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12905 Woodforest Blvd #406
C- Composite 54.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$57,000

12905 Woodforest Blvd #406 · Houston, TX 77015
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 764 sqft · Condo public records · 59 Days on market
Built 1982 $315/mo HOA · 30% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover a bright, move-in ready Houston condo with fresh paint, modern flooring, updated countertops, and new insulation, plus a winterized A/C for year-round comfort. Designed for low-maintenance living in a quiet, secure community, this home makes everyday life effortless. Enjoy easy access to shopping, dining, and entertainment, with Beltway?8, I-10, and 610 nearby for fast commutes downtown or to Pasadena in under 15 minutes. Relax in a welcoming, comfortable space where convenience meets style, all in a clean, safe neighborhood. Perfect for buyers seeking a hassle-free home with modern upgrades and a prime location in one of Houston’s most accessible areas.

Key facts

  • Modern flooring
  • Updated countertops
  • Secure community

Tags

MODERN FLOORINGUPDATED COUNTERTOPSLOW-MAINTENANCE LIVINGSECURE COMMUNITYEASY ACCESS TO SHOPPINGCLEAN SAFE NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Association fee amount reported monthly
  • HOA & community: Prestige Management HOA; Monthly HOA fee; HOA covers common areas, water, sewer and trash

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; Additional parking
  • Security: Guarded community
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Single-story
  • Construction: Built in 1982; Brick and cement siding exterior; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Large lot (lot area reported); Community pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Microwave; Dishwasher; Breakfast bar; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (13 x 14)
  • Flooring: Plank flooring; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Pantry; Tub with shower; Ceiling fan(s); Kitchen/dining combo; One fireplace; Total of 4 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry in utility room; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $57k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $64 ($765/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $57k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Galena Park ISD (suburban): math 32% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #578 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Normandy Crossing El (math 30% / reading 28%, grade F, #2,668 of 4,322 statewide, top 63%, 660 students, 90% FRL); Cunningham Middle (math 29% / reading 35%, grade F, #971 of 1,662 statewide, top 60%, 928 students, 89% FRL); North Shore Senior High (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #888 of 1,632 statewide, top 55%, 4,569 students, 86% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $394 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $55,290 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.82%
Cap rate
7.64%
Cash-on-cash
4.79%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.7%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-7,973
Equity at exit
$8,499
10-year hold
IRR
-19.9%
Equity multiple
0.22×
Total profit
$-12,476
Equity at exit
$4,928

Cash invested: $15,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77015

Home prices YoY
-10.8%
Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
162
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,035 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$299
Tax from tax record
$116 /mo · $1,397/yr
Insurance
$24
HOA
$315
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$217
Net cashflow
$64

Break-even live

Break-even rent $955
Max offer price $57,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,250
Closing costs
$1,710
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12905 Woodforest Blvd Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 886 $1,098 $1.24 20d 2 0.03mi
12955 Woodforest Blvd Unit 305 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 728 $975 $1.34 24d 1 0.07mi
12800 Woodforest Blvd Unit 12857 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 850 $1,126 $1.32 2d 1 0.08mi
456 Normandy St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 734 $1,099 $1.50 43d 1 0.35mi
13161 Woodforest Blvd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 965 $1,058 $1.10 43d 1 0.36mi
536 Normandy St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 860 $1,144 $1.33 43d 1 0.44mi
555 Normandy St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 745 $818 $1.10 1d 23 0.50mi
561 Normandy St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $1,200 $1.28 21d 1 0.51mi
561 Normandy St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 680 $999 $1.47 24d 1 0.51mi
561 Normandy St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $1,200 $1.28 43d 1 0.51mi
695 Normandy St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 788 $899 $1.14 12d 30 0.58mi
250 Uvalde Rd Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 909 $739 $0.81 2d 26 0.71mi
13025 Joliet St Unit A Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 842 $925 $1.10 24d 1 0.72mi
316 White Cedar St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 712 $1,035 $1.45 21d 1 0.80mi
316 White Cedar St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1028 $1,306 $1.27 24d 1 0.80mi
316 White Cedar St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 712 $1,035 $1.45 19d 1 0.80mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Unit 2047 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $1,425 $1.52 10d 1 0.81mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Unit 1162 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 670 $1,080 $1.61 5d 1 0.81mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Unit 2148 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $1,382 $1.47 2d 1 0.81mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Unit 2162 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $1,390 $1.48 5d 1 0.81mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 670 $1,069 $1.60 12d 1 0.81mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Unit 325 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 670 $1,077 $1.61 2d 1 0.81mi
14346 Wallisville Rd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 936 $1,360 $1.45 43d 1 0.81mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Unit 14361 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 670 $1,077 $1.61 2d 1 0.82mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Unit 14397 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 936 $1,410 $1.51 43d 1 0.82mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Unit 14391 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 669 $1,090 $1.63 43d 1 0.82mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Unit 425 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $1,382 $1.47 2d 1 0.82mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Unit 14361 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 669 $1,095 $1.64 12d 1 0.82mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Unit 14377 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $1,414 $1.50 10d 1 0.82mi
353 Audrey Ln Unit 365 1/2 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $1,375 $1.72 43d 1 0.86mi
14445 Wallisville Rd Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 659 $976 $1.48 1d 10 0.93mi
5675 Purple Sage Rd Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 782 $1,039 $1.33 3d 18 0.93mi
799 Normandy St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 843 $929 $1.10 1d 13 0.94mi
13502 N Thorntree Dr Unit 13523 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 635 $869 $1.37 12d 1 0.97mi
13502 N Thorntree Dr Unit 13553 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 635 $864 $1.36 43d 1 0.97mi
13502 N Thorntree Dr Unit 424 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 766 $939 $1.23 5d 1 0.97mi
13502 N Thorntree Dr Unit 425 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 766 $963 $1.26 10d 1 0.97mi
13502 N Thorntree Dr Unit 13523 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 583 $781 $1.34 2d 1 0.97mi
12516 Orleans St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 995 $1,275 $1.28 24d 1 0.97mi
13502 N Thorntree Dr Unit 1047 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 583 $824 $1.41 10d 1 0.97mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$315 · $3,780/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  3. 2026-03-09
    listed $57,000 Active
  4. 2025-07-15
    historical
  5. 2025-04-16
    listed $78,900 Active
  6. 2024-06-14
    historical
  7. 2024-03-10
    listed $79,990 Active
  8. 2023-11-02
    historical
  9. 2023-09-05
    status Active
  10. 2023-09-05
    historical
  11. 2023-08-01
    price $87,000
  12. 2023-07-13
    listed $88,000 Active
  13. 2023-07-12
    historical
  14. 2022-07-01
    soldstatus
  15. 2022-06-30
    soldstatus Sold
  16. 2022-06-15
    status Pending
  17. 2022-06-10
    status Option Pending
  18. 2022-05-26
    listed $68,500 Active
  19. 2019-04-30
    soldstatus
  20. 2019-04-29
    soldstatus Sold
  21. 2019-04-21
    status Pending
  22. 2019-04-12
    status Option Pending
  23. 2019-03-29
    listed $48,000 Active
  24. 2014-10-09
    soldstatus
  25. 2014-10-08
    soldstatus Sold
  26. 2014-09-30
    status Pending
  27. 2014-09-22
    listed $23,000 Active
  28. 2014-01-13
    historical
  29. 2013-07-17
    listed $23,500 Active
  30. 2007-02-16
    soldstatus
  31. 2004-11-01
    soldstatus
  32. 2004-02-24
    soldstatus
  33. 2001-02-22
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,397 · $116/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,397 · $116/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,423
− Mortgage interest
−$3,193
− Property taxes
−$1,397
− Insurance
−$285
− Repairs & maintenance
−$994
− Management
−$994
− HOA
−$3,780
− Depreciation
−$1,658
Taxable income
$122
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$29
After-tax cash flow
$736/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Galena Park ISD
NCES district ID
4820250
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$43,158
Composite
27.62/100
National rank
#6927
State rank
#578 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
58,415
Household income
$57,753
Rent vs Own
46.8% rent · 53.2% own
Severe rent burden
1816.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 77% Two or more races 54% Black 14% White 6% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 60% Cuban 2%
Foreign-born
33% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
31% English-only · Spanish 68% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -36.47%
Current HPI
300.1821
Rent YoY
▼ -0.83%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+142.6% since first listed
33 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $57,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-07-15 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-04-16 Listed $78,900 HARMLS
  • 2024-06-14 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2024-03-10 Listed $79,990 HARMLS
  • 2023-11-02 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2023-09-05 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2023-09-05 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2023-08-01 Price Changed $87,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-07-13 Listed $88,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-07-12 Coming Soon HARMLS
  • 2022-07-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-06-30 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2022-06-15 Pending HARMLS
  • 2022-06-10 Pending HARMLS
  • 2022-05-26 Listed $68,500 HARMLS
  • 2019-04-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-04-29 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2019-04-21 Pending HARMLS
  • 2019-04-12 Pending HARMLS
  • 2019-03-29 Listed $48,000 HARMLS
  • 2014-10-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2014-10-08 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2014-09-30 Pending HARMLS
  • 2014-09-22 Listed $23,000 HARMLS
  • 2014-01-13 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2013-07-17 Listed $23,500 HARMLS
  • 2007-02-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-11-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-02-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2001-02-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,397 · +14.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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