Duplex
198 Jefferson St · Albany, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Rare opportunity to own a well-maintained duplex in the highly Desirable Center Square neighborhood. Never before available and proudly held within the same family, never rented. This unique property offers both character and versatility, perfect for owner-occupants or investors alike. The first-floor unit features a comfortable 1-bedroom, 1-bath layout, while the second-floor unit offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, a dedicated laundry area, and a stunning loft-style bedroom with vaulted ceilings that adds both charm and architectural interest. Abundant natural light fills both units, enhancing the warm and inviting feel throughout. Outside, enjoy a fully fenced backyard, ideal for relaxing, entert
Key facts
- 6 guest spots
- Vaulted ceilings
- 1,306 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $656 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $328/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 5.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#129 in NY, #2,083 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Albany City School District (urban): math 37% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #543 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Albany High School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade B+, #710 of 1,100 statewide, top 65%, 2,676 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools at 69% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Albany City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 70 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,615/mo this rent would consume 78% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 1211% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.9% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $233k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.37%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $247,940
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Garden Aly | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,545 (-4%) | 1mo | $392,000 | $254 | 88 |
| 63 Irving St | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,638 (+2%) | 13mo | $207,000 | $126 | 74 |
| 144 Dove St | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,720 (+7%) | 12mo | $264,900 | $154 | 73 |
| 202 Jefferson St | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,776 (+10%) | 6mo | $325,000 | $183 | 72 |
| 301 Hudson Ave | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,700 (+6%) | 16mo | $360,000 | $212 | 64 |
| 299 Hudson Ave | 0.18mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,710 (+6%) | 14mo | $324,450 | $190 | 61 |
| 60 Bradford St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (-1%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $106 | 58 |
| 40 Spring St | 0.37mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,716 (+7%) | 14mo | $221,100 | $129 | 51 |
| 6 Myrtle Ave | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,446 (-10%) | 7mo | $235,000 | $163 | 47 |
| 241 Delaware Ave | 0.63mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,780 (+11%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $79 | 36 |
| 8 Myrtle Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,446 (-10%) | 14mo | $195,000 | $135 | 36 |
| 307 Orange St | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,750 (+9%) | 17mo | $90,000 | $51 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.86% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $7,903
- Equity at exit
- $44,716
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $126,027
- Equity at exit
- $25,930
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12210
- Home prices YoY
- -2.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 13.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,615 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$502 /mo · $6,026/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$759
- Net cashflow
- $656
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $3,616 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $1,808 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $1,808 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,615 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 409 Madison Ave Albany, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,094 | $1.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 364 Madison Ave Albany, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 21d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 366 Hamilton St #2 Albany, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 292 Lark St Albany, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 346 Madison Ave Unit 3 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,725 | $2.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 346 Madison Ave Albany, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,495 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 88 Willett St Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,802 | $2.18 | 14d | 10 | 0.19mi |
| 201 Park Ave Unit 10 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 227 Jay St Albany, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1710 | $2,150 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 154 Lancaster St Unit 1 Albany, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 520 Madison Ave Unit 1 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,700 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 352 State St Albany, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $2,500 | $2.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 240 Washington Ave Albany, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $2,450 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 25 Bleecker Pl #1 Albany, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 164 Madison Ave Albany, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 119 Grand St Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,300 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 48 N Pearl St Albany, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1251 | $3,500 | $2.80 | 14d | 17 | 0.76mi |
| 147 Western Ave Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1428 | $1,800 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 111 Pine St Unit 4E Albany, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 178 Western Ave Unit 3 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,725 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 546 Mercer St Unit 1 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 15 Ten Broeck St Albany, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1900 | $1,750 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 21 Woodlawn Ave Unit 3RDFL Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 21 Woodlawn Ave Unit 3rd floor Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 22 Hurlbut St Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1209 | $2,050 | $1.70 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 614 Park Ave Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $2,500 | $2.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 223 Western Ave #1 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 282 Livingston Ave Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1464 | $2,400 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 86 Hackett Blvd Albany, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,900 | $1.73 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 830 Madison Ave Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $1,700 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 489 Hamilton St Unit 1 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 273 Western Ave Unit 3 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 188 Spring St Unit 2 Albany, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,475 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 363 Ontario St Albany, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1610 | $3,485 | $2.16 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 502 Second Ave #3 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 99 New Broadway Rensselaer, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 946 | $2,495 | $2.64 | 14d | 5 | 1.24mi |
| 50 Southern Blvd Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 98 Mount Hope Dr Albany, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 883 Broadway Apt 103 Albany, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1155 | $1,785 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 602 Morris St Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1270 | $1,850 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-23$299,900 Active
-
2022-06-24soldstatus $233,000
-
2017-09-27soldstatus $90,000
-
2001-07-23soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,026 · $502/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,026 · $502/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,380
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$6,026
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,470
- − Management
- −$3,470
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable income
- $3,390
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$814
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,059/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Albany City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3602460
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,568
- Composite
- 32.34/100
- National rank
- #5744
- State rank
- #543 of 590 in NY
Livability — Albany
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #129
- US rank
- #2083
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Albany, NY
- County
- Albany County · 196,626 people
- City population
- 116,921
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,297
- Household income
- $55,843
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1211.0
Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 320,794 people
- By 2030
- 327,401 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 338,218 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 348,467 · +8.6%
- By 2075
- 381,693 · +19.0%
- By 2100
- 393,809 · +22.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 41% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Albany
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.92%
- Current HPI
- 252.3084
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.86%
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+399.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $299,900 Global MLS
- 2022-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $233,000 Public Records
- 2017-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2001-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+20.6%/yrLatest (2025): $6,026 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…