2509 Carson St · McKeesport, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
You can view the photos on Zillow is houses in a quiet neighborhood Big fenced in backyard three bedroom 1.5 this house currently has tenants that have been here for two years. This house is a great portfolio. The tenants pay 1500 a month. The attic is fully finished and can be turned into a fourth bedroom game room or man cave. furnace and hot water tank is two years old the roof is two years old. House has been sold sight, unseen.
Key facts
- Hot water tank
- Roof
- Fenced in backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $542 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 10.3% in McKeesport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,089 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D, crime F.
- Mckeesport Area SD (suburban): math 11% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #499 of 539 in PA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $60k implies a 224% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.72%
- DSCR
- 2.72
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $118,027
- List price
- $60,000
- Delta
- -49.16%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2616 Milburn St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,473 (-4%) | 0mo | $115,000 | $78 | 82 |
| 2716 Lafayette St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,468 (-4%) | 1mo | $92,500 | $63 | 77 |
| 2623 Grandview Ave | 0.12mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,660 (+8%) | 3mo | $147,000 | $89 | 71 |
| 406 35th | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,566 (+2%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $96 | 70 |
| 1813 Duquesne Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,560 (+2%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $96 | 69 |
| 3300 Stewart St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,558 (+2%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $39 | 68 |
| 2613 Cleveland St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,328 (-13%) | 1mo | $49,000 | $37 | 62 |
| 419 31st St | 0.36mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,381 (-10%) | 1mo | $32,501 | $24 | 59 |
| 1316 Craig St | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,653 (+8%) | 4mo | $127,500 | $77 | 54 |
| 312 Beckman Dr | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,597 (+4%) | 4mo | $259,900 | $163 | 50 |
| 405 Diehl Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,725 (+12%) | 4mo | $151,000 | $88 | 43 |
| 1208 Meadow St | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,716 (+12%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $64 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $24,873
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 41.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.95×
- Total profit
- $66,406
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15132
- Home prices YoY
- -32.9%
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,318 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$159 /mo · $1,911/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $542
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2408 McCarrell St McKeesport, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $1,195 | $0.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 3710 Mayfair St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1314 | $1,095 | $0.83 | 3d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3211 Walnut St McKeesport, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1434 | $1,500 | $1.05 | 8d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2807 Beaver St McKeesport, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,200 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1506 Freemont St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,295 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1217 Scott St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,165 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2618 Poinsettia Dr White Oak, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $1,599 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 152 Royal Oak Dr White Oak, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 930 | $1,445 | $1.55 | 2d | 9 | 1.14mi |
| 1451 Jenny Lind St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1408 | $1,150 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4719 3rd St Unit 2 McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $975 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1507 Carnegie Ave McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,699 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2710 Henderson Rd White Oak, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1676 | $1,675 | $1.00 | 2d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2212 Cronemeyer St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1720 | $1,375 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $60,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-03-05$60,000 Active 436-char remark
Show marketing remark (436 chars)
You can view the photos on Zillow is houses in a quiet neighborhood Big fenced in backyard three bedroom 1.5 this house currently has tenants that have been here for two years. This house is a great portfolio. The tenants pay 1500 a month. The attic is fully finished and can be turned into a fourth bedroom game room or man cave. furnace and hot water tank is two years old the roof is two years old. House has been sold sight, unseen.
-
2015-01-14soldstatus $18,500
-
2015-01-12price $18,500 445-char remark
Show marketing remark (445 chars)
LRG comfortable home located in the low key, low traffic section of McKeesport. This home is on a LRG parcel of land which gives this home an EXT LRG, fenced in yard. The entire attic area has been finished w/ carpet, painted drywall with electrical outlets and gas connection for heating & cooling appliances. The attic can absolutely be a 4th bedroom. This home does need updates and a bit of TLC. ALL UTILITIES ARE AND WORKING PROPERLY.
-
2015-01-12price $22,000 445-char remark
Show marketing remark (445 chars)
LRG comfortable home located in the low key, low traffic section of McKeesport. This home is on a LRG parcel of land which gives this home an EXT LRG, fenced in yard. The entire attic area has been finished w/ carpet, painted drywall with electrical outlets and gas connection for heating & cooling appliances. The attic can absolutely be a 4th bedroom. This home does need updates and a bit of TLC. ALL UTILITIES ARE AND WORKING PROPERLY.
-
2015-01-12soldstatus $18,500 445-char remark
Show marketing remark (445 chars)
LRG comfortable home located in the low key, low traffic section of McKeesport. This home is on a LRG parcel of land which gives this home an EXT LRG, fenced in yard. The entire attic area has been finished w/ carpet, painted drywall with electrical outlets and gas connection for heating & cooling appliances. The attic can absolutely be a 4th bedroom. This home does need updates and a bit of TLC. ALL UTILITIES ARE AND WORKING PROPERLY.
-
2014-04-16$22,000 445-char remark
Show marketing remark (445 chars)
LRG comfortable home located in the low key, low traffic section of McKeesport. This home is on a LRG parcel of land which gives this home an EXT LRG, fenced in yard. The entire attic area has been finished w/ carpet, painted drywall with electrical outlets and gas connection for heating & cooling appliances. The attic can absolutely be a 4th bedroom. This home does need updates and a bit of TLC. ALL UTILITIES ARE AND WORKING PROPERLY.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,911 · $159/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,911 · $159/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,812
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$1,911
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,265
- − Management
- −$1,265
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $5,965
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,432
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,073/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mckeesport Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4214940
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,779
- Composite
- 15.88/100
- National rank
- #9257
- State rank
- #499 of 539 in PA
Livability — McKeesport
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #1089
- US rank
- #12321
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McKeesport, PA
- County
- Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
- City population
- 25,010
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,898
- Household income
- $35,397
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1239.0
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 35% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Serbian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.01%
- Current HPI
- 145.195
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+172.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Listed $60,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2015-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
- 2015-01-12 Price Changed $18,500 West Penn MLS
- 2015-01-12 Sold (MLS) $18,500 West Penn MLS
- 2015-01-12 Price Changed $22,000 West Penn MLS
- 2014-04-16 Listed $22,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2026): $1,911 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…