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633 E Fulton St Multi-family
C- Composite 53.07
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,900

633 E Fulton St · Lancaster, PA 17602
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,156 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 2016 3,485 sqft lot Est $205k · 47% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

This wonderful all brick semi detached home is only 2 years old and hand crafted by the Thaddeus Stevens Trade School. Offering great amenities such as a large living room w/ open staircase, custom kitchen w/ breakfast bar & pantry, sliding doors to rear patio, convenient 1st floor powder room, plus 3 generous-sized bedrooms w/ extra closet space. This home offers efficient Gas Heat w/ Central Air, Rear yard w/ Off-street parking. Also a huge basement just waiting to be finished with a roughed in powder room. Also taxes are very low as this home is only in year 2 of the 7 year LERTA tax abatement program Tax total for 2018 were $1294.26

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • Modern updates
  • All brick

Tags

ALL BRICKMODERN UPDATESBRAND NEW CARPETFRESH PAINTNEW APPLIANCESSPACIOUS LIVING ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath multifamily listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $756 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
  • Recommended offer: $295k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.2% in Lancaster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#71 in PA, #498 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-.
  • Lancaster SD (urban): math 12% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #500 of 539 in PA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 161 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,618/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 1556% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $295,401 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.32%
Cash-on-cash
10.80%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$204,612
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
742 E Marion St 0.17mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,290 (+12%) 16mo $228,000 $177 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.2%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-6,834
Equity at exit
$44,716
10-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$30,839
Equity at exit
$25,930

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17602

Rents YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
161
Price-to-rent
13.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,618 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$405 /mo · $4,859/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$760
Net cashflow
$756

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,662
Max offer price $299,900
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $925 -5% $841 +0% $756 +5% $671 +10% $586
Rent -10% $470 -5% $613 +0% $756 +5% $899 +10% $1,041
Rate -1.0pp $907 -0.5pp $832 base $756 +0.5pp $678 +1.0pp $599

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,618

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,975
Closing costs
$8,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
738 E Madison St Lancaster, PA 3.0 1.0 1102 $1,750 $1.59 44d 1 0.17mi
605 Lehigh Ave Lancaster, PA 2.0 1.0 784 $1,395 $1.78 44d 1 0.19mi
231 N Shippen St #224 Lancaster, PA 2.0 2.0 1155 $2,285 $1.98 14d 1 0.36mi
225 E King St Unit 2 Lancaster, PA 2.0 2.5 1075 $2,600 $2.42 44d 1 0.49mi
225 E King St Unit 1 Lancaster, PA 2.0 1.0 957 $1,950 $2.04 14d 1 0.49mi
766 New Holland Ave Lancaster, PA 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,795 $1.56 14d 1 0.55mi
767 Clermont Ave Lancaster, PA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,395 $1.64 14d 1 0.58mi
202 N Queen St Lancaster, PA 2.0 1.0–2.0 697 $2,718 $3.90 14d 12 0.73mi
701 Martha Ave Lancaster, PA 2.0 1.0–2.0 1096 $2,600 $2.37 14d 1 0.77mi
1216 Clark St Lancaster, PA 4.0 1.5 1270 $2,195 $1.73 14d 1 0.79mi
425 N Prince St Apt 206 Lancaster, PA 2.0 2.0 1138 $1,995 $1.75 44d 1 0.83mi
118 N Prince St Lancaster, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1274 $4,703 $3.69 14d 48 0.85mi
135 E Ross St Unit 2nd Floor Lancaster, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,575 $1.57 14d 1 0.86mi
549 Howard Ave Lancaster, PA 4.0 1.0 1439 $1,700 $1.18 44d 1 0.93mi
537 Woodward St Lancaster, PA 3.0 2.0 1288 $1,650 $1.28 24d 1 0.94mi
128 N Mulberry St Unit 1 Lancaster, PA 2.0 2.0 1500 $2,250 $1.50 24d 1 0.99mi
345 1/2 Beaver St Lancaster, PA 4.0 1.0 1382 $2,095 $1.52 44d 1 1.01mi
214 W Strawberry St Lancaster, PA 3.0 1.0 1175 $1,345 $1.14 21d 1 1.03mi
404 Beaver St Lancaster, PA 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,425 $1.39 24d 1 1.05mi
816 N Prince St Lancaster, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 794 $2,195 $2.76 14d 7 1.08mi
433 W Walnut St Apt 2 Lancaster, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,840 $2.04 24d 1 1.16mi
519 1/2 S Prince St Lancaster, PA 2.0 1.0 848 $1,550 $1.83 14d 1 1.18mi
513 Poplar St Lancaster, PA 3.0 1.5 1184 $1,695 $1.43 44d 1 1.19mi
37 E Filbert St Lancaster, PA 3.0 1.0 1002 $1,750 $1.75 44d 1 1.19mi
422 Hillside Ave Lancaster, PA 2.0 1.0 960 $1,245 $1.30 44d 1 1.22mi
324 New Dorwart St Lancaster, PA 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,495 $1.47 14d 1 1.24mi
529 Manor St Lancaster, PA 3.0 1.0 1434 $1,635 $1.14 14d 1 1.28mi
50 Knollwood Dr Lancaster, PA 2.0 1.5 1067 $1,925 $1.80 14d 3 1.29mi
1635 Old Philadelphia Pike Lancaster, PA 2.0 2.0 1160 $1,845 $1.59 14d 1 1.30mi
1000 Strand WAY Neffsville, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1033 $2,850 $2.76 14d 15 1.31mi
1522 Princess Anne Dr Lancaster, PA 4.0 2.0 1352 $2,400 $1.78 44d 1 1.36mi
5000 Foundry Dr Lancaster, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 970 $2,575 $2.65 14d 10 1.37mi
14 Coral St Lancaster, PA 3.0 1.5 1355 $1,525 $1.13 44d 1 1.40mi
850 Highland Ave Lancaster, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 21d 1 1.43mi
1405 Oregon Pike Apt A Lancaster, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,295 $1.29 44d 1 1.43mi
678 1/2 Columbia Ave Apt 2 Lancaster, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,495 $1.36 14d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    soldstatus $299,900
  2. 2026-04-26
    status Pending
  3. 2026-04-02
    listed $299,900 Active
  4. 2018-11-01
    soldstatus $149,900
  5. 2018-10-30
    soldstatus $149,900 Closed 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    This wonderful all brick semi detached home is only 2 years old and hand crafted by the Thaddeus Stevens Trade School. Offering great amenities such as a large living room w/ open staircase, custom kitchen w/ breakfast bar & pantry, sliding doors to rear patio, convenient 1st floor powder room, plus 3 generous-sized bedrooms w/ extra closet space. This home offers efficient Gas Heat w/ Central Air, Rear yard w/ Off-street parking. Also a huge basement just waiting to be finished with a roughed in powder room. Also taxes are very low as this home is only in year 2 of the 7 year LERTA tax abatement program Tax total for 2018 were $1294.26

  6. 2018-10-06
    status Pending 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    This wonderful all brick semi detached home is only 2 years old and hand crafted by the Thaddeus Stevens Trade School. Offering great amenities such as a large living room w/ open staircase, custom kitchen w/ breakfast bar & pantry, sliding doors to rear patio, convenient 1st floor powder room, plus 3 generous-sized bedrooms w/ extra closet space. This home offers efficient Gas Heat w/ Central Air, Rear yard w/ Off-street parking. Also a huge basement just waiting to be finished with a roughed in powder room. Also taxes are very low as this home is only in year 2 of the 7 year LERTA tax abatement program Tax total for 2018 were $1294.26

  7. 2018-10-05
    listed $149,900 Active 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    This wonderful all brick semi detached home is only 2 years old and hand crafted by the Thaddeus Stevens Trade School. Offering great amenities such as a large living room w/ open staircase, custom kitchen w/ breakfast bar & pantry, sliding doors to rear patio, convenient 1st floor powder room, plus 3 generous-sized bedrooms w/ extra closet space. This home offers efficient Gas Heat w/ Central Air, Rear yard w/ Off-street parking. Also a huge basement just waiting to be finished with a roughed in powder room. Also taxes are very low as this home is only in year 2 of the 7 year LERTA tax abatement program Tax total for 2018 were $1294.26

  8. 2016-09-30
    historical
  9. 2016-08-17
    soldstatus $255,000
  10. 2016-07-29
    historical
  11. 2016-05-10
    listed $269,800
  12. 2016-05-09
    listed $134,900
  13. 2009-09-28
    historical
  14. 2009-09-25
    soldstatus $26,000
  15. 2009-08-17
    listed $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,859 · $405/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,859 · $405/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,416
− Mortgage interest
−$16,799
− Property taxes
−$4,859
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,473
− Management
−$3,473
− Depreciation
−$8,724
Taxable income
$4,587
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,101
After-tax cash flow
$7,967/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lancaster SD
NCES district ID
4213140
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$38,500
Composite
15.52/100
National rank
#9301
State rank
#500 of 539 in PA

Livability — Lancaster

Score
85/100
State rank
#71
US rank
#498

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lancaster, PA
County
Lancaster County · 390,309 people
City population
176,170
Metro
Lancaster, PA
Population (ZIP)
52,217
Household income
$75,862
Rent vs Own
41.7% rent · 58.3% own
Severe rent burden
1556.0

Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
561,011 people
By 2030
570,969 · +1.8%
By 2040
585,929 · +4.4%
By 2050
591,056 · +5.4%
By 2075
594,747 · +6.0%
By 2100
558,850 · -0.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 12% Black 11% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 21% Cuban 1% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 22% German/W. Germanic 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster

2024 margin
R (+15.9) · D 41.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-4.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -15.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+19.7 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -248.05%
Current HPI
288.9141
Rent YoY
▲ 1.20%
Metro
Lancaster, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+899.7% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $299,900 Public Records
  • 2026-04-26 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $299,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $149,900 Public Records
  • 2018-10-30 Sold (MLS) $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-10-06 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-10-05 Listed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-09-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-08-17 Sold (MLS) $255,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-07-29 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-05-10 Listed $269,800 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-05-09 Listed $134,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-09-28 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-09-25 Sold (MLS) $26,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-08-17 Listed $30,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,859 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…