601 N Kirby St #90 · Hemet, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$88,600
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2 Bed, 2 Bath Home in 55+ Community Spacious 2-bedroom, 2 full bath home located in the desirable 55+ Colonial Country Club senior community. Step inside to a large, open living room filled with natural light, featuring a beautiful built-in china cabinet and additional storage in the dining area. The kitchen offers ample space with a convenient peninsula--perfect for casual breakfasts or entertaining. A generous bonus room provides flexibility for a family room, office, or entertainment space. The primary bedroom is roomy and comfortable, complete with a large closet and an en-suite bathroom featuring a sunken tub and separate walk-in shower. The second bedroom is ideal for guests and connects to a Jack-and-Jill bathroom, offering added privacy. Additional highlights include an indoor laundry room, central air and heating, a well-maintained roof, and abundant windows throughout the home. Outside, enjoy a covered patio and parking for 4-5 vehicles with two covered carports--one of which could easily be converted into a relaxing outdoor patio space. Two detached storage sheds provide plenty of extra storage. Experience resort-style living with community amenities that include a pool, spa, hair salon, pet salon, banquet room, new pickleball courts, a beautiful golf course with a scenic pond, and picnic area. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, casinos, and more!
Key facts
- Community amenities
- Covered patio
- Indoor laundry room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $83k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.3% vs local median 4.9% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 290 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $613 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $54k; list at $89k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 53.58%
- DSCR
- 3.38
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $54,187
- List price
- $88,600
- Delta
- 63.51%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 601 N Kirby St #501 | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-10%) | 0mo | $49,000 | $34 | 72 |
| 601 Kirby St N #451 | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-10%) | 0mo | $60,000 | $42 | 72 |
| 601 Kirby St N #235 | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-10%) | 3mo | $84,000 | $58 | 70 |
| 601 N Kirby St #67 | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-10%) | 6mo | $73,000 | $51 | 68 |
| 1580 Cabrillo Dr | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,640 (+2%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $143 | 65 |
| 601 N Kirby St #159 | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-10%) | 5mo | $69,000 | $48 | 63 |
| 1300 Menlo Ave #81 | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,612 (+1%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $96 | 58 |
| 1645 Sonora | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-10%) | 4mo | $199,900 | $139 | 54 |
| 542 Castille | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 | 1,392 (-13%) | 2mo | $239,000 | $172 | 51 |
| 1525 W Oakland Ave #62 | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-10%) | 2mo | $40,000 | $28 | 50 |
| 1420 Cabrillo Dr | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-10%) | 1mo | $247,500 | $172 | 49 |
| 1450 Carlotta | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-10%) | 4mo | $204,000 | $142 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 52.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.33×
- Total profit
- $57,859
- Equity at exit
- $13,211
- IRR
- 58.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.97×
- Total profit
- $148,164
- Equity at exit
- $7,661
Cash invested: $24,808 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92545
- Home prices YoY
- -24.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 290
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,177 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$465
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$111 /mo · $1,329/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$457
- Net cashflow
- $1,108
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,150
- Closing costs
- $2,658
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 811 Alondra Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $1,875 | $1.61 | 5d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 853 Ensenada Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,875 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 853 Ensenada Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,875 | $1.39 | 12d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 743 Via Linda Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1206 | $1,995 | $1.65 | 5d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2014 Iris Way Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $2,850 | $2.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1700 Walden Ln Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $2,670 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 543 La Cresta Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $1,595 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2208 El Grande St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1327 | $2,100 | $1.58 | 18d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3471 Dublin Ct Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $2,895 | $2.27 | 4d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 663 Mariposa Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3030 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 892 | $1,895 | $2.12 | 2d | 10 | 0.84mi |
| 3800 W Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 816 | $2,055 | $2.52 | 2d | 8 | 0.85mi |
| 2098 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $2,035 | $2.27 | 2d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1245 Millie Dr Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $2,850 | $2.05 | 8d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 828 Coramdeo Ct Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1543 | $3,000 | $1.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1315 W Latham Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1340 | $2,550 | $1.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1850 Amberwood Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,561 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 471 Whitney Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,800 | $1.66 | 5d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 914 Haviture Way Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $2,900 | $1.50 | 2d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1967 Connor Ln San Jacinto, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1708 | $2,950 | $1.73 | 8d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 683 Jonquil St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,448 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1844 Paradise Way San Jacinto, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $3,000 | $1.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4400 W Florida Ave Unit 86 Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $1,800 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4400 W Florida Ave Spc 26 Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1193 | $1,699 | $1.42 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1521 W Westmont Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 415 S Tahquitz Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1766 | $2,900 | $1.64 | 18d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1241 Sandlewood Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1504 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $88,600 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $88,600 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $88,600 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $88,600 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $88,600 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $88,600 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $88,600 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $88,600 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $88,600 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $88,600 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $88,600 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $88,600 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $88,600 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-03-27$95,000 Active 1399-char remark
Show marketing remark (1399 chars)
Charming 2 Bed, 2 Bath Home in 55+ Community Spacious 2-bedroom, 2 full bath home located in the desirable 55+ Colonial Country Club senior community. Step inside to a large, open living room filled with natural light, featuring a beautiful built-in china cabinet and additional storage in the dining area. The kitchen offers ample space with a convenient peninsula--perfect for casual breakfasts or entertaining. A generous bonus room provides flexibility for a family room, office, or entertainment space. The primary bedroom is roomy and comfortable, complete with a large closet and an en-suite bathroom featuring a sunken tub and separate walk-in shower. The second bedroom is ideal for guests and connects to a Jack-and-Jill bathroom, offering added privacy. Additional highlights include an indoor laundry room, central air and heating, a well-maintained roof, and abundant windows throughout the home. Outside, enjoy a covered patio and parking for 4-5 vehicles with two covered carports--one of which could easily be converted into a relaxing outdoor patio space. Two detached storage sheds provide plenty of extra storage. Experience resort-style living with community amenities that include a pool, spa, hair salon, pet salon, banquet room, new pickleball courts, a beautiful golf course with a scenic pond, and picnic area. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, casinos, and more!
-
2025-08-27historical
-
2025-05-27$110,000 Active
-
2024-11-25soldstatus $54,000 Closed Sale
-
2024-11-18status Pending Sale
-
2024-09-20status Active
-
2024-09-05status Pending Sale
-
2024-07-18$58,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥104°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,127
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,963
- − Property taxes
- −$1,329
- − Insurance
- −$443
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,090
- − Management
- −$2,090
- − Depreciation
- −$2,577
- Taxable income
- $12,634
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,032
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,260/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This manufactured home has fair condition with cosmetic updates needed. Repairs to the roof and exterior siding are critical to increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — visible wear
- Major exterior siding — light siding, visible wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and value
- Both repair roof — fixes major issue and prevents further damage
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · visible wear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · light siding, visible wear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $30,000–100,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both repair roof — fixes major issue and prevents further damage ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hemet Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0616920
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,962
- Composite
- 25.16/100
- National rank
- #7517
- State rank
- #360 of 517 in CA
Livability — Hemet
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1056
- US rank
- #25208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hemet, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 137,670
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,982
- Household income
- $63,770
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1813.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 35% Two or more races 17% Black 8% Asian 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 40%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 27% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.25%
- Current HPI
- 356.9414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.74%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+62.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Listed $95,000 GPSMLS
- 2025-08-27 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-05-27 Listed $110,000 CRMLS
- 2024-11-25 Sold (MLS) $54,000 CRMLS
- 2024-11-18 Pending — CRMLS
- 2024-09-20 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2024-09-05 Pending — CRMLS
- 2024-07-18 Listed $58,500 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…