CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3549 Carolina St
D Composite 44.62
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0

$149,900

3549 Carolina St · Gary, IN 46409
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 704 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1914 7,500 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming and beautifully updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow located in Gary, IN! Welcome to 3549 Carolina Street, where modern updates meet timeless character. Relax on the inviting front porch before stepping inside to a bright and welcoming interior featuring fresh neutral paint, refinished hardwood floors throughout the main living area, and new carpet in the bedrooms. The updated kitchen offers white shaker cabinets, granite countertops, and a stylish tile backsplash, creating a clean and modern feel. The fully renovated bathroom features designer tile surround, updated fixtures, and a sleek vanity. A bonus sunroom provides additional flexible space perfect for a home office, sitting ar

Key facts

  • Bonus sunroom
  • Updated kitchen
  • Granite countertops

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTYLISH TILE BACKSPLASHFULLY RENOVATED BATHROOMDESIGNER TILE SURROUNDBONUS SUNROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached oversized garage; Detached 2-car garage; Driveway parking; On-street parking; Off-street parking; Alley access; Additional parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (100 amp service); Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: One-story home; Built in 1914
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Has basement (interior entry, unfinished)
  • Exterior features: Front and rear covered porches (including enclosed front porch); Rain gutters; Chain link partial fenced backyard; Neighborhood view; Garages on site

Interior

  • Kitchen: Country-style kitchen with stone counters
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Second bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Country kitchen; Stone counters; Soaking tub; Interior entry basement (unfinished); Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup (lower level); Gas dryer hookup (lower level)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $70 ($838/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (20.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $120k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $119,655 (20.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.85%
Cash-on-cash
2.00%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$24,640
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3621 Virginia St 0.11mi 2/1.0 (-1) 748 (+6%) 7mo $25,000 $33 74
933 E Ridge Rd 0.26mi 3/1.0 651 (-8%) 17mo $5,488 $8 61
3632 Virginia St 0.14mi 2/1.0 (-1) 754 (+7%) 19mo $59,750 $79 61
3705 Mississippi St 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 704 (0%) 8mo $83,500 $119 60
3518 Massachusetts St 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 660 (-6%) 9mo $23,000 $35 58
1015 E 36th Pl 0.25mi 2/1.0 (-1) 780 (+11%) 9mo $82,000 $105 58
4001 Virginia St 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 760 (+8%) 8mo $45,000 $59 48
4045 Massachusetts St 0.73mi 2/1.5 (-1) 736 (+4%) 8mo $3,500 $5 45
3939 Massachusetts St 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (+12%) 13mo $18,000 $23 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.4%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-17,656
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-310
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46409

Home prices YoY
-2.0%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
77
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,197 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$27 /mo · $323/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$70

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,108
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $155 -5% $112 +0% $70 +5% $27 +10% $-194
Rent -10% $-25 -5% $23 +0% $70 +5% $117 +10% $164
Rate -1.0pp $145 -0.5pp $108 base $70 +0.5pp $31 +1.0pp $-9

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1005 W 35th Ave Apt 202 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 617 $795 $1.29 3d 1 1.08mi
1005 W 35th Ave Apt 105 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 601 $795 $1.32 20d 1 1.08mi
1015 W 35th Ave Apt 206 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 601 $795 $1.32 45d 1 1.10mi
2453 Prospect St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 704 $1,095 $1.56 0d 1 1.37mi
4170 Fillmore St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 720 $950 $1.32 21d 1 1.38mi
3942 Lincoln St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 520 $1,150 $2.21 9d 1 1.41mi
3942 Lincoln St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 520 $1,150 $2.21 5d 1 1.41mi
837 W 27th Ave Unit A Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 750 $1,150 $1.53 0d 1 1.45mi
2355 Rhode Island St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 701 $1,095 $1.56 45d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $149,900 Active 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,900 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,900 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,900 Active 16 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 15 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 14 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 13 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 12 DOM
  16. 2026-05-19
    listed $149,900 Active
  17. 2026-03-01
    historical
  18. 2025-11-01
    listed $149,900 Active
  19. 2025-11-01
    historical
  20. 2025-07-01
    listed $149,900 Active
  21. 2025-07-01
    historical
  22. 2025-03-11
    listed $149,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$323 · $27/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$799 · $67/mo
Expected delta
+$476/yr (+$40/mo · 147.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,359
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$323
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,149
− Management
−$1,149
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$1,769
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$424
After-tax cash flow
$1,262/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
63,701
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
7,184
Household income
$44,667
Rent vs Own
55.5% rent · 44.5% own
Severe rent burden
516.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 68% Two or more races 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% White 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.91%
Current HPI
190.6724
Rent YoY
▲ 4.85%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $149,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-01 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-01 Listed $149,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-01 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-01 Listed $149,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-01 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-11 Listed $149,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+15.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $323 · +207.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…