110 Independence Way · Indian Springs, MT
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 23 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Rough wiring
- Framing in place
- Unfinished home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: From highway 93, go north until you see Independence Way on the right hand side.
Exterior
- Home design: Residential property; Property subtype: Other
- Construction: Built by Kauffman; Foundation: Other
- Exterior features: Lot size listed as 0 acres (no specific lot details provided)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Details not provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Basement: None
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $140 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 38/100 on livability (#360 in MT) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Eureka Elementary (rural): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #62 of 116 in MT (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Eureka Elementary School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #135 of 293 statewide, top 52%, 261 students, 0% FRL); Eureka Middle School 5-8 (math 28% / reading 49%, grade F, #73 of 146 statewide, top 50%, 236 students, 0% FRL); Lincoln Co High School (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #70 of 132 statewide, top 55%, 306 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 43% district-wide (43 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 203 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lincoln County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.2% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.61%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-3,737
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $8,770
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Montana
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 59917
- Home prices YoY
- -21.3%
- Active inventory
- 203
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,096 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$279 /mo · $3,343/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $140
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $185 | -5% $163 | +0% $140 | +5% $118 | +10% $96 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $54 | -5% $97 | +0% $140 | +5% $184 | +10% $227 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $180 | -0.5pp $160 | base $140 | +0.5pp $120 | +1.0pp $99 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,000 Active 150 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $79,000 Active 148 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 144 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $79,000 Active 142 DOM
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2026-06-13pricedays on market $79,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $89,000 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $89,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $89,000 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 129 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $89,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-05-10price $89,000
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2026-01-22$99,000 Active
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2025-01-29soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MT · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,343 · $279/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,343 · $279/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Heat 3/10 Moderate
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 23 unhealthy d/yr today · 23 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,156
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$3,343
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,052
- − Management
- −$1,052
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $590
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$142
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,542/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eureka Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 3010080
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,034
- Composite
- 32.68/100
- National rank
- #5655
- State rank
- #62 of 116 in MT
Livability — Indian Springs
- Score
- 38/100
- State rank
- #360
- US rank
- #27488
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indian Springs, MT
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,086
Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,226 people
- By 2030
- 15,974 · -7.3%
- By 2040
- 13,415 · -22.1%
- By 2050
- 11,546 · -33.0%
- By 2075
- 9,990 · -42.0%
- By 2100
- 11,055 · -35.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Slovak 5% Portuguese 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.4) · D 22.2% · R 75.6% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.4pp toward R · 2008: -29.0pp · 2024: -53.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.4 2020: R+49.7 2016: R+50.6 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+29.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.57%
- Current HPI
- 271.9646
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology / Analytics | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
-10.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Price Changed $89,000 MRMLS
- 2026-01-22 Listed $99,000 MRMLS
- 2025-01-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+85.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,343 · +31.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…