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1763 Shiloh Church Rd
C+ Composite 64.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

1763 Shiloh Church Rd · Bedford, VA 24523
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 984 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1960 7.84 ac lot $102/sqft · 53% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Just under 8 acres of flat land in Bedford county with over an acre and a half cleared! The house on this property is uninhabitable and it is being sold as-is. No one has lived in house since prior to 2013. All offers must include all 3 parcels. 13005600 (2.67 acres and where house is located) as well as 13005700 (2.37 acres) and 13005800 (2.80 acres)

Key facts

  • 3 parcels included
  • 1.5 acres cleared
  • 8 acres of flat land

Tags

8 ACRES OF FLAT LAND1.5 ACRES CLEARED3 PARCELS INCLUDED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 7.84 acres

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating system specified
  • Interior features: Electric range; Refrigerator; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.2% in Bedford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#137 in VA, #4,371 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Bedford County Public School District (rural): math 55% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #41 of 131 in VA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Bedford Elementary (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #742 of 1,108 statewide, top 70%, 431 students, 85% FRL); Liberty Middle (math 49% / reading 67%, grade B, #174 of 342 statewide, top 51%, 535 students, 86% FRL); Liberty High (math 41% / reading 68%, grade C-, #281 of 319 statewide, top 90%, 726 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 30% district-wide (50 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 238 active listings in the ZIP; 294 units permitted in Bedford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bedford County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $100,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.69%
Cash-on-cash
12.12%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$211,922
List price
$100,000
Delta
-52.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.6%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$1,764
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
11.2%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$24,558
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24523

Home prices YoY
-31.0%
Active inventory
238
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,112 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $353/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$283

Break-even live

Break-even rent $754
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-09
    status Pending 353-char remark
    Show marketing remark (353 chars)

    Just under 8 acres of flat land in Bedford county with over an acre and a half cleared! The house on this property is uninhabitable and it is being sold as-is. No one has lived in house since prior to 2013. All offers must include all 3 parcels. 13005600 (2.67 acres and where house is located) as well as 13005700 (2.37 acres) and 13005800 (2.80 acres)

  2. 2026-05-09
    status Pending 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (353 chars)

    Just under 8 acres of flat land in Bedford county with over an acre and a half cleared! The house on this property is uninhabitable and it is being sold as-is. No one has lived in house since prior to 2013. All offers must include all 3 parcels. 13005600 (2.67 acres and where house is located) as well as 13005700 (2.37 acres) and 13005800 (2.80 acres)

  3. 2026-05-07
    listed $100,000 Active 353-char remark
    Show marketing remark (353 chars)

    Just under 8 acres of flat land in Bedford county with over an acre and a half cleared! The house on this property is uninhabitable and it is being sold as-is. No one has lived in house since prior to 2013. All offers must include all 3 parcels. 13005600 (2.67 acres and where house is located) as well as 13005700 (2.37 acres) and 13005800 (2.80 acres)

  4. 2026-05-07
    listed $100,000 Active 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (353 chars)

    Just under 8 acres of flat land in Bedford county with over an acre and a half cleared! The house on this property is uninhabitable and it is being sold as-is. No one has lived in house since prior to 2013. All offers must include all 3 parcels. 13005600 (2.67 acres and where house is located) as well as 13005700 (2.37 acres) and 13005800 (2.80 acres)

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$353 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$820 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$467/yr (+$39/mo · 132.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,341
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$353
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,067
− Management
−$1,067
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$1,843
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$442
After-tax cash flow
$2,951/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bedford County Public School District
NCES district ID
5100360
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$56,288
Composite
54.92/100
National rank
#1310
State rank
#41 of 131 in VA

Livability — Bedford

Score
74/100
State rank
#137
US rank
#4371

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
21,447
Population (ZIP)
21,447

Population outlook (Bedford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
83,194 people
By 2030
85,499 · +2.8%
By 2040
88,834 · +6.8%
By 2050
90,060 · +8.3%
By 2075
94,131 · +13.1%
By 2100
89,832 · +8.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 10% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Bedford

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.4) · D 24.4% · R 74.8%
2008→2024 swing
-13.0pp toward R · 2008: -37.4pp · 2024: -50.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.4 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+49.4 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+37.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -118.68%
Current HPI
263.7765
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending LMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Pending LMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Relisted LMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Relisted LMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Pending LMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Pending LMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $100,000 LMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $100,000 LMLS

Property tax history

-2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $353 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…