8604 Cameo Dr · Jasmine Estates, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$205,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INCOME PRODUCING PROPERTY!!! These 3 beds 2 bath house has NO HOA and is situated on almost 1/4 acre. Monthly rental income 1500 with a month-to-month lease incase buyer wants to occupy the house or raise the rent.
Key facts
- 9,000 sq ft lot
- Built 2000
- Listed 100 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential; Property sub-type: Manufactured Home; Lot size about 0.21 acres (corner lot); Lot dimensions approximately 180 x 50 x 178 x 38; Living area about 1296 square feet
- Financial info:
- HOA & community: No association indicated
Exterior
- Parking:
- Security:
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Cable available; Electricity available
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story; Faces north
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Built on pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Corner lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Other heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (3.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $187k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.7% in Jasmine Estates — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#555 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Cypress Elementary School (math 43% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,366 of 2,144 statewide, top 64%, 642 students, 68% FRL); River Ridge Middle School (math 53% / reading 49%, grade C, #237 of 571 statewide, top 43%, 1,107 students, 48% FRL); River Ridge High School (math 50% / reading 54%, grade D+, #160 of 667 statewide, top 25%, 1,802 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 360 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $205k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.73%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $147,744
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9036 Sunshine Blvd | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (0%) | 18mo | $148,000 | $114 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-26,476
- Equity at exit
- $30,566
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-29,269
- Equity at exit
- $17,725
Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34654
- Home prices YoY
- -12.7%
- Rents YoY
- -1.9%
- Active inventory
- 360
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,971 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $895/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$414
- Net cashflow
- $197
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $313 | -5% $255 | +0% $197 | +5% $139 | +10% $81 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $41 | -5% $119 | +0% $197 | +5% $274 | +10% $352 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $300 | -0.5pp $249 | base $197 | +0.5pp $144 | +1.0pp $89 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,250
- Closing costs
- $6,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9300 Whitman Ln Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,695 | $1.84 | 26d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 9310 Whitman Ln Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,350 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 8247 Saybrook Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,550 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 8026 Colrain Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,545 | $1.43 | 26d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 7741 Forest Trl #3 Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $1,500 | $1.49 | 26d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 7542 Red Mill Cir New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1662 | $2,100 | $1.26 | 26d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 8151 Hixton Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,699 | $1.57 | 18d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 8427 Blue Rock Dr New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1513 | $2,250 | $1.49 | 4d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 8910 Elm Leaf Ct Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,650 | $1.32 | 6d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 7544 Red Mill Cir New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1513 | $2,200 | $1.45 | 19d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 8437 Luray Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1038 | $1,595 | $1.54 | 5d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 9100 Hunt Club Ln Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1365 | $1,850 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 7829 Glencoe Dr New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1658 | $2,295 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 9105 Hermitage Ln Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1442 | $1,900 | $1.32 | 26d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 9912 Golden Loop New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1615 | $3,000 | $1.86 | 6d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 7911 Foxwood Dr New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1529 | $1,749 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 8228 Chasco Woods Blvd Port Richey, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 966 | $1,760 | $1.82 | 0d | 22 | 1.32mi |
| 8102 Chickasaw Ln Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1688 | $1,969 | $1.17 | 6d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 7810 Cayuga Dr New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1838 | $1,973 | $1.07 | 6d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 7605 Embassy Blvd Unit 1 Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $2,350 | $1.60 | 26d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 7605 Embassy Blvd Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $2,350 | $1.84 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 9202 Suffolk Ln Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1038 | $1,450 | $1.40 | 26d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 9202 Suffolk Ln Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1038 | $1,450 | $1.40 | 16d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 9141 Suffolk Ln Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $1,775 | $1.17 | 0d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 7435 San Miguel Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $1,500 | $1.32 | 22d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 9130 Chatam Ln Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,623 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 7501 San Moritz Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $1,600 | $1.13 | 26d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $205,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $205,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $205,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $205,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $205,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $210,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $210,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $210,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $210,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $210,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-03-10$210,000 Active 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
INCOME PRODUCING PROPERTY!!! These 3 beds 2 bath house has NO HOA and is situated on almost 1/4 acre. Monthly rental income 1500 with a month-to-month lease incase buyer wants to occupy the house or raise the rent.
-
2026-03-10$210,000 Active
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
INCOME PRODUCING PROPERTY!!! These 3 beds 2 bath house has NO HOA and is situated on almost 1/4 acre. Monthly rental income 1500 with a month-to-month lease incase buyer wants to occupy the house or raise the rent.
-
2021-06-09soldstatus $95,000
-
2021-05-21soldstatus $95,000 Closed 474-char remark
Show marketing remark (474 chars)
Purchase to Live In or Investor Alert!! Turnkey Rental Property for Sale. Mobile (3/2) rented @ $950 month plus adjoining waterfront lots 15 & 1/2 lot 14 on LAKE WORRELL Included With Sale. CASH OFFERS Only per Seller. Roof replaced within 5 years, 2nd Bath recently remodeled. Longer term tenants now on MTM - Great OPPORTUNITY to sign existing tenant to yearly lease at current rate or make adjustments to higher rent. Pictures are current and mobile in good shape.
-
2021-05-06status Pending 474-char remark
Show marketing remark (474 chars)
Purchase to Live In or Investor Alert!! Turnkey Rental Property for Sale. Mobile (3/2) rented @ $950 month plus adjoining waterfront lots 15 & 1/2 lot 14 on LAKE WORRELL Included With Sale. CASH OFFERS Only per Seller. Roof replaced within 5 years, 2nd Bath recently remodeled. Longer term tenants now on MTM - Great OPPORTUNITY to sign existing tenant to yearly lease at current rate or make adjustments to higher rent. Pictures are current and mobile in good shape.
-
2021-04-19$110,000 Active 474-char remark
Show marketing remark (474 chars)
Purchase to Live In or Investor Alert!! Turnkey Rental Property for Sale. Mobile (3/2) rented @ $950 month plus adjoining waterfront lots 15 & 1/2 lot 14 on LAKE WORRELL Included With Sale. CASH OFFERS Only per Seller. Roof replaced within 5 years, 2nd Bath recently remodeled. Longer term tenants now on MTM - Great OPPORTUNITY to sign existing tenant to yearly lease at current rate or make adjustments to higher rent. Pictures are current and mobile in good shape.
-
2021-04-19historical
Show marketing remark (474 chars)
Purchase to Live In or Investor Alert!! Turnkey Rental Property for Sale. Mobile (3/2) rented @ $950 month plus adjoining waterfront lots 15 & 1/2 lot 14 on LAKE WORRELL Included With Sale. CASH OFFERS Only per Seller. Roof replaced within 5 years, 2nd Bath recently remodeled. Longer term tenants now on MTM - Great OPPORTUNITY to sign existing tenant to yearly lease at current rate or make adjustments to higher rent. Pictures are current and mobile in good shape.
-
2021-04-16$110,000 Active
-
2018-07-26historical
-
2018-01-26price $87,000
-
2017-12-08$89,000 Active
-
2008-04-03$59,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $895 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,702 · $142/mo
- Expected delta
- +$807/yr (+$67/mo · 90.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone A · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,648
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,483
- − Property taxes
- −$895
- − Insurance
- −$2,528
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,892
- − Management
- −$1,892
- − Depreciation
- −$5,964
- Taxable loss
- −$1,004
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$241
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,601/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jasmine Estates
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #555
- US rank
- #10561
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,355
- Household income
- $73,947
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 179.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.63%
- Current HPI
- 294.4358
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.85%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+250.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-10 Listed $210,000 HCAR
- 2026-03-10 Listed $210,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2021-05-21 Sold (MLS) $95,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-06 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-19 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-19 Listed $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-16 Listed $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-26 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-01-26 Price Changed $87,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-12-08 Listed $89,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-04-03 Listed $59,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $895 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…