930 16th St. St NE · Mason City, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.9/30.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- ARV discount +5.9/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Family owned since 1975! Brand new breaker box just installed. New roof in 2016, large back yard with deck & patio area, along with a place for a garden. Partially finished basement includes built in bar plus an additional refrigerator, microwave & gas stove. Great for entertaining!
Key facts
- Cozy living room
- Patio deck
- Natural light
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Shared driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 50 x 132 (6,599 sq ft)
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Basement present; Carpet and laminate flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $263 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 5.2% in Mason City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#67 in IA, #1,477 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Mason City Community School District (town): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #271 of 289 in IA (top 94%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 54 units permitted in Cerro Gordo County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cerro Gordo County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $105k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.51%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $144,882
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- 3.46%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 905 12th St NE | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 1,576 (+3%) | 2mo | $142,000 | $90 | 73 |
| 1225 N Hampshire Pl Pl | 0.36mi | 3/1.8 (+1) | 1,511 (-2%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $106 | 73 |
| 1131 15th St NE | 0.24mi | 3/1.8 (+1) | 1,603 (+4%) | 4mo | $254,000 | $158 | 72 |
| 934 11th St NE | 0.43mi | 3/1.8 (+1) | 1,564 (+2%) | 0mo | $220,000 | $141 | 70 |
| 934 11th St NE | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,564 (+2%) | 0mo | $220,000 | $141 | 69 |
| 1426 N Rhode Island Is | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,409 (-8%) | 2mo | $153,000 | $109 | 68 |
| 5 Highland Park Ct Ct | 0.28mi | 2/1.8 | 1,388 (-10%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $112 | 64 |
| 1306 N Rhode Island Is | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,393 (-9%) | 5mo | $156,000 | $112 | 61 |
| 663 10th St NE | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 1,402 (-9%) | 8mo | $170,000 | $121 | 49 |
| 807 10th St NE | 0.54mi | 3/1.2 (+1) | 1,332 (-13%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $101 | 45 |
| 726 11th St NE | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,336 (-13%) | 6mo | $82,500 | $62 | 44 |
| 1015 10th St NE | 0.53mi | 3/1.2 (+1) | 1,314 (-14%) | 6mo | $144,000 | $110 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-7,551
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $14,988
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50401
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,600 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$153 /mo · $1,832/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $263
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 2nd St NE Unit 6 Mason City, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $149,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $153,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $153,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $153,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $153,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $153,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $153,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $153,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $153,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $153,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-28$158,000 Active 483-char remark
-
2021-10-15soldstatus $105,000
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
Family owned since 1975! Brand new breaker box just installed. New roof in 2016, large back yard with deck & patio area, along with a place for a garden. Partially finished basement includes built in bar plus an additional refrigerator, microwave & gas stove. Great for entertaining!
-
2021-10-11soldstatus $105,000
-
2021-08-06$111,900
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
Family owned since 1975! Brand new breaker box just installed. New roof in 2016, large back yard with deck & patio area, along with a place for a garden. Partially finished basement includes built in bar plus an additional refrigerator, microwave & gas stove. Great for entertaining!
-
2021-04-27$114,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,832 · $153/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,093 · $174/mo
- Expected delta
- +$261/yr (+$22/mo · 14.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,832
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,536
- − Management
- −$1,536
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $789
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$189
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,964/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mason City Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1918780
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,668
- Composite
- 45.47/100
- National rank
- #2614
- State rank
- #271 of 289 in IA
Livability — Mason City
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #67
- US rank
- #1477
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mason City, IA
- City population
- 28,818
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,818
Population outlook (Cerro Gordo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,080 people
- By 2030
- 39,746 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 36,608 · -10.9%
- By 2050
- 33,682 · -18.0%
- By 2075
- 29,702 · -27.7%
- By 2100
- 27,399 · -33.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 12% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cerro Gordo
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.7) · D 43.4% · R 55.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.5pp toward R · 2008: 20.8pp · 2024: -11.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.7 2020: R+6.3 2016: R+7.7 2012: D+13.2 2008: D+20.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -130.01%
- Current HPI
- 199.1966
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+30.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Price Changed $149,900 IAR
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $153,000 IAR
- 2026-04-28 Listed $158,000 IAR
- 2021-10-15 Sold (MLS) $105,000 Greater Mason BOR
- 2021-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2021-08-06 Listed $111,900 Greater Mason BOR
- 2021-04-27 Listed $114,900 Greater Mason BOR
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,832 · +26.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…