533 E 12 St #535 · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Land contract terms available. This is the closest residential duplex opportunity to downtown Flint without downtown pricing. Rare side-by-side brick duplex located just minutes from University of Michigan-Flint, Mott Community College, entertainment, and expressways. This side-by-side brick duplex offers a house-hack opportunity with two spacious 2-bedroom units, each featuring 940 sq. ft. , formal dining rooms, comfortable living areas, and private basements. Located in a growing area near downtown's ongoing revitalization, new restaurants, and expanding community development. Ideal for investors seeking both immediate rental potential and long term appreciation. Approved for Section 8 oc
Key facts
- Added tenant privacy
- Private basements
- 2,613 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Investment property (multi-family duplex); Two total units
Exterior
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water (at street); Public sanitary sewer; Separate electric, gas, water for units
- Home design: Multi-family property (duplex / apartment; 1 to 4 units); Colonial style; 2-story
- Construction: Built in 1944; Basement foundation
- Exterior features: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Deck; Fenced yard; Porch; Sidewalks; Street lights; Paved street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Range/oven; Refrigerator; Formal dining room
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on the second floor (Unit 1 and Unit 2); Unit 2 bedroom sizes: 14 x 11 and 11 x 10
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (total)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel
- Interior features: Security system; Basement (full, block)
- Laundry & utility: Separate heat and utilities by unit; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $85k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $543 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.3%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.40%
- DSCR
- 2.22
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $28,419
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 37.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.36×
- Total profit
- $103,824
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48503
- Home prices YoY
- -27.7%
- Rents YoY
- 12.3%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,431 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$301
- Net cashflow
- $543
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $85,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $85,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $85,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$85,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,176
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,374
- − Management
- −$1,374
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $5,494
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,319
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,202/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 19 photos
A fair condition, moderate rehab opportunity with potential for significant value increase through exterior updates and interior improvements.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate exterior siding — Weathered and discolored
- Minor interior paint — Some wear
- Minor landscaping — Overgrown vegetation
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both update flooring — Improves living spaces and rental appeal
- Both update kitchen cabinets — Modernizes kitchen and enhances rental appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Weathered and discolored | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| interior paint · Some wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown vegetation | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $4,000–21,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both update flooring — Improves living spaces and rental appeal ↑
- Both update kitchen cabinets — Modernizes kitchen and enhances rental appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,347
- Household income
- $44,411
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1293.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 36% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Arabic 4% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.84%
- Current HPI
- 130.1152
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.35%
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…