8424 Turin Rd · Rome, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$171,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This home could really use a little TLC, but it does have a spacious living and dining area, an eat-in kitchen, and a bedroom on the first floor with a full bathroom. The second floor has three more bedrooms and another full bathroom. Plus, there’s a private backyard with beautiful perennial gardens, a two-car detached garage with an attached shed, has a walk up egress, has a shop or hobby space, and includes a room with shelving for storage. Chimney for wood burning fireplace has been capped off, can not use the fireplace in living room. The home is listed as-is, just as you see it.
Key facts
- Private backyard
- Perennial gardens
- Eat-in kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Two-car garage
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Block foundation; Existing (not new construction)
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Metal roof; Block foundation; Built previously (existing)
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Private yard; Covered porch; See remarks; Shed(s) and storage; Rectangular lot; Main thoroughfare frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 65 x 224
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Pantry; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate; Vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric heating; Oil heating; Central air conditioning; Cooling present; Heating present
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Separate formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Separate formal living room; Combined living/dining room; Pantry; Storage; Workshop
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Laundry in basement; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $171k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $286 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (5.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $162k (5.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 5.7% in Rome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#722 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Rome City School District (town): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #516 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 276 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.16%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $264,384
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6332 Kolton Dr | 0.20mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,664 (-4%) | 11mo | $255,000 | $153 | 71 |
| 6322 Kolton Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,762 (+2%) | 23mo | $365,000 | $207 | 65 |
| 8615 Turin Rd | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,600 (-7%) | 8mo | $190,800 | $119 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-9,599
- Equity at exit
- $25,497
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $14,714
- Equity at exit
- $14,785
Cash invested: $47,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13440
- Home prices YoY
- -8.0%
- Active inventory
- 276
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,623 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$897
- Tax from tax record
- −$29 /mo · $344/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$341
- Net cashflow
- $286
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $383 | -5% $334 | +0% $286 | +5% $42 | +10% $-18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $158 | -5% $222 | +0% $286 | +5% $350 | +10% $414 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $372 | -0.5pp $329 | base $286 | +0.5pp $241 | +1.0pp $196 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,750
- Closing costs
- $5,130
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $171,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $171,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $179,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $179,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$179,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $344 · $29/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,617 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,273/yr (+$106/mo · 370.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,480
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,579
- − Property taxes
- −$344
- − Insurance
- −$855
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,558
- − Management
- −$1,558
- − Depreciation
- −$4,975
- Taxable income
- $611
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$147
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,282/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rome City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624900
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,406
- Composite
- 34.52/100
- National rank
- #5178
- State rank
- #516 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rome
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #722
- US rank
- #13676
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rome, NY
- City population
- 41,418
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,273
Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,223 people
- By 2030
- 220,384 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 209,071 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 197,920 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 175,541 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 148,491 · -34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oneida
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.58%
- Current HPI
- 339.3589
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $179,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
-11.8%/yrLatest (2025): $344 · -68.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…