84-49 168th St Unit 2B · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 53.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Cash flow +7.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$182,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Pet friendly! Doorman! Outdoor garden and sitting area! Subletting allowed! This spacious one-bedroom Co-op is a commuter's dream with a short distance to the F train or X68 express bus to Manhattan. Co-op features an oversized One bedroom and 2 closet . The Beechhaven development has an updated laundry room. Storage and Bike room at no extra fee. Exercise/Fitness Room with a fee. Assigned parking spots and garage on a waitlist and fee. With its desirable location in Jamaica Estates, you will have easy access to a range of amenities, including shops, restaurants, parks, and public transportation. Great for first time homebuyers and those looking for an investment property, building amenit
Key facts
- Outdoor garden
- Updated laundry room
- On-site laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $182k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-201 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $182k).
- Recommended offer: $160k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 197 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 40% of rent; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.73%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -29.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.07×
- Total profit
- $-47,542
- Equity at exit
- $27,137
- IRR
- -59.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.54×
- Total profit
- $-78,398
- Equity at exit
- $15,736
Cash invested: $50,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11432
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,690 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$954
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$228 /mo · $2,730/yr
- Insurance
- −$76
- HOA est. from 2 same-building comps
- −$1,068
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$565
- Net cashflow
- $-201
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,500
- Closing costs
- $5,460
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8712 175th St Unit 6B Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $3,000 | $3.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 80-12 165th St Unit 3 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $2,800 | $2.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 177-16 Wexford Ter Unit 401 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 14d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 88-56 162nd St Apt 2D Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,000 | $3.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 16525 Union Tpke Fresh Meadows, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,900 | $2.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 502 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,270 | $2.97 | 12d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 802 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,300 | $3.67 | 3d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 311 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Apt 806 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1090 | $3,400 | $3.12 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 201 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $2,700 | $3.70 | 3d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 404 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 3d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 603 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $3,300 | $4.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 90-48 171st St Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,750 | $2.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 89-15 Parsons Blvd Unit W6B Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $2,100 | $2.90 | 19d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 17218 Jamaica Ave Unit 3D Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 638 | $2,900 | $4.55 | 18d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 17218 Jamaica Ave Unit 4D Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 638 | $2,900 | $4.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 17218 Jamaica Ave Unit 501 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 939 | $3,300 | $3.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 7629 170th St Fresh Meadows, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $2,800 | $3.03 | 3d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 15501 90th Ave Unit 3R Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,100 | $2.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 14832 87th Ave Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $2,800 | $3.65 | 19d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 148-37 88th Ave Queens, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $3,500 | $3.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 148-16 87th Ave Unit 2 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 17d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 14836 89th Ave Unit 3C Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 673 | $2,900 | $4.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 8455 Daniels St Unit 5H Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,300 | $3.07 | 19d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 84-03 Lander St Unit 2B Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $3,250 | $3.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 14160 84th Rd Unit 2G Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,200 | $3.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 141-35 Pershing Cres Unit 1B Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,800 | $2.55 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 7835 147th St Unit 2E Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,200 | $3.14 | 6d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 163-07 72nd Ave Unit 3G Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 716 | $2,900 | $4.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 7837 Main St Unit 2G Queens, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 7157 161 St Apt 5B Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,600 | $2.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 7133 162nd St Unit 3F Fresh Meadows, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $2,700 | $3.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 178-05 69th Ave Unit 2 Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,700 | $3.60 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 14725 94th Ave Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $2,825 | $5.38 | 4d | 3 | 1.16mi |
| 71-82 Parsons Blvd Unit 303 Kew Gardens Hills, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $4,000 | $4.44 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 71-82 Parsons Blvd Unit 516 Kew Gardens Hills, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $3,500 | $3.89 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 71-82 Parsons Blvd Unit 702 Kew Gardens Hills, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,900 | $2.90 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 71-82 Parsons Blvd Unit 503 Kew Gardens Hills, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $4,000 | $4.44 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 13915 83rd Ave #717 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,400 | $3.00 | 5d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 14112 78th Rd Unit 1G Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,200 | $3.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- doormanparking
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-03-21status Pending
-
2025-12-11price $182,000
-
2025-10-28$189,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 53% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,277
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,195
- − Property taxes
- −$2,730
- − Insurance
- −$910
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,582
- − Management
- −$2,582
- − HOA
- −$12,816
- − Depreciation
- −$5,295
- Taxable loss
- −$4,832
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,160
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,250/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,892
- Household income
- $74,096
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4385.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 42% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 17% White 12% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Scotch-Irish 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 57% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 34% English-only · Other Indo-European 30% Spanish 19% Tagalog/Filipino 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -457.06%
- Current HPI
- 282.1513
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.75%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
-3.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-21 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-11 Price Changed $182,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-28 Listed $189,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…