1517 W 9th St #1 · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.8/30.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Renovation has been done: house totally insulated, tree removal, flooring, roof and painting less than 1 year. Investors this one will be worth your while.
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1916
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Sidewalks; Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Detached parking; Off-street parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces south; Other detached structures present
- Construction: Wood siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Irregular lot; City street frontage; Asphalt road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Has cooling (type: other)
- Interior features: Breakfast nook; Eat-in kitchen; Primary bathroom with tub and shower
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $112 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($31k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.35%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $89,232
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1526 W 14th St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 916 (+7%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $104 | 75 |
| 1753 W 12th St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 827 (-4%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $54 | 74 |
| 1593 W 11th St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 920 (+7%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $136 | 71 |
| 1480 N Myrtle Ave N | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 916 (+7%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $66 | 61 |
| 2715 Myrtle Ave N | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (+5%) | 3mo | $98,000 | $109 | 61 |
| 1751 W 20th St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 880 (+3%) | 2mo | $27,500 | $31 | 60 |
| 1339 Hart St | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 818 (-5%) | 4mo | $199,017 | $243 | 58 |
| 1536 W 3rd St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 776 (-10%) | 1mo | $107,000 | $138 | 54 |
| 1550 W 2nd St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 972 (+13%) | 2mo | $123,500 | $127 | 46 |
| 1279 W 20th St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 962 (+12%) | 2mo | $87,500 | $91 | 44 |
| 1901 Pullman Ct | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 969 (+13%) | 0mo | $98,000 | $101 | 44 |
| 1149 W 20th St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-10%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $78 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-12,000
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-6,452
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32209
- Home prices YoY
- -22.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 394
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,104 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$232
- Net cashflow
- $112
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $188 | -5% $150 | +0% $112 | +5% $74 | +10% $36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $25 | -5% $68 | +0% $112 | +5% $155 | +10% $199 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $167 | -0.5pp $140 | base $112 | +0.5pp $83 | +1.0pp $54 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1538 Ella St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 1537 W 7th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 8d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1537 7th St W Unit B Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1570 Mc Conihe St Unit B Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $875 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1666 Myrtle Ave N Unit 1666 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $925 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1478 W 5th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,225 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1478 W 5th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,225 | $1.28 | 5d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1460 W 5th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $875 | $1.30 | 12d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1460 W 5th St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 12d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1525 W 15th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,245 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1923 Fairfax St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $835 | $1.36 | 15d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1640 W 4th St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1119 | $1,675 | $1.50 | 20d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1437 Prince St Unit 1437 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,120 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2306 Fairfax St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $700 | $0.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2306 Fairfax St Unit 3 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $650 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2310 Fairfax St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $600 | $0.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1235 W 5th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $895 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2312 Fairfax St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $650 | $0.90 | 17d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1824 W 14th St Unit 3 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 674 | $775 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1845 W 13th St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1788 W 5th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 948 | $1,295 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1776 Spires Ave Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,125 | $1.41 | 5d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1376 Prince St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 8d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2811 N Myrtle Ave #1 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 855 | $1,121 | $1.31 | 5d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1358 Prince St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1044 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1358 Prince St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1044 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1046 W 8th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1783 W 3rd St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $650 | $0.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1934 Ella St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1045 | $1,095 | $1.05 | 20d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1359 W 20th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 901 | $1,134 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1710 W 2nd St Unit A Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 939 | $800 | $0.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1024 8th St W Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $950 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1230 W 3rd St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 24d | 3 | 0.60mi |
| 1823 Francis St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 803 | $975 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2324 Moncrief Rd Unit 2324 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2532 Moncrief Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1593 W 21st St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $922 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2210 Pullman Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,050 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1044 Reiman St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $895 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2904 Moncrief Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-27$110,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,244
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,060
- − Management
- −$1,060
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable loss
- −$437
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$105
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,445/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This single-family home has been recently renovated with insulation, flooring, roof, and painting, making it move-in ready with good curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,657
- Household income
- $30,514
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2921.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.92%
- Current HPI
- 189.5977
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Listed $110,000 realMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…