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🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 44.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$29,900

1122 Caine St · Sebring, FL 33872
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 835 sqft · Manufactured · 180 Days on market
Built 1993 ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Seller says bring an offer on this affordable doublewide that is furnished and ready to move in. This home is one of the lowest priced doublewides located in this popular community near restaurants, shopping, hospitals and Sebring International Race Track. Just updated enclosed front lanai has all new windows per seller, makes for the perfect spot to enjoy your first morning cup of coffee. The home has a newer A/C unit and roof is approximately 7 years old per seller. The park is pet friendly. Secure next years winter getaway now!

Key facts

  • Near hospitals
  • Double wide
  • Near shopping

Tags

DOUBLE WIDEFURNISHEDNEAR RESTAURANTSNEAR SHOPPINGNEAR HOSPITALS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Land is leased ($900/month)
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Community clubhouse

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (2 spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Manufactured in park (mobile home); Double wide; One level
  • Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch; Front porch; Community pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Simulated wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); High-speed internet; Blinds; Furnished; 8 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $29,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$108,550) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $972 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 45.3% vs local median 4.3% in Sebring — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#618 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Highlands (other): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Sebring Middle School (math 52% / reading 40%, grade D+, #300 of 571 statewide, top 53%, 815 students, 64% FRL); Sebring High School (math 32% / reading 48%, grade F, #296 of 667 statewide, top 45%, 1,809 students, 56% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 700 active listings in the ZIP; 980 units permitted in Highlands County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $26,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.99%
Cap rate
45.32%
Cash-on-cash
139.39%
DSCR
7.20
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$108,550
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3622 Delaware Ave 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 816 (-2%) 1mo $120,000 $147 60
3447 Delaware Ave 0.69mi 2/2.0 720 (-14%) 5mo $85,000 $118 41
3502 Fairmount Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 924 (+11%) 19mo $120,000 $130 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.58×
Total profit
$55,113
Equity at exit
$4,458
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.32×
Total profit
$119,846
Equity at exit
$2,585

Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33872

Home prices YoY
-25.8%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
700
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,493 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax est. 1.5%
$37 /mo · $448/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$313
Net cashflow
$972

Break-even live

Break-even rent $262
Max offer price $29,900
Occupancy floor 30%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,475
Closing costs
$897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2025-12-11
    price $29,900
  2. 2025-11-26
    listed $39,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,910
− Mortgage interest
−$1,675
− Property taxes
−$448
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,433
− Management
−$1,433
− Depreciation
−$870
Taxable income
$11,902
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,856
After-tax cash flow
$8,813/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Highlands
NCES district ID
1200840
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,276
Composite
36.42/100
National rank
#4672
State rank
#54 of 73 in FL

Livability — Sebring

Score
66/100
State rank
#618
US rank
#11992

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Highlands County · 98,898 people
City population
50,797
Metro
Sebring-Avon Park, FL
Population (ZIP)
13,746
Household income
$69,578
Rent vs Own
10.6% rent · 89.4% own
Severe rent burden
222.0

Population outlook (Highlands County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,674 people
By 2030
99,615 · -0.1%
By 2040
99,342 · -0.3%
By 2050
98,242 · -1.4%
By 2075
93,291 · -6.4%
By 2100
79,894 · -19.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 5% Asian 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Russian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Highlands

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.8) · D 29.3% · R 70.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -40.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.8 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+32.0 2012: R+23.0 2008: R+18.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.20%
Current HPI
225.3761
Rent YoY
▲ 1.65%
Metro
Sebring-Avon Park, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-25.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-11 Price Changed $29,900 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-11-26 Listed $39,900 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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