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84-49 168th St Unit 2B
D Composite 40.93
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$182,000

84-49 168th St Unit 2B · New York, NY 11432
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 800 sqft · Condo · 144 Days on market
Built 1930 ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Pet friendly! Doorman! Outdoor garden and sitting area! Subletting allowed! This spacious one-bedroom Co-op is a commuter's dream with a short distance to the F train or X68 express bus to Manhattan. Co-op features an oversized One bedroom and 2 closet . The Beechhaven development has an updated laundry room. Storage and Bike room at no extra fee. Exercise/Fitness Room with a fee. Assigned parking spots and garage on a waitlist and fee. With its desirable location in Jamaica Estates, you will have easy access to a range of amenities, including shops, restaurants, parks, and public transportation. Great for first time homebuyers and those looking for an investment property, building amenit

Key facts

  • Outdoor garden
  • Updated laundry room
  • On-site laundry

Tags

OUTDOOR GARDENUPDATED LAUNDRY ROOMSTORAGE AND BIKE ROOMEXERCISE FITNESS ROOMASSIGNED PARKING SPOTSON-SITE LAUNDRY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $182k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-201 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $182k).
  • Recommended offer: $160k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 197 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 40% of rent; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $160,160 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
4.97%
Cash-on-cash
-4.73%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.75% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-29.0%
Equity multiple
0.07×
Total profit
$-47,542
Equity at exit
$27,137
10-year hold
IRR
-59.0%
Equity multiple
-0.54×
Total profit
$-78,398
Equity at exit
$15,736

Cash invested: $50,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11432

Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
197
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,690 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$954
Tax est. 1.5%
$228 /mo · $2,730/yr
Insurance
$76
HOA est. from 2 same-building comps
$1,068
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$565
Net cashflow
$-201

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,944
Max offer price $152,940
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,500
Closing costs
$5,460
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8712 175th St Unit 6B Jamaica, NY 2.0 2.0 876 $3,000 $3.42 24d 1 0.54mi
80-12 165th St Unit 3 Jamaica, NY 2.0 1.5 960 $2,800 $2.92 24d 1 0.55mi
177-16 Wexford Ter Unit 401 Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,600 $3.71 14d 1 0.58mi
88-56 162nd St Apt 2D Jamaica, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $3,000 $3.00 24d 1 0.58mi
16525 Union Tpke Fresh Meadows, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,900 $2.90 24d 1 0.59mi
177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 502 Jamaica, NY 2.0 1.0 1100 $3,270 $2.97 12d 1 0.60mi
177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 802 Jamaica, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $3,300 $3.67 3d 1 0.60mi
177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 311 Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,600 $3.71 14d 1 0.60mi
177-30 Wexford Ter Apt 806 Jamaica, NY 2.0 1.0 1090 $3,400 $3.12 15d 1 0.60mi
177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 201 Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 730 $2,700 $3.70 3d 1 0.60mi
177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 404 Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,600 $3.71 3d 1 0.60mi
177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 603 Jamaica, NY 2.0 1.0 800 $3,300 $4.12 24d 1 0.60mi
90-48 171st St Jamaica, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,750 $2.75 24d 1 0.66mi
89-15 Parsons Blvd Unit W6B Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 725 $2,100 $2.90 19d 1 0.68mi
17218 Jamaica Ave Unit 3D Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 638 $2,900 $4.55 18d 1 0.72mi
17218 Jamaica Ave Unit 4D Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 638 $2,900 $4.55 24d 1 0.72mi
17218 Jamaica Ave Unit 501 Jamaica, NY 2.0 2.0 939 $3,300 $3.51 24d 1 0.73mi
7629 170th St Fresh Meadows, NY 2.0 1.0 924 $2,800 $3.03 3d 1 0.73mi
15501 90th Ave Unit 3R Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 950 $2,100 $2.21 24d 1 0.75mi
14832 87th Ave Jamaica, NY 2.0 1.0 768 $2,800 $3.65 19d 1 0.79mi
148-37 88th Ave Queens, NY 2.0 2.0 900 $3,500 $3.89 24d 1 0.82mi
148-16 87th Ave Unit 2 Jamaica, NY 2.0 1.0 700 $2,300 $3.29 17d 1 0.83mi
14836 89th Ave Unit 3C Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 673 $2,900 $4.31 24d 1 0.88mi
8455 Daniels St Unit 5H Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 750 $2,300 $3.07 19d 1 0.90mi
84-03 Lander St Unit 2B Jamaica, NY 2.0 2.0 850 $3,250 $3.82 24d 1 0.99mi
14160 84th Rd Unit 2G Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,200 $3.14 14d 1 1.02mi
141-35 Pershing Cres Unit 1B Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.5 1100 $2,800 $2.55 21d 1 1.03mi
7835 147th St Unit 2E Flushing, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,200 $3.14 6d 1 1.04mi
163-07 72nd Ave Unit 3G Flushing, NY 2.0 2.0 716 $2,900 $4.05 24d 1 1.05mi
7837 Main St Unit 2G Queens, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,300 $3.29 24d 1 1.08mi
7157 161 St Apt 5B Flushing, NY 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,600 $2.36 24d 1 1.11mi
7133 162nd St Unit 3F Fresh Meadows, NY 2.0 2.0 850 $2,700 $3.18 24d 1 1.12mi
178-05 69th Ave Unit 2 Flushing, NY 2.0 1.0 750 $2,700 $3.60 24d 1 1.14mi
14725 94th Ave Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 525 $2,825 $5.38 4d 3 1.16mi
71-82 Parsons Blvd Unit 303 Kew Gardens Hills, NY 2.0 1.5 900 $4,000 $4.44 14d 1 1.17mi
71-82 Parsons Blvd Unit 516 Kew Gardens Hills, NY 2.0 1.5 900 $3,500 $3.89 3d 1 1.17mi
71-82 Parsons Blvd Unit 702 Kew Gardens Hills, NY 1.0 1.0 1000 $2,900 $2.90 21d 1 1.17mi
71-82 Parsons Blvd Unit 503 Kew Gardens Hills, NY 2.0 1.5 900 $4,000 $4.44 24d 1 1.17mi
13915 83rd Ave #717 Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 800 $2,400 $3.00 5d 1 1.18mi
14112 78th Rd Unit 1G Flushing, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,200 $3.14 24d 1 1.22mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
doormanparking
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-03-21
    status Pending
  2. 2025-12-11
    price $182,000
  3. 2025-10-28
    listed $189,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 53% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,277
− Mortgage interest
−$10,195
− Property taxes
−$2,730
− Insurance
−$910
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,582
− Management
−$2,582
− HOA
−$12,816
− Depreciation
−$5,295
Taxable loss
−$4,832
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,160
After-tax cash flow
$-1,250/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Queens County · 1,914,869 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
62,892
Household income
$74,096
Rent vs Own
64.2% rent · 35.8% own
Severe rent burden
4385.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 42% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 17% White 12% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 3% Scotch-Irish 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
57% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
34% English-only · Other Indo-European 30% Spanish 19% Tagalog/Filipino 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -457.06%
Current HPI
282.1513
Rent YoY
▲ 0.75%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-21 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-11 Price Changed $182,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-28 Listed $189,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…