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2509 Carson St
B+ Composite 75.05
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

2509 Carson St · McKeesport, PA 15132
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,534 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 156 Days on market
Built 1880 Fair condition 7,500 sqft lot $39/sqft · 50% below area Est $120k · 50% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

You can view the photos on Zillow is houses in a quiet neighborhood Big fenced in backyard three bedroom 1.5 this house currently has tenants that have been here for two years. This house is a great portfolio. The tenants pay 1500 a month. The attic is fully finished and can be turned into a fourth bedroom game room or man cave. furnace and hot water tank is two years old the roof is two years old. House has been sold sight, unseen.

Key facts

  • Hot water tank
  • Roof
  • Fenced in backyard

Tags

FENCED IN BACKYARDFULLY FINISHED ATTICFOURTH BEDROOMGAME ROOMHOT WATER TANKROOF

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $542 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 10.9% in McKeesport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,089 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Mckeesport Area SD (suburban): math 11% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #499 of 539 in PA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Founders Hall Middle Sch (math 2% / reading 26%, grade F, #480 of 512 statewide, top 94%, 695 students, 100% FRL); Mckeesport Area Shs (math 22% / reading 30%, grade F, #372 of 437 statewide, top 86%, 1,045 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 66% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 64d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $60k implies a 224% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $52,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.20%
Cap rate
17.14%
Cash-on-cash
38.73%
DSCR
2.72
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$119,773
List price
$60,000
Delta
-49.91%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2616 Milburn St 0.13mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,473 (-4%) 2mo $115,000 $78 80
2716 Lafayette St 0.21mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,468 (-4%) 3mo $92,500 $63 76
2623 Grandview Ave 0.12mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,660 (+8%) 5mo $147,000 $89 70
406 35th 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,566 (+2%) 2mo $150,000 $96 69
1813 Duquesne Ave 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,560 (+2%) 3mo $149,900 $96 68
3300 Stewart St 0.53mi 3/1.5 1,558 (+2%) 5mo $60,000 $39 67
2613 Cleveland St 0.20mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,328 (-13%) 2mo $49,000 $37 61
419 31st St 0.36mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,381 (-10%) 2mo $32,501 $24 58
305 Beckman Dr 0.64mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,556 (+1%) 1mo $265,000 $170 56
3326 Stewart St 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,354 (-12%) 0mo $120,000 $89 54
405 Diehl Dr 0.67mi 3/1.5 1,725 (+12%) 5mo $151,000 $88 42
200 Marshall Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,750 (+14%) 0mo $242,000 $138 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.0%
Equity multiple
2.48×
Total profit
$24,884
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
41.8%
Equity multiple
4.95×
Total profit
$66,430
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
35 active · 21 under contract
Months of supply
8.1 mo (12%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$84,900 ($69/sqft)
Median days on market
52 d
This list price
14% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+13.3% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 15132

Home prices YoY
-32.9%
Active inventory
150
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,318 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$159 /mo · $1,911/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$542

Break-even live

Break-even rent $631
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $576 -5% $559 +0% $542 +5% $525 +10% $508
Rent -10% $438 -5% $490 +0% $542 +5% $594 +10% $646
Rate -1.0pp $572 -0.5pp $557 base $542 +0.5pp $527 +1.0pp $511

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2408 McCarrell St McKeesport, PA 4.0 1.0 1430 $1,195 $0.84 72d 1 0.16mi
3710 Mayfair St McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.5 1314 $1,295 $0.99 21d 1 0.39mi
3211 Walnut St McKeesport, PA 4.0 1.0 1434 $1,500 $1.05 46d 1 0.43mi
2807 Beaver St McKeesport, PA 4.0 2.0 1700 $1,200 $0.71 93d 1 0.54mi
1506 Freemont St McKeesport, PA 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,295 $1.04 72d 1 0.60mi
2503 Stewart St McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.0 1236 $1,200 $0.97 11d 1 0.78mi
1217 Scott St McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,165 $0.78 93d 1 0.85mi
2937 Chester St McKeesport, PA 2.0 1.0 1128 $1,195 $1.06 36d 1 0.97mi
2618 Poinsettia Dr White Oak, PA 4.0 1.0 1225 $1,599 $1.31 72d 1 1.05mi
1451 Jenny Lind St McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.5 1408 $997 $0.71 35d 1 1.18mi
4719 3rd St Unit 2 McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $975 $0.81 93d 1 1.23mi
1507 Carnegie Ave McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.5 1600 $1,699 $1.06 63d 1 1.25mi
913 Center St McKeesport, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0 1000 $1,140 $1.14 11d 10 1.27mi
2710 Henderson Rd White Oak, PA 3.0 1.5 1676 $1,675 $1.00 46d 1 1.32mi
2212 Cronemeyer St McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.0 1720 $1,375 $0.80 93d 1 1.39mi
1120 Jenny Lind St McKeesport, PA 2.0 1.0 2024 $900 $0.44 11d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 156 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 155 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $60,000 Active 154 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $60,000 Active 153 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $60,000 Active 152 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $60,000 Active 151 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 148 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $60,000 Active 146 DOM
  9. 2026-07-28
    days on market $60,000 Active 145 DOM
  10. 2026-07-26
    days on market $60,000 Active 143 DOM
  11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $60,000 Active 141 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $60,000 Active 140 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $60,000 Active 139 DOM
  14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $60,000 Active 138 DOM
  15. 2026-07-20
    days on market $60,000 Active 137 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 135 DOM
  17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 134 DOM
  18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 133 DOM
  19. 2026-07-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 132 DOM
  20. 2026-07-14
    days on market $60,000 Active 131 DOM
  21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 130 DOM
  22. 2026-07-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 129 DOM
  23. 2026-07-11
    days on market $60,000 Active 128 DOM
  24. 2026-07-10
    days on market $60,000 Active 127 DOM
  25. 2026-07-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 126 DOM
  26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 124 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $60,000 Active 123 DOM
  28. 2026-07-05
    days on market $60,000 Active 122 DOM
  29. 2026-07-03
    days on market $60,000 Active 120 DOM
  30. 2026-07-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 119 DOM
  31. 2026-07-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 118 DOM
  32. 2026-06-30
    days on market $60,000 Active 117 DOM
  33. 2026-06-29
    days on market $60,000 Active 116 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $60,000 Active 115 DOM
  35. 2026-06-27
    days on market $60,000 Active 114 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $60,000 Active 113 DOM
  37. 2026-06-25
    days on market $60,000 Active 111 DOM
  38. 2026-06-22
    days on market $60,000 Active 109 DOM
  39. 2026-06-21
    days on market $60,000 Active 108 DOM
  40. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 105 DOM
  41. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 104 DOM
  42. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 103 DOM
  43. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 102 DOM
  44. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 100 DOM
  45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 99 DOM
  46. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 96 DOM
  47. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 95 DOM
  48. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 94 DOM
  49. 2026-06-03
    days on market $60,000 Active 90 DOM
  50. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 89 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,911 · $159/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,911 · $159/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,814
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$1,911
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,265
− Management
−$1,265
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$5,967
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,432
After-tax cash flow
$5,075/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $38,350–$69,030 screening

This home requires significant repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, exterior painting, and flooring replacement. However, it has tenants and is currently a great portfolio. Upgrades to the roof and exterior would significantly increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
  • Major exterior siding — The exterior siding shows signs of wear and discoloration, and the paint appears faded.
  • Major flooring — The flooring in the interior appears to be carpeted and in poor condition.
  • Major interior walls — The interior walls show signs of wear and discoloration.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both New roof — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both Exterior painting — Painting the exterior would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
  • Both Flooring replacement — Replacing the carpeted flooring with a more durable and attractive option would improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both Interior painting — Painting the interior walls would improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both Landscaping — Landscaping the yard would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 20/100

Zoned Schools

Middle Founders Hall Middle Sch F PA #480/512 Nat'l #12,864/14,009 High Mckeesport Area Shs F PA #372/437 Nat'l #12,251/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mckeesport Area SD
NCES district ID
4214940
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$33,779
Composite
15.88/100
National rank
#9257
State rank
#499 of 539 in PA
C Composite livability gradescore 66/100

Livability — McKeesport

Score
66/100
State rank
#1089
US rank
#12321

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
McKeesport, PA
County
Allegheny County · 1,250,282 people
City population
25,010
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
18,898
Household income
$35,397
Rent vs Own
49.0% rent · 51.0% own
Severe rent burden
20% of renters

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 35% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Serbian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+172.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $60,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2015-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
  • 2015-01-12 Price Changed $18,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2015-01-12 Sold (MLS) $18,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2015-01-12 Price Changed $22,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2014-04-16 Listed $22,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,911 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…