2615 Swarts St · Chester, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.3/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- ARV discount +5.6/15.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 2615 Swarts St — a beautifully maintained home that blends comfort, space, and opportunity. This property offers the perfect setup for both homeowners and savvy buyers looking to build equity. Step inside to find a bright and inviting layout with spacious living areas, ideal for relaxing or entertaining. The home features generously sized bedrooms, a functional kitchen ready for your personal touch, and a layout designed for everyday living. Enjoy the added bonus of a private outdoor space—perfect for summer gatherings, or simply unwinding after a long day. Located in the heart of Chester, you’ll have convenient access to major highways, public transportation, s
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Convenient access
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $263 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#540 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Chester-Upland SD (suburban): math 4% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #533 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 299 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.9% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $13k; list at $130k implies a 900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.67%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $124,630
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1305 Highland Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,210 (0%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $103 | 90 |
| 2624 Mccarey St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,210 (0%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $62 | 89 |
| 2603 Swarts St | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 | 1,196 (-1%) | 11mo | $140,000 | $117 | 88 |
| 1405 Highland Ave | 0.15mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,210 (0%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $50 | 84 |
| 2719 Bethel Rd | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,210 (0%) | 9mo | $71,500 | $59 | 80 |
| 2611 W 6th St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,172 (-3%) | 1mo | $72,000 | $61 | 72 |
| 2610 W 7th St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,280 (+6%) | 2mo | $81,000 | $63 | 71 |
| 3011 W 7th St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,088 (-10%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $110 | 59 |
| 708 Ward St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,353 (+12%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $126 | 58 |
| 2314 W 3rd St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (+3%) | 1mo | $159,000 | $127 | 57 |
| 715 Engle St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,268 (+5%) | 10mo | $130,000 | $103 | 57 |
| 2012 W 6th St | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,260 (+4%) | 10mo | $101,000 | $80 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,593
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $49,243
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19013
- Rents YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,455 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,810/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $263
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $336 | -5% $300 | +0% $263 | +5% $226 | +10% $189 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $148 | -5% $205 | +0% $263 | +5% $320 | +10% $378 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $328 | -0.5pp $296 | base $263 | +0.5pp $229 | +1.0pp $195 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1127 Ward St Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 9d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1425 Highland Ave Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $7,998 | $6.60 | 0d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 3312 W 13th St Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,499 | $1.60 | 23d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1107-1115 Keystone Rd Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2832 W 6th St Unit 306 Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1428 | $1,500 | $1.05 | 5d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 908 Keystone Rd Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 906 Keystone Rd Unit 1 Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 906 Keystone Rd Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1006 Keystone Rd Unit 1 Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 0d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1006 Keystone Rd Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 425 Highland Ave Apt A Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 990 | $1,000 | $1.01 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1315 Harshaw Rd Brookhaven, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1260 | $2,395 | $1.90 | 0d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1224 Elson Rd Brookhaven, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 18d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 925 W 3rd St Chester, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 19d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 280 Bridgewater Rd Brookhaven, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 775 | $1,800 | $2.32 | 25d | 2 | 1.49mi |
| 280 Bridgewater Rd Brookhaven, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 775 | $1,695 | $2.19 | 0d | 2 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-04-22status Pending
-
2026-04-14$130,000 Active
-
2026-04-08historical
-
2026-03-10price $150,000
-
2026-01-27price $160,000
-
2026-01-14price $170,000
-
2026-01-14price $165,000
-
2025-12-28price $169,999
-
2025-12-08$170,000 Active
-
2025-12-07historical
-
2025-09-05historical
-
2025-06-18$120,000 Active
-
1996-12-23soldstatus $13,000
-
1991-05-06soldstatus $13,000
-
1990-11-23soldstatus $13,009
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,810 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,932 · $161/mo
- Expected delta
- +$122/yr (+$10/mo · 6.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,462
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,810
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,397
- − Management
- −$1,397
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $1,144
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$275
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,880/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chester-Upland SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205860
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,790
- Composite
- 8.05/100
- National rank
- #9918
- State rank
- #533 of 539 in PA
Livability — Chester
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #540
- US rank
- #5053
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chester, PA
- County
- Delaware County · 399,863 people
- City population
- 35,064
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,064
- Household income
- $41,261
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2668.0
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 577,490 people
- By 2030
- 581,243 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 584,700 · +1.2%
- By 2050
- 586,581 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 598,706 · +3.7%
- By 2100
- 590,823 · +2.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 14% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.7) · D 61.4% · R 37.6% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.3pp toward D · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 23.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.7 2020: D+26.7 2016: D+22.0 2012: D+21.8 2008: D+21.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -149.69%
- Current HPI
- 219.5173
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.88%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+899.3% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-14 Listed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-08 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $170,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-28 Price Changed $169,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-08 Listed $170,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-07 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-05 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-18 Listed $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1996-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
- 1991-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
- 1990-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $13,009 Public Records
Property tax history
+24.2%/yrLatest (2026): $1,810 · +143.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…