13109 Deepwater · Corpus Christi, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LARGE LIVING W/ CATHEDRAL CEILING. BUILT-IN CABINETS ON BOTH SIDES OF FIREPLACE, COUNTRY KITCHEN, LAUNDRY ROOM, SECURITY SYSTEM(NOT ON) LARGE WALK-IN CLOSET IN MASTER. A LOT OF HOUSE FOR THE MONEY! ALL ELECTRIC, CEILING FANS IN ALL ROOMS. IN CUL-DE-SAC ON QUIET STREET!
Key facts
- Large oversized lot
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- 5,049 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $169 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Calallen ISD (urban): math 42% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #249 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 335 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $71k; list at $155k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.67%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $191,754
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- -19.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13201 Oglethorpe Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,193 (-0%) | 5mo | $179,900 | $151 | 89 |
| 3830 Brookhill Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,159 (-3%) | 4mo | $186,000 | $160 | 88 |
| 3726 Sunnyville Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,162 (-3%) | 1mo | $196,000 | $169 | 86 |
| 13205 Hearn Rd | 0.15mi | 3/3.0 | 1,262 (+5%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $107 | 76 |
| 3625 Rushing Blvd | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,179 (-2%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $85 | 75 |
| 3606 Perry | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,209 (+1%) | 9mo | $212,990 | $176 | 69 |
| 3505 Rebecca Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,209 (+1%) | 10mo | $212,990 | $176 | 67 |
| 3605 Rebecca Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,209 (+1%) | 11mo | $212,490 | $176 | 67 |
| 3241 El Dorado Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,204 (+1%) | 6mo | $255,000 | $212 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-16,061
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-6,949
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78410
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 335
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,809 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$383 /mo · $4,595/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$380
- Net cashflow
- $169
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $257 | -5% $213 | +0% $169 | +5% $125 | +10% $81 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $26 | -5% $97 | +0% $169 | +5% $240 | +10% $312 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $247 | -0.5pp $208 | base $169 | +0.5pp $129 | +1.0pp $88 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13665 Teague Ln Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1214 | $1,550 | $1.28 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 11934 Hearn Rd Unit 1351574P Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $2,613 | $2.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5317 Avenue C Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1161 | $1,725 | $1.49 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $155,000 Pending 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $155,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $155,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-04$155,000 Active 555-char remark
-
1998-12-17soldstatus 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
LARGE LIVING W/ CATHEDRAL CEILING. BUILT-IN CABINETS ON BOTH SIDES OF FIREPLACE, COUNTRY KITCHEN, LAUNDRY ROOM, SECURITY SYSTEM(NOT ON) LARGE WALK-IN CLOSET IN MASTER. A LOT OF HOUSE FOR THE MONEY! ALL ELECTRIC, CEILING FANS IN ALL ROOMS. IN CUL-DE-SAC ON QUIET STREET!
-
1998-12-17soldstatus $71,340
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
LARGE LIVING W/ CATHEDRAL CEILING. BUILT-IN CABINETS ON BOTH SIDES OF FIREPLACE, COUNTRY KITCHEN, LAUNDRY ROOM, SECURITY SYSTEM(NOT ON) LARGE WALK-IN CLOSET IN MASTER. A LOT OF HOUSE FOR THE MONEY! ALL ELECTRIC, CEILING FANS IN ALL ROOMS. IN CUL-DE-SAC ON QUIET STREET!
-
1998-11-09$69,900 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
LARGE LIVING W/ CATHEDRAL CEILING. BUILT-IN CABINETS ON BOTH SIDES OF FIREPLACE, COUNTRY KITCHEN, LAUNDRY ROOM, SECURITY SYSTEM(NOT ON) LARGE WALK-IN CLOSET IN MASTER. A LOT OF HOUSE FOR THE MONEY! ALL ELECTRIC, CEILING FANS IN ALL ROOMS. IN CUL-DE-SAC ON QUIET STREET!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,595 · $383/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,595 · $383/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,708
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$4,595
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,737
- − Management
- −$1,737
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$327
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$78
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,104/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calallen ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4812420
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,780
- Composite
- 39.25/100
- National rank
- #4004
- State rank
- #249 of 826 in TX
Livability — Corpus Christi
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #2404
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corpus Christi, TX
- County
- Nueces County · 296,836 people
- City population
- 296,836
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,040
- Household income
- $79,308
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 324.0
Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 418,037 people
- By 2030
- 447,123 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 505,911 · +21.0%
- By 2050
- 567,522 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 729,686 · +74.6%
- By 2100
- 847,087 · +102.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% White 38% Two or more races 35% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 54% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 28%
Political lean MEDSL · Nueces
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -145.45%
- Current HPI
- 174.0462
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+2.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 1998-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $71,340 Public Records
- 1998-12-17 Sold (MLS) — CBMLS
- 1998-11-09 Listed $69,900 CBMLS
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,595 · +11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…