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13109 Deepwater
C+ Composite 60.32
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

13109 Deepwater · Corpus Christi, TX 78410
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,197 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1987 5,049 sqft lot $129/sqft · 18% below area Est $192k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LARGE LIVING W/ CATHEDRAL CEILING. BUILT-IN CABINETS ON BOTH SIDES OF FIREPLACE, COUNTRY KITCHEN, LAUNDRY ROOM, SECURITY SYSTEM(NOT ON) LARGE WALK-IN CLOSET IN MASTER. A LOT OF HOUSE FOR THE MONEY! ALL ELECTRIC, CEILING FANS IN ALL ROOMS. IN CUL-DE-SAC ON QUIET STREET!

Key facts

  • Large oversized lot
  • Quiet cul-de-sac
  • 5,049 sq ft lot

Tags

QUIET CUL-DE-SACLARGE OVERSIZED LOTCOZY WOOD-BURNING FIREPLACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $169 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Calallen ISD (urban): math 42% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #249 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 335 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $71k; list at $155k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,350 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
7.60%
Cash-on-cash
4.67%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$191,754
List price
$155,000
Delta
-19.17%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13201 Oglethorpe Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,193 (-0%) 5mo $179,900 $151 89
3830 Brookhill Dr 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,159 (-3%) 4mo $186,000 $160 88
3726 Sunnyville Dr 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,162 (-3%) 1mo $196,000 $169 86
13205 Hearn Rd 0.15mi 3/3.0 1,262 (+5%) 5mo $135,000 $107 76
3625 Rushing Blvd 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,179 (-2%) 1mo $100,000 $85 75
3606 Perry 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,209 (+1%) 9mo $212,990 $176 69
3505 Rebecca Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,209 (+1%) 10mo $212,990 $176 67
3605 Rebecca Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,209 (+1%) 11mo $212,490 $176 67
3241 El Dorado Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,204 (+1%) 6mo $255,000 $212 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.3%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-16,061
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-6,949
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78410

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
335
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,809 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$383 /mo · $4,595/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$380
Net cashflow
$169

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,595
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $257 -5% $213 +0% $169 +5% $125 +10% $81
Rent -10% $26 -5% $97 +0% $169 +5% $240 +10% $312
Rate -1.0pp $247 -0.5pp $208 base $169 +0.5pp $129 +1.0pp $88

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13665 Teague Ln Corpus Christi, TX 2.0 2.0 1214 $1,550 $1.28 14d 1 0.64mi
11934 Hearn Rd Unit 1351574P Corpus Christi, TX 2.0 2.0 1022 $2,613 $2.56 44d 1 1.27mi
5317 Avenue C Corpus Christi, TX 3.0 2.0 1161 $1,725 $1.49 14d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $155,000 Pending 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $155,000 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $155,000 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $155,000 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $155,000 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-05-04
    listed $155,000 Active 555-char remark
  8. 1998-12-17
    soldstatus 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    LARGE LIVING W/ CATHEDRAL CEILING. BUILT-IN CABINETS ON BOTH SIDES OF FIREPLACE, COUNTRY KITCHEN, LAUNDRY ROOM, SECURITY SYSTEM(NOT ON) LARGE WALK-IN CLOSET IN MASTER. A LOT OF HOUSE FOR THE MONEY! ALL ELECTRIC, CEILING FANS IN ALL ROOMS. IN CUL-DE-SAC ON QUIET STREET!

  9. 1998-12-17
    soldstatus $71,340
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    LARGE LIVING W/ CATHEDRAL CEILING. BUILT-IN CABINETS ON BOTH SIDES OF FIREPLACE, COUNTRY KITCHEN, LAUNDRY ROOM, SECURITY SYSTEM(NOT ON) LARGE WALK-IN CLOSET IN MASTER. A LOT OF HOUSE FOR THE MONEY! ALL ELECTRIC, CEILING FANS IN ALL ROOMS. IN CUL-DE-SAC ON QUIET STREET!

  10. 1998-11-09
    listed $69,900 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    LARGE LIVING W/ CATHEDRAL CEILING. BUILT-IN CABINETS ON BOTH SIDES OF FIREPLACE, COUNTRY KITCHEN, LAUNDRY ROOM, SECURITY SYSTEM(NOT ON) LARGE WALK-IN CLOSET IN MASTER. A LOT OF HOUSE FOR THE MONEY! ALL ELECTRIC, CEILING FANS IN ALL ROOMS. IN CUL-DE-SAC ON QUIET STREET!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,595 · $383/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,595 · $383/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,708
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$4,595
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,737
− Management
−$1,737
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable loss
−$327
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$78
After-tax cash flow
$2,104/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Calallen ISD
NCES district ID
4812420
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$73,780
Composite
39.25/100
National rank
#4004
State rank
#249 of 826 in TX

Livability — Corpus Christi

Score
78/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#2404

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Corpus Christi, TX
County
Nueces County · 296,836 people
City population
296,836
Metro
Corpus Christi, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,040
Household income
$79,308
Rent vs Own
31.9% rent · 68.1% own
Severe rent burden
324.0

Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
418,037 people
By 2030
447,123 · +7.0%
By 2040
505,911 · +21.0%
By 2050
567,522 · +35.8%
By 2075
729,686 · +74.6%
By 2100
847,087 · +102.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 59% White 38% Two or more races 35% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 54% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 28%

Political lean MEDSL · Nueces

2024 margin
R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -145.45%
Current HPI
174.0462
Rent YoY
▲ 1.98%
Metro
Corpus Christi, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 1998-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $71,340 Public Records
  • 1998-12-17 Sold (MLS) CBMLS
  • 1998-11-09 Listed $69,900 CBMLS

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,595 · +11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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