11424 36th Dr NE #69 · Marysville, WA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.4/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$92,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
VACANT, NEW INTERIOR, 2 BEDROOM & 2 BATH, 924 SQ FT. .JUST REMODELED IN No. MARYSVILLE, SMALL SENIOR PARK w/ A low lot rent of $685 p/m, (SWR. & GARB. INC'D), HOME FEATURES INCLUDE: NEW MODERN FLOORING THRU-OUT & NEW INTR. WALL FINISH W/ DESIGNER COLORS, TRIM & LIGHTING & MUCH MORE. NEW "TPO" ROOF/ VINYL WINDOWS, NEW KITCHEN CABINETS & APPLIANCES PLUS DUCTLESS HEAT PUMP IN LIVING ROOM AND COVERED PARKING W/ SHED. MOBILE MANOR SENIOR (55 Y/O+) PARK IS WALKING DISTANCE TO SHOPPING (KOHL'S/ WINCO) /RESTAURANTS/ PARK & RIDE PLUS CASINO/ OUTLET MALL NEAR BY. MANY UPGRADES THRU-OUT HOME & MOVE-IN READY. SMALL, FRIENDLY SENIOR PARK W/ MATURE
Key facts
- Remodeled
- Large covered porch
- Ductless heat pump
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $92k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $92k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.6% vs local median 3.0% in Marysville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#43 in WA, #768 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Marysville School District (suburban): math 36% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #177 of 291 in WA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $640 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.63%
- DSCR
- 3.12
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $94,383
- List price
- $92,500
- Delta
- -1.99%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11424 36th Dr NE #66 | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 924 (0%) | 10mo | $85,000 | $92 | 90 |
| 11424 36th Dr NE Unit Sp 74 | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (0%) | 18mo | $55,000 | $60 | 80 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.89×
- Total profit
- $49,040
- Equity at exit
- $13,792
- IRR
- 49.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.68×
- Total profit
- $121,168
- Equity at exit
- $7,998
Cash invested: $25,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98271
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 213
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,110 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$485
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$116 /mo · $1,388/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$443
- Net cashflow
- $1,028
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,125
- Closing costs
- $2,775
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12115 State Ave Marysville, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 881 | $2,106 | $2.39 | 4d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 11508 51st Ave NE Unit C Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,595 | $2.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 12705 48th Ave NE Unit 3 Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1088 | $1,800 | $1.65 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 10021 54th Dr NE Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 922 | $1,200 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $92,500 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $92,500 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $92,500 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $92,500 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $92,500 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $92,500 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $92,500 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $92,500 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $92,500 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $92,500 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $92,500 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $92,500 Active 59 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $92,500 Active 58 DOM
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2026-04-21price $105,000
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2026-04-03$117,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,325
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,181
- − Property taxes
- −$1,388
- − Insurance
- −$462
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,026
- − Management
- −$2,026
- − Depreciation
- −$2,691
- Taxable income
- $11,551
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,772
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,564/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marysville School District
- NCES district ID
- 5304860
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,461
- Composite
- 41.31/100
- National rank
- #7367
- State rank
- #177 of 291 in WA
Livability — Marysville
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #43
- US rank
- #768
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marysville, WA
- County
- Snohomish County · 786,756 people
- City population
- 85,887
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,838
- Household income
- $95,654
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 929.0
Population outlook (Snohomish County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 899,800 people
- By 2030
- 960,975 · +6.8%
- By 2040
- 1,074,447 · +19.4%
- By 2050
- 1,171,954 · +30.2%
- By 2075
- 1,384,849 · +53.9%
- By 2100
- 1,497,296 · +66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 13% Native American 7% Asian 5% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Snohomish
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.0) · D 57.8% · R 38.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 18.9pp · 2024: 19.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.0 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -666.16%
- Current HPI
- 305.285
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.30%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-10.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $105,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Listed $117,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2020): $182 · +75.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…