5605 Anthony Ave · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$193,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This ranch-style home in the desirable Gardenville neighborhood offers a blend of comfort and functionality. With 1,580 square feet of fully finished living space, this residence features three bedrooms and a full bathroom, ideal for both relaxation and daily routines. Step inside to discover spacious rooms with double-pane windows. filling the home with natural light and creating a bright atmosphere. The fully finished basement provides additional living space, perfect for a cozy family room, home office, or play area. Outside, the property features a front yard and a rear yard that backs to serene trees, offering a peaceful retreat for outdoor activities or quiet moments. The patio area i
Key facts
- Rear yard
- Patio area
- Front yard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking via driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached property; Shingle roof; Above-grade and below-grade living areas
- Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Concrete perimeter foundation; Double-pane windows; Estimated year built
- Exterior features: Sidewalks; Street lights; Front yard; Rear yard; Backs to trees; Patio(s)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on main level; 1 full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central A/C with ceiling fans and wall unit options; Hot water heated by natural gas
- Interior features: Dining area; Dry wall walls and ceilings
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $194k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $194k).
- Recommended offer: $188k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 173 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $194k implies a 272% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.29%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $251,669
- List price
- $193,500
- Delta
- -23.11%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4401 Anntana Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,500 (-5%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $117 | 79 |
| 4503 Lasalle Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,482 (-6%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $128 | 74 |
| 3827 Echodale Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,547 (-2%) | 4mo | $332,500 | $215 | 62 |
| 4804 Anntana Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.5 | 1,765 (+12%) | 0mo | $290,000 | $164 | 58 |
| 4212 Mary Ave | 0.41mi | 3/3.0 | 1,430 (-10%) | 3mo | $286,999 | $201 | 57 |
| 4806 Hazelwood Ave | 0.63mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,658 (+5%) | 1mo | $222,000 | $134 | 57 |
| 5316 Plainfield Ave | 0.30mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,424 (-10%) | 4mo | $238,500 | $167 | 55 |
| 5402 Todd Ave | 0.56mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,718 (+9%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $137 | 52 |
| 5211 Eugene Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 | 1,760 (+11%) | 4mo | $346,800 | $197 | 46 |
| 3812 Echodale Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,764 (+12%) | 4mo | $340,000 | $193 | 45 |
| 4309 Valley View Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 | 1,792 (+13%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $153 | 40 |
| 5414 Radecke Ave | 0.63mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,746 (+10%) | 3mo | $325,000 | $186 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-10,188
- Equity at exit
- $28,851
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $27,428
- Equity at exit
- $16,730
Cash invested: $54,180 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21206
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,081 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,015
- Tax from tax record
- −$264 /mo · $3,174/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$437
- Net cashflow
- $284
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $393 | -5% $339 | +0% $284 | +5% $229 | +10% $174 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $120 | -5% $202 | +0% $284 | +5% $366 | +10% $448 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $381 | -0.5pp $333 | base $284 | +0.5pp $234 | +1.0pp $183 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,375
- Closing costs
- $5,805
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4308 Hamilton Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $1,416 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 5632 Belair Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $2,100 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 4924 Frankford Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $2,600 | $2.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 4111 Century Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1432 | $2,500 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5307 Valiquet Ave Unit A Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1672 | $1,375 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4023 Belwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,995 | $1.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 4104 Parkwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1224 | $2,800 | $2.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3721 Frankford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,050 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5313 Todd Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1280 | $1,800 | $1.41 | 17d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4517 Woodlea Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $1,900 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3802 Biddison Ln Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1443 | $2,024 | $1.40 | 12d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4718 Blue Ridge Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1744 | $2,400 | $1.38 | 12d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5253 Cedgate Rd Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $2,200 | $1.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5248 Darien Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1584 | $2,100 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3510 Hamilton Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $2,300 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3514 Ailsa Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,200 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4905 Greencrest Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1536 | $1,950 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5938 Clayton Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $2,872 | $2.22 | 17d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3309 Southern Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5611 Force Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $1,850 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 8133 Bartholomew Ct Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,700 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4400 Asbury Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,995 | $1.57 | 5d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 4320 Sheldon Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1280 | $1,800 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 6410 Walther Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1195 | $1,995 | $1.67 | 44d | 7 | 1.29mi |
| 4024 Eierman Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $1,825 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4244 Shamrock Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1920 | $1,850 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1732 Chesaco Ave Rosedale, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $2,295 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5731 Denwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1440 | $1,700 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 5731 Denwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 22d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3412 Fleetwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1620 | $2,195 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2900 Ailsa Ave Apt 2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,750 | $1.35 | 5d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2911 Shirey Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $2,500 | $1.49 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $193,500 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $193,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $193,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $193,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $193,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $193,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $193,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $193,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $193,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $193,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $193,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $193,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $193,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-29$193,500 Active 881-char remark
-
1982-08-23soldstatus $52,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,174 · $264/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,174 · $264/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,969
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,839
- − Property taxes
- −$3,174
- − Insurance
- −$968
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,998
- − Management
- −$1,998
- − Depreciation
- −$5,629
- Taxable income
- $365
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$88
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,320/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,902
- Household income
- $64,531
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2317.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 20% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Ukrainian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -191.83%
- Current HPI
- 284.5645
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.43%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+272.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Listed $193,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 1982-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,174 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…