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2615 Swarts St
C Composite 55.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.6/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

2615 Swarts St · Chester, PA 19013
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,210 sqft · Townhouse public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1943 1,742 sqft lot Est $125k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 2615 Swarts St — a beautifully maintained home that blends comfort, space, and opportunity. This property offers the perfect setup for both homeowners and savvy buyers looking to build equity. Step inside to find a bright and inviting layout with spacious living areas, ideal for relaxing or entertaining. The home features generously sized bedrooms, a functional kitchen ready for your personal touch, and a layout designed for everyday living. Enjoy the added bonus of a private outdoor space—perfect for summer gatherings, or simply unwinding after a long day. Located in the heart of Chester, you’ll have convenient access to major highways, public transportation, s

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Convenient access
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

PRIVATE OUTDOOR SPACEFUNCTIONAL KITCHENCONVENIENT ACCESS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $263 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#540 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Chester-Upland SD (suburban): math 4% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #533 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 299 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.9% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $13k; list at $130k implies a 900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.72%
Cash-on-cash
8.67%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$124,630
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1305 Highland Ave 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,210 (0%) 4mo $125,000 $103 90
2624 Mccarey St 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,210 (0%) 6mo $75,000 $62 89
2603 Swarts St 0.03mi 3/1.0 1,196 (-1%) 11mo $140,000 $117 88
1405 Highland Ave 0.15mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,210 (0%) 4mo $60,000 $50 84
2719 Bethel Rd 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,210 (0%) 9mo $71,500 $59 80
2611 W 6th St 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,172 (-3%) 1mo $72,000 $61 72
2610 W 7th St 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,280 (+6%) 2mo $81,000 $63 71
3011 W 7th St 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,088 (-10%) 3mo $120,000 $110 59
708 Ward St 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,353 (+12%) 2mo $170,000 $126 58
2314 W 3rd St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,250 (+3%) 1mo $159,000 $127 57
715 Engle St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,268 (+5%) 10mo $130,000 $103 57
2012 W 6th St 0.63mi 3/1.5 1,260 (+4%) 10mo $101,000 $80 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.1%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,593
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
14.3%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$49,243
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19013

Rents YoY
6.9%
Active inventory
140
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,455 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$151 /mo · $1,810/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$306
Net cashflow
$263

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,122
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $336 -5% $300 +0% $263 +5% $226 +10% $189
Rent -10% $148 -5% $205 +0% $263 +5% $320 +10% $378
Rate -1.0pp $328 -0.5pp $296 base $263 +0.5pp $229 +1.0pp $195

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1127 Ward St Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 9d 1 0.11mi
1425 Highland Ave Chester, PA 3.0 1.0 1212 $7,998 $6.60 0d 1 0.17mi
3312 W 13th St Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 936 $1,499 $1.60 23d 1 0.39mi
1107-1115 Keystone Rd Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,250 $1.79 45d 1 0.49mi
2832 W 6th St Unit 306 Chester, PA 3.0 1.0 1428 $1,500 $1.05 5d 1 0.50mi
908 Keystone Rd Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 45d 1 0.52mi
906 Keystone Rd Unit 1 Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 25d 1 0.52mi
906 Keystone Rd Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 23d 1 0.52mi
1006 Keystone Rd Unit 1 Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 0d 1 0.53mi
1006 Keystone Rd Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 25d 1 0.53mi
425 Highland Ave Apt A Chester, PA 2.0 1.5 990 $1,000 $1.01 21d 1 0.59mi
1315 Harshaw Rd Brookhaven, PA 3.0 2.5 1260 $2,395 $1.90 0d 1 1.01mi
1224 Elson Rd Brookhaven, PA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,900 $1.58 18d 1 1.08mi
925 W 3rd St Chester, PA 4.0 1.0 1500 $1,700 $1.13 19d 1 1.33mi
280 Bridgewater Rd Brookhaven, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 775 $1,800 $2.32 25d 2 1.49mi
280 Bridgewater Rd Brookhaven, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 775 $1,695 $2.19 0d 2 1.49mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-04-22
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-14
    listed $130,000 Active
  3. 2026-04-08
    historical
  4. 2026-03-10
    price $150,000
  5. 2026-01-27
    price $160,000
  6. 2026-01-14
    price $170,000
  7. 2026-01-14
    price $165,000
  8. 2025-12-28
    price $169,999
  9. 2025-12-08
    listed $170,000 Active
  10. 2025-12-07
    historical
  11. 2025-09-05
    historical
  12. 2025-06-18
    listed $120,000 Active
  13. 1996-12-23
    soldstatus $13,000
  14. 1991-05-06
    soldstatus $13,000
  15. 1990-11-23
    soldstatus $13,009

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,810 · $151/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,932 · $161/mo
Expected delta
+$122/yr (+$10/mo · 6.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,462
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$1,810
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,397
− Management
−$1,397
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$1,144
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$275
After-tax cash flow
$2,880/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chester-Upland SD
NCES district ID
4205860
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$29,790
Composite
8.05/100
National rank
#9918
State rank
#533 of 539 in PA

Livability — Chester

Score
73/100
State rank
#540
US rank
#5053

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chester, PA
County
Delaware County · 399,863 people
City population
35,064
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
35,064
Household income
$41,261
Rent vs Own
61.0% rent · 39.0% own
Severe rent burden
2668.0

Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
577,490 people
By 2030
581,243 · +0.6%
By 2040
584,700 · +1.2%
By 2050
586,581 · +1.6%
By 2075
598,706 · +3.7%
By 2100
590,823 · +2.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 14% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Delaware

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.7) · D 61.4% · R 37.6% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+2.3pp toward D · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 23.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.7 2020: D+26.7 2016: D+22.0 2012: D+21.8 2008: D+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -149.69%
Current HPI
219.5173
Rent YoY
▲ 6.88%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+899.3% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $170,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-28 Price Changed $169,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-08 Listed $170,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-07 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-05 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-18 Listed $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1996-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
  • 1991-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
  • 1990-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $13,009 Public Records

Property tax history

+24.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,810 · +143.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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