1763 Shiloh Church Rd · Bedford, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Just under 8 acres of flat land in Bedford county with over an acre and a half cleared! The house on this property is uninhabitable and it is being sold as-is. No one has lived in house since prior to 2013. All offers must include all 3 parcels. 13005600 (2.67 acres and where house is located) as well as 13005700 (2.37 acres) and 13005800 (2.80 acres)
Key facts
- 3 parcels included
- 1.5 acres cleared
- 8 acres of flat land
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 7.84 acres
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior
- Exterior features: Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating system specified
- Interior features: Electric range; Refrigerator; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.2% in Bedford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#137 in VA, #4,371 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Bedford County Public School District (rural): math 55% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #41 of 131 in VA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Bedford Elementary (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #742 of 1,108 statewide, top 70%, 431 students, 85% FRL); Liberty Middle (math 49% / reading 67%, grade B, #174 of 342 statewide, top 51%, 535 students, 86% FRL); Liberty High (math 41% / reading 68%, grade C-, #281 of 319 statewide, top 90%, 726 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 30% district-wide (50 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 238 active listings in the ZIP; 294 units permitted in Bedford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bedford County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.12%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $211,922
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- -52.81%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $1,764
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $24,558
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24523
- Home prices YoY
- -31.0%
- Active inventory
- 238
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,112 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$29 /mo · $353/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $283
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Just under 8 acres of flat land in Bedford county with over an acre and a half cleared! The house on this property is uninhabitable and it is being sold as-is. No one has lived in house since prior to 2013. All offers must include all 3 parcels. 13005600 (2.67 acres and where house is located) as well as 13005700 (2.37 acres) and 13005800 (2.80 acres)
-
2026-05-09status Pending 426-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Just under 8 acres of flat land in Bedford county with over an acre and a half cleared! The house on this property is uninhabitable and it is being sold as-is. No one has lived in house since prior to 2013. All offers must include all 3 parcels. 13005600 (2.67 acres and where house is located) as well as 13005700 (2.37 acres) and 13005800 (2.80 acres)
-
2026-05-07$100,000 Active 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Just under 8 acres of flat land in Bedford county with over an acre and a half cleared! The house on this property is uninhabitable and it is being sold as-is. No one has lived in house since prior to 2013. All offers must include all 3 parcels. 13005600 (2.67 acres and where house is located) as well as 13005700 (2.37 acres) and 13005800 (2.80 acres)
-
2026-05-07$100,000 Active 426-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Just under 8 acres of flat land in Bedford county with over an acre and a half cleared! The house on this property is uninhabitable and it is being sold as-is. No one has lived in house since prior to 2013. All offers must include all 3 parcels. 13005600 (2.67 acres and where house is located) as well as 13005700 (2.37 acres) and 13005800 (2.80 acres)
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $353 · $29/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $820 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$467/yr (+$39/mo · 132.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,341
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$353
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,067
- − Management
- −$1,067
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $1,843
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$442
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,951/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bedford County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100360
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,288
- Composite
- 54.92/100
- National rank
- #1310
- State rank
- #41 of 131 in VA
Livability — Bedford
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #137
- US rank
- #4371
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 21,447
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,447
Population outlook (Bedford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 83,194 people
- By 2030
- 85,499 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 88,834 · +6.8%
- By 2050
- 90,060 · +8.3%
- By 2075
- 94,131 · +13.1%
- By 2100
- 89,832 · +8.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 10% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Bedford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.4) · D 24.4% · R 74.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.0pp toward R · 2008: -37.4pp · 2024: -50.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.4 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+49.4 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+37.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.68%
- Current HPI
- 263.7765
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — LMLS
- 2026-05-22 Pending — LMLS
- 2026-05-21 Relisted — LMLS
- 2026-05-21 Relisted — LMLS
- 2026-05-09 Pending — LMLS
- 2026-05-09 Pending — LMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $100,000 LMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $100,000 LMLS
Property tax history
-2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $353 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…