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431 Morris St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 77.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$285,000

431 Morris St · Albany, NY 12208
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,820 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 90 Days on market
Built 1900 2,613 sqft lot $157/sqft · 34% below area Est $431k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity for Investor or owner occupant, convenient location close to Albany Medical center, Albany Law, 4 bedroom top floor units 3 bedrooms downstairs. Recently renovated kitchen, new floors, new windows, freshly painted. Unit 1 is currently rented at $1,498/month. Unit 2 is currently rented at $1,600/month. Stabilized gross rent is approximately $3,098/month ($37,176/year). Estimated operating expenses are: taxes ($5,473/yr), insurance ($1,600/yr), and water/sewer (~$1,200/yr), for total estimated annual operating expenses of ~$8,273 and estimated NOI of ~$28,903/year (~$2,408/month). Estimated Cap rate is approximately 10.1%.

Key facts

  • New floors
  • Freshly painted
  • Convenient location

Tags

CONVENIENT LOCATIONRECENTLY RENOVATED KITCHENNEW FLOORSNEW WINDOWSFRESHLY PAINTED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $285,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$431,479) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $285k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $285k).
  • Recommended offer: $268k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 5.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#129 in NY, #2,083 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Albany City School District (urban): math 37% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #543 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,951/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 1952% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $80k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $196k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $267,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
10.72%
Cash-on-cash
15.82%
DSCR
1.70
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$431,479
List price
$285,000
Delta
-33.95%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
645 Myrtle Ave 0.09mi 6/2.0 2,000 (+10%) 5mo $270,000 $135 75
184 Quail St 0.34mi 6/3.0 1,853 (+2%) 4mo $231,000 $125 73
454 Ontario St 0.42mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,776 (-2%) 5mo $290,000 $163 67
680 State St 0.38mi 6/2.0 1,744 (-4%) 19mo $265,000 $152 60
598 Morris St 0.40mi 6/2.0 2,000 (+10%) 8mo $220,000 $110 58
106 Spring St 0.43mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,896 (+4%) 13mo $236,000 $124 57
148 Quail St 0.49mi 6/2.0 2,058 (+13%) 10mo $160,000 $78 47
708 State St 0.38mi 6/2.0 2,024 (+11%) 20mo $329,900 $163 47
455 Myrtle Ave 0.34mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,040 (+12%) 19mo $291,000 $143 43
721 State St 0.41mi 7/2.0 (+1) 2,072 (+14%) 18mo $252,000 $122 38
528 Madison Ave 0.60mi 5/4.0 (-1) 1,994 (+10%) 8mo $330,000 $165 37
951 State St 0.72mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,632 (-10%) 13mo $365,000 $224 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.05% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$29,254
Equity at exit
$42,494
10-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
2.85×
Total profit
$147,824
Equity at exit
$24,642

Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12208

Home prices YoY
-30.1%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,951 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,495
Tax from tax record
$456 /mo · $5,472/yr
Insurance
$119
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$830
Net cashflow
$1,052

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,619
Max offer price $285,000
Occupancy floor 68%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 4 1 $2,065
1× unit 3 1 $1,887
Total (2 units) $3,951

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,250
Closing costs
$8,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $285,000 Active 90 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $285,000 Active 89 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $285,000 Active 88 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $285,000 Active 87 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $285,000 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-03-05
    listed $285,000 Active 646-char remark
    Show marketing remark (646 chars)

    Great opportunity for Investor or owner occupant, convenient location close to Albany Medical center, Albany Law, 4 bedroom top floor units 3 bedrooms downstairs. Recently renovated kitchen, new floors, new windows, freshly painted. Unit 1 is currently rented at $1,498/month. Unit 2 is currently rented at $1,600/month. Stabilized gross rent is approximately $3,098/month ($37,176/year). Estimated operating expenses are: taxes ($5,473/yr), insurance ($1,600/yr), and water/sewer (~$1,200/yr), for total estimated annual operating expenses of ~$8,273 and estimated NOI of ~$28,903/year (~$2,408/month). Estimated Cap rate is approximately 10.1%.

  7. 2022-02-22
    soldstatus $196,000
  8. 2021-12-14
    historical Contingent 447-char remark
    Show marketing remark (447 chars)

    Cash flowing 2 family walking distance to shopping and public transportation. Located in highly sought after rental area this cash flowing two family can be packaged with 62 other rental units and with several other properties within walking distance to each other. This is an Excellent opportunity for the seasoned investor or new investor looking to build their portfolio and keep management costs down! 24 hour notice required for all showings!

  9. 2021-09-21
    price $204,900 447-char remark
    Show marketing remark (447 chars)

    Cash flowing 2 family walking distance to shopping and public transportation. Located in highly sought after rental area this cash flowing two family can be packaged with 62 other rental units and with several other properties within walking distance to each other. This is an Excellent opportunity for the seasoned investor or new investor looking to build their portfolio and keep management costs down! 24 hour notice required for all showings!

  10. 2021-07-11
    listed $219,900 New 447-char remark
    Show marketing remark (447 chars)

    Cash flowing 2 family walking distance to shopping and public transportation. Located in highly sought after rental area this cash flowing two family can be packaged with 62 other rental units and with several other properties within walking distance to each other. This is an Excellent opportunity for the seasoned investor or new investor looking to build their portfolio and keep management costs down! 24 hour notice required for all showings!

  11. 2000-04-10
    soldstatus $77,600
  12. 1999-06-14
    soldstatus $46,000
  13. 1999-03-30
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,472 · $456/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,472 · $456/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$47,412
− Mortgage interest
−$15,964
− Property taxes
−$5,472
− Insurance
−$1,425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,793
− Management
−$3,793
− Depreciation
−$8,291
Taxable income
$8,674
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,082
After-tax cash flow
$10,542/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albany City School District
NCES district ID
3602460
Math proficiency
37% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$40,568
Composite
32.34/100
National rank
#5744
State rank
#543 of 590 in NY

Livability — Albany

Score
79/100
State rank
#129
US rank
#2083

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albany, NY
County
Albany County · 196,626 people
City population
116,921
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
Population (ZIP)
23,289
Household income
$70,413
Rent vs Own
54.9% rent · 45.1% own
Severe rent burden
1952.0

Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
320,794 people
By 2030
327,401 · +2.1%
By 2040
338,218 · +5.4%
By 2050
348,467 · +8.6%
By 2075
381,693 · +19.0%
By 2100
393,809 · +22.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Black 12% Asian 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Italian 3% Scotch-Irish 3%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, China, Philippines
Languages at home
83% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Albany

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -120.46%
Current HPI
279.716
Rent YoY
▲ 5.05%
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1040.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $285,000 Global MLS
  • 2022-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $196,000 Public Records
  • 2021-12-14 Contingent Global MLS
  • 2021-09-21 Price Changed $204,900 Global MLS
  • 2021-07-11 Listed $219,900 Global MLS
  • 2000-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $77,600 Public Records
  • 1999-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
  • 1999-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,472 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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