2509 Carson St · McKeesport, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
You can view the photos on Zillow is houses in a quiet neighborhood Big fenced in backyard three bedroom 1.5 this house currently has tenants that have been here for two years. This house is a great portfolio. The tenants pay 1500 a month. The attic is fully finished and can be turned into a fourth bedroom game room or man cave. furnace and hot water tank is two years old the roof is two years old. House has been sold sight, unseen.
Key facts
- Hot water tank
- Roof
- Fenced in backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $516 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 10.2% in McKeesport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,089 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
- Mckeesport Area SD (suburban): math 11% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #499 of 539 in PA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Founders Hall Middle Sch (math 2% / reading 26%, grade F, #480 of 512 statewide, top 94%, 695 students, 100% FRL); Mckeesport Area Shs (math 22% / reading 30%, grade F, #372 of 437 statewide, top 86%, 1,045 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 66% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 177 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 82d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 202 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $60k implies a 224% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 202 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.83%
- DSCR
- 2.64
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $120,017
- List price
- $60,000
- Delta
- -50.01%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2616 Milburn St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,473 (-4%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $78 | 79 |
| 2716 Lafayette St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,468 (-4%) | 4mo | $92,500 | $63 | 74 |
| 406 35th | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,566 (+2%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $96 | 68 |
| 1411 Meadow St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,478 (-4%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $61 | 66 |
| 2613 Cleveland St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,328 (-13%) | 4mo | $49,000 | $37 | 60 |
| 419 31st St | 0.36mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,381 (-10%) | 4mo | $32,501 | $24 | 56 |
| 1112 Oneil Blvd | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,610 (+5%) | 1mo | $177,000 | $110 | 56 |
| 305 Beckman Dr | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,556 (+1%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $170 | 55 |
| 3326 Stewart St | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,354 (-12%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $89 | 53 |
| 306 Beckman Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,354 (-12%) | 1mo | $258,500 | $191 | 49 |
| 401 28th St | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,339 (-13%) | 0mo | $58,000 | $43 | 47 |
| 200 Marshall Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,750 (+14%) | 2mo | $242,000 | $138 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $23,190
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 39.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.74×
- Total profit
- $62,772
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 34 active · 31 under contract
- Months of supply
- 8.5 mo (12%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $84,900 ($64/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 74 d
- This list price
- 18% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +21.7% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 15132
- Home prices YoY
- -32.9%
- Active inventory
- 177
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,284 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$159 /mo · $1,911/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$270
- Net cashflow
- $516
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $550 | -5% $533 | +0% $516 | +5% $499 | +10% $482 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $414 | -5% $465 | +0% $516 | +5% $566 | +10% $617 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $546 | -0.5pp $531 | base $516 | +0.5pp $500 | +1.0pp $484 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2408 McCarrell St McKeesport, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $1,195 | $0.84 | 119d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 3710 Mayfair St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1314 | $1,295 | $0.99 | 67d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3211 Walnut St McKeesport, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1434 | $1,500 | $1.05 | 92d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2807 Beaver St McKeesport, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,200 | $0.71 | 139d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 429 25th St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 9d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1506 Freemont St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,295 | $1.04 | 119d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2503 Stewart St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1236 | $997 | $0.81 | 9d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1217 Scott St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,165 | $0.78 | 139d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 189 Oxford Dr McKeesport, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $850 | $0.75 | 4d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2810 Freeland St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1920 | $1,299 | $0.68 | 7d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1416 Ravine St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,020 | $0.73 | 4d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2937 Chester St McKeesport, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1128 | $1,020 | $0.90 | 4d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2618 Poinsettia Dr White Oak, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $1,599 | $1.31 | 119d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1703 Bailie Ave McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1980 | $1,195 | $0.60 | 9d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 152 Royal Oak Dr White Oak, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 930 | $1,785 | $1.92 | 0d | 11 | 1.14mi |
| 1451 Jenny Lind St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1408 | $997 | $0.71 | 82d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4719 3rd St Unit 2 McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $975 | $0.81 | 139d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1507 Carnegie Ave McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,699 | $1.06 | 110d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2710 Henderson Rd White Oak, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1676 | $1,675 | $1.00 | 92d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1701 Lincoln Way White Oak, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,495 | $1.20 | 0d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2212 Cronemeyer St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1720 | $1,375 | $0.80 | 139d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1120 Jenny Lind St McKeesport, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2024 | $900 | $0.44 | 57d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $60,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $60,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $60,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $60,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $60,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $60,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $60,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $60,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $60,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $60,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $60,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $60,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $60,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $60,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $60,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $60,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $60,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $60,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $60,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $60,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $60,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $60,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $60,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $60,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $60,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $60,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $60,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $60,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $60,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $60,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $60,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $60,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $60,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $60,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $60,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $60,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $60,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $60,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $60,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $60,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $60,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $60,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $60,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $60,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $60,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $60,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $60,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $60,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $60,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $60,000 Active 140 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,911 · $159/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,911 · $159/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,411
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$1,911
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,233
- − Management
- −$1,233
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $5,628
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,351
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,837/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This home requires significant repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, exterior painting, and flooring replacement. However, it has tenants and is currently a great portfolio. Upgrades to the roof and exterior would significantly increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
- Major exterior siding — The exterior siding shows signs of wear and discoloration, and the paint appears faded.
- Major flooring — The flooring in the interior appears to be carpeted and in poor condition.
- Major interior walls — The interior walls show signs of wear and discoloration.
Value-add opportunities
- Both New roof — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and increase its value. ↑
- Both Exterior painting — Painting the exterior would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value. ↑
- Both Flooring replacement — Replacing the carpeted flooring with a more durable and attractive option would improve the home's appearance and increase its value. ↑
- Both Interior painting — Painting the interior walls would improve the home's appearance and increase its value. ↑
- Both Landscaping — Landscaping the yard would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mckeesport Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4214940
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,779
- Composite
- 15.88/100
- National rank
- #9257
- State rank
- #499 of 539 in PA
Livability — McKeesport
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #1089
- US rank
- #12321
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McKeesport, PA
- County
- Allegheny County · 1,250,282 people
- City population
- 25,010
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,898
- Household income
- $35,397
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20% of renters
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 35% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Serbian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.01%
- Current HPI
- 145.195
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+172.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Listed $60,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2015-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
- 2015-01-12 Price Changed $18,500 West Penn MLS
- 2015-01-12 Sold (MLS) $18,500 West Penn MLS
- 2015-01-12 Price Changed $22,000 West Penn MLS
- 2014-04-16 Listed $22,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2026): $1,911 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…