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2509 Carson St
B Composite 74.89
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

2509 Carson St · McKeesport, PA 15132
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,534 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 105 Days on market
Built 1880 7,500 sqft lot $39/sqft · 49% below area Est $118k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

You can view the photos on Zillow is houses in a quiet neighborhood Big fenced in backyard three bedroom 1.5 this house currently has tenants that have been here for two years. This house is a great portfolio. The tenants pay 1500 a month. The attic is fully finished and can be turned into a fourth bedroom game room or man cave. furnace and hot water tank is two years old the roof is two years old. House has been sold sight, unseen.

Key facts

  • Hot water tank
  • Roof
  • Fenced in backyard

Tags

FENCED IN BACKYARDFULLY FINISHED ATTICFOURTH BEDROOMGAME ROOMHOT WATER TANKROOF

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $542 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 10.3% in McKeesport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,089 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D, crime F.
  • Mckeesport Area SD (suburban): math 11% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #499 of 539 in PA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $60k implies a 224% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $54,600 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.20%
Cap rate
17.13%
Cash-on-cash
38.72%
DSCR
2.72
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$118,027
List price
$60,000
Delta
-49.16%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2616 Milburn St 0.13mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,473 (-4%) 0mo $115,000 $78 82
2716 Lafayette St 0.21mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,468 (-4%) 1mo $92,500 $63 77
2623 Grandview Ave 0.12mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,660 (+8%) 3mo $147,000 $89 71
406 35th 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,566 (+2%) 1mo $150,000 $96 70
1813 Duquesne Ave 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,560 (+2%) 1mo $149,900 $96 69
3300 Stewart St 0.53mi 3/1.5 1,558 (+2%) 3mo $60,000 $39 68
2613 Cleveland St 0.20mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,328 (-13%) 1mo $49,000 $37 62
419 31st St 0.36mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,381 (-10%) 1mo $32,501 $24 59
1316 Craig St 0.61mi 3/1.5 1,653 (+8%) 4mo $127,500 $77 54
312 Beckman Dr 0.61mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,597 (+4%) 4mo $259,900 $163 50
405 Diehl Dr 0.67mi 3/1.5 1,725 (+12%) 4mo $151,000 $88 43
1208 Meadow St 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,716 (+12%) 4mo $110,000 $64 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.9%
Equity multiple
2.48×
Total profit
$24,873
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
41.8%
Equity multiple
4.95×
Total profit
$66,406
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15132

Home prices YoY
-32.9%
Active inventory
113
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,318 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$159 /mo · $1,911/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$542

Break-even live

Break-even rent $631
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2408 McCarrell St McKeesport, PA 4.0 1.0 1430 $1,195 $0.84 24d 1 0.16mi
3710 Mayfair St McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.5 1314 $1,095 $0.83 3d 1 0.39mi
3211 Walnut St McKeesport, PA 4.0 1.0 1434 $1,500 $1.05 8d 1 0.43mi
2807 Beaver St McKeesport, PA 4.0 2.0 1700 $1,200 $0.71 44d 1 0.54mi
1506 Freemont St McKeesport, PA 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,295 $1.04 24d 1 0.60mi
1217 Scott St McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,165 $0.78 44d 1 0.85mi
2618 Poinsettia Dr White Oak, PA 4.0 1.0 1225 $1,599 $1.31 24d 1 1.05mi
152 Royal Oak Dr White Oak, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 930 $1,445 $1.55 2d 9 1.14mi
1451 Jenny Lind St McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.5 1408 $1,150 $0.82 24d 1 1.18mi
4719 3rd St Unit 2 McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $975 $0.81 44d 1 1.23mi
1507 Carnegie Ave McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.5 1600 $1,699 $1.06 14d 1 1.25mi
2710 Henderson Rd White Oak, PA 3.0 1.5 1676 $1,675 $1.00 2d 1 1.32mi
2212 Cronemeyer St McKeesport, PA 3.0 1.0 1720 $1,375 $0.80 44d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 105 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 104 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 103 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 102 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 100 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 99 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 96 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 95 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 94 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $60,000 Active 90 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 89 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 88 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 87 DOM
  14. 2026-03-05
    listed $60,000 Active 436-char remark
    Show marketing remark (436 chars)

    You can view the photos on Zillow is houses in a quiet neighborhood Big fenced in backyard three bedroom 1.5 this house currently has tenants that have been here for two years. This house is a great portfolio. The tenants pay 1500 a month. The attic is fully finished and can be turned into a fourth bedroom game room or man cave. furnace and hot water tank is two years old the roof is two years old. House has been sold sight, unseen.

  15. 2015-01-14
    soldstatus $18,500
  16. 2015-01-12
    price $18,500 445-char remark
    Show marketing remark (445 chars)

    LRG comfortable home located in the low key, low traffic section of McKeesport. This home is on a LRG parcel of land which gives this home an EXT LRG, fenced in yard. The entire attic area has been finished w/ carpet, painted drywall with electrical outlets and gas connection for heating & cooling appliances. The attic can absolutely be a 4th bedroom. This home does need updates and a bit of TLC. ALL UTILITIES ARE AND WORKING PROPERLY.

  17. 2015-01-12
    price $22,000 445-char remark
    Show marketing remark (445 chars)

    LRG comfortable home located in the low key, low traffic section of McKeesport. This home is on a LRG parcel of land which gives this home an EXT LRG, fenced in yard. The entire attic area has been finished w/ carpet, painted drywall with electrical outlets and gas connection for heating & cooling appliances. The attic can absolutely be a 4th bedroom. This home does need updates and a bit of TLC. ALL UTILITIES ARE AND WORKING PROPERLY.

  18. 2015-01-12
    soldstatus $18,500 445-char remark
    Show marketing remark (445 chars)

    LRG comfortable home located in the low key, low traffic section of McKeesport. This home is on a LRG parcel of land which gives this home an EXT LRG, fenced in yard. The entire attic area has been finished w/ carpet, painted drywall with electrical outlets and gas connection for heating & cooling appliances. The attic can absolutely be a 4th bedroom. This home does need updates and a bit of TLC. ALL UTILITIES ARE AND WORKING PROPERLY.

  19. 2014-04-16
    listed $22,000 445-char remark
    Show marketing remark (445 chars)

    LRG comfortable home located in the low key, low traffic section of McKeesport. This home is on a LRG parcel of land which gives this home an EXT LRG, fenced in yard. The entire attic area has been finished w/ carpet, painted drywall with electrical outlets and gas connection for heating & cooling appliances. The attic can absolutely be a 4th bedroom. This home does need updates and a bit of TLC. ALL UTILITIES ARE AND WORKING PROPERLY.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,911 · $159/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,911 · $159/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,812
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$1,911
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,265
− Management
−$1,265
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$5,965
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,432
After-tax cash flow
$5,073/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mckeesport Area SD
NCES district ID
4214940
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$33,779
Composite
15.88/100
National rank
#9257
State rank
#499 of 539 in PA

Livability — McKeesport

Score
66/100
State rank
#1089
US rank
#12321

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
McKeesport, PA
County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
City population
25,010
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
18,898
Household income
$35,397
Rent vs Own
49.0% rent · 51.0% own
Severe rent burden
1239.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 35% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Serbian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.01%
Current HPI
145.195
Rent YoY
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+172.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $60,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2015-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
  • 2015-01-12 Price Changed $18,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2015-01-12 Sold (MLS) $18,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2015-01-12 Price Changed $22,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2014-04-16 Listed $22,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,911 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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