% $265 | +0% $320 | +5% $375 | +10% $430 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $380 | -0.5pp $350 | base $320 | +0.5pp $289 | +1.0pp $257 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-22status Pending
-
2026-04-20$120,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,186 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,703 · $142/mo
- Expected delta
- +$517/yr (+$43/mo · 43.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,676
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,186
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,334
- − Management
- −$1,334
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $2,009
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$482
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,354/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crivitz School District
- NCES district ID
- 5502970
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,013
- Composite
- 30.25/100
- National rank
- #6289
- State rank
- #225 of 342 in WI
Livability — Crivitz
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #343
- US rank
- #8781
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,845
Population outlook (Marinette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,716 people
- By 2030
- 37,015 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 32,824 · -15.2%
- By 2050
- 28,502 · -26.4%
- By 2075
- 20,562 · -46.9%
- By 2100
- 15,072 · -61.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 15% Lithuanian 5% English 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marinette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.0) · D 30.4% · R 68.4% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -44.9pp toward R · 2008: 6.9pp · 2024: -38.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.0 2020: R+34.5 2016: R+33.8 2012: R+3.6 2008: D+6.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -34.94%
- Current HPI
- 244.7298
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Pending — METROMLS
- 2026-04-20 Listed $120,000 METROMLS
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,186 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…