568 W Viola St · Casa Grande, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.8/30.0
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A Golfers dream! Close to Dave White Golf Course and to the major highway! Fresh coat of paint on the interior of the home. A blank canvas to express your own creative style inside and out.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Backyard
- Spacious patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 5,501 sq ft (assessor)
- Financial info: Existing VA financing
- HOA & community: Community association with $60 monthly fee; Association fee includes grounds maintenance
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking for 2 vehicles; 2-car garage with garage door opener and direct access
- Utilities: City water and private water company; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Stucco and painted wood-frame construction; Tile roof
- Exterior features: Block fencing; Gravel/stone front; Biking/walking path in community
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High-speed internet; No interior steps; Full bath in primary bedroom; Dual-pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer/Dryer hookup only
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $20 ($243/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (18.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $196k (18.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.1% in Casa Grande — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#220 in AZ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities F.
- Casa Grande Union High School District (4453) (suburban): math 14% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #193 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Casa Grande Union High School (math 18% / reading 25%, grade F, #217 of 381 statewide, top 57%, 2,132 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 628 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask is 7% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.36%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $262,960
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 669 W Silver Reef Ct | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,384 (0%) | 4mo | $260,000 | $188 | 78 |
| 592 W Gabrilla Ct | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,569 (+13%) | 2mo | $310,000 | $198 | 68 |
| 659 W Jahns Ct | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,548 (+12%) | 0mo | $277,900 | $180 | 64 |
| 718 W Ocotillo St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,368 (-1%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $190 | 62 |
| 569 W Jardin Loop | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,337 (-3%) | 6mo | $259,500 | $194 | 61 |
| 1552 N Schultz Pl | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,357 (-2%) | 9mo | $260,000 | $192 | 57 |
| 667 W Jardin Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,516 (+10%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $172 | 54 |
| 684 W Jardin Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,517 (+10%) | 1mo | $266,000 | $175 | 53 |
| 445 E Providence Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,454 (+5%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $206 | 50 |
| 692 W Jardin Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,524 (+10%) | 6mo | $262,000 | $172 | 48 |
| 556 W Jardin Loop | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,506 (+9%) | 10mo | $195,000 | $129 | 47 |
| 405 E Providence Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,477 (+7%) | 7mo | $311,500 | $211 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-34,444
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-14,945
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85122
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 628
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,960 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$110 /mo · $1,316/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$60
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$412
- Net cashflow
- $20
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 767 W Barrus Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1463 | $1,695 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 645 W Jardin Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1309 | $1,650 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 736 W Palo Verde Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1810 | $3,550 | $1.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1858 N Center Ave Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1146 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 803 W Jardin Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1491 | $1,725 | $1.16 | 4d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 520 W Casa Mirage Ct Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $1,600 | $1.04 | 4d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 541 W Melrose Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1101 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 776 W Fairlane Ct Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1489 | $3,200 | $2.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2094 N Sweetwater Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,700 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1640 N Cameron St Unit 1640 Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1577 | $3,250 | $2.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1640 N Cameron St Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1577 | $3,250 | $2.06 | 22d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1640 N Cameron St Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1577 | $3,250 | $2.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1642 N Cameron St Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1577 | $3,250 | $2.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 845 W Crooked Stick Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1601 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1641 N Kadota Ave Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 1d | 3 | 0.98mi |
| 1564 N Morrison Ave Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 871 | $864 | $0.99 | 1d | 20 | 1.07mi |
| 1113 W Corinthian Cir Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 981 | $1,395 | $1.42 | 15d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1775 N Terrace Cir Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $1,699 | $1.04 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1010 N Park Ave Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,100 | $1.20 | 12d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1926 N Avenida de Palmas Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,199 | $1.08 | 22d | 3 | 1.23mi |
| 1620 N Trekell Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1090 | $2,165 | $1.99 | 1d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1936 N Trekell Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1033 | $1,492 | $1.44 | 2d | 29 | 1.44mi |
| 1161 E O'Neil Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,295 | $1.13 | 3d | 12 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $60 · $720/yr
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $240,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $240,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $240,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $240,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $240,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $240,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $240,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $240,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $240,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $240,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $240,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $240,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $240,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $240,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-03-17price $240,000
-
2026-01-09$225,000 Active
-
2024-08-19historical
-
2024-05-06$316,000 Active
-
2022-11-18soldstatus $299,900 Closed 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
A Golfers dream! Close to Dave White Golf Course and to the major highway! Fresh coat of paint on the interior of the home. A blank canvas to express your own creative style inside and out.
-
2022-11-18soldstatus $299,900
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
A Golfers dream! Close to Dave White Golf Course and to the major highway! Fresh coat of paint on the interior of the home. A blank canvas to express your own creative style inside and out.
-
2022-10-14historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
A Golfers dream! Close to Dave White Golf Course and to the major highway! Fresh coat of paint on the interior of the home. A blank canvas to express your own creative style inside and out.
-
2022-10-04price $299,900 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
A Golfers dream! Close to Dave White Golf Course and to the major highway! Fresh coat of paint on the interior of the home. A blank canvas to express your own creative style inside and out.
-
2022-09-21price $315,000 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
A Golfers dream! Close to Dave White Golf Course and to the major highway! Fresh coat of paint on the interior of the home. A blank canvas to express your own creative style inside and out.
-
2022-09-13$324,900 Active 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
A Golfers dream! Close to Dave White Golf Course and to the major highway! Fresh coat of paint on the interior of the home. A blank canvas to express your own creative style inside and out.
-
2019-08-02soldstatus $174,900 Closed
-
2019-08-02soldstatus $174,900
-
2019-06-16historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
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2019-06-05$174,900 Active
-
2017-07-14soldstatus $130,000 Closed
-
2017-07-14soldstatus $130,100
-
2017-07-08status Pending
-
2017-06-30historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
-
2017-06-30$135,000 Active
-
2008-06-23soldstatus $107,900
-
2008-05-09historical
-
2008-04-29$107,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,316 · $110/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,584 · $132/mo
- Expected delta
- +$268/yr (+$22/mo · 20.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,522
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$1,316
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,882
- − Management
- −$1,882
- − HOA
- −$720
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable loss
- −$3,903
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$937
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,180/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Casa Grande Union High School District (4453)
- NCES district ID
- 0401740
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,373
- Composite
- 15.38/100
- National rank
- #9319
- State rank
- #193 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Casa Grande
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #220
- US rank
- #21534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Casa Grande, AZ
- County
- Pinal County · 399,947 people
- City population
- 69,701
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 61,624
- Household income
- $68,443
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1250.0
Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 437,574 people
- By 2030
- 446,903 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 452,589 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 444,126 · +1.5%
- By 2075
- 430,300 · -1.7%
- By 2100
- 393,536 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 44% White 42% Two or more races 21% Black 4% Native American 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 40%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinal
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.32%
- Current HPI
- 233.148
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.60%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
+122.4% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $240,000 ARMLS
- 2026-01-09 Listed $225,000 ARMLS
- 2024-08-19 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2024-05-06 Listed $316,000 ARMLS
- 2022-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $299,900 Public Records
- 2022-11-18 Sold (MLS) $299,900 ARMLS
- 2022-10-14 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2022-10-04 Price Changed $299,900 ARMLS
- 2022-09-21 Price Changed $315,000 ARMLS
- 2022-09-13 Listed $324,900 ARMLS
- 2019-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $174,900 Public Records
- 2019-08-02 Sold (MLS) $174,900 ARMLS
- 2019-06-16 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2019-06-05 Listed $174,900 ARMLS
- 2017-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $130,100 Public Records
- 2017-07-14 Sold (MLS) $130,000 ARMLS
- 2017-07-08 Pending — ARMLS
- 2017-06-30 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2017-06-30 Listed $135,000 ARMLS
- 2008-06-23 Sold (MLS) $107,900 ARMLS
- 2008-05-09 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2008-04-29 Listed $107,900 ARMLS
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,316 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…