🏷️ Likely Rental
426 N 1st St · West Branch, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$183,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 units. Off street parking. Quiet dead end street location close to downtown. Main Floor unit has enclosed front porch. All 3 units currently occupied on month to month leases. New boiler 2025. Roof(2024)
Key facts
- New boiler
- Roof
- Off street parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $184k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($922/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (9.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $167k (9.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.3% in West Branch — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#29 in IA, #817 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- West Branch Community School District (rural): math 68% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #134 of 289 in IA (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 89 units permitted in Cedar County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cedar County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.79%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $254,094
- List price
- $183,900
- Delta
- -27.63%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-24,899
- Equity at exit
- $27,420
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-15,353
- Equity at exit
- $15,900
Cash invested: $51,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52358
- Home prices YoY
- -17.2%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,668 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$964
- Tax from tax record
- −$200 /mo · $2,402/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $77
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,975
- Closing costs
- $5,517
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $183,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $183,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $183,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $183,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $183,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $183,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $183,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $183,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $183,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $183,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $183,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $183,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $183,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $183,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $183,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $183,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $183,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-03-30$183,900 Active 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
3 units. Off street parking. Quiet dead end street location close to downtown. Main Floor unit has enclosed front porch. All 3 units currently occupied on month to month leases. New boiler 2025. Roof(2024)
-
2025-10-01$185,000 Active
-
2025-03-04$189,000 Active
-
2024-11-16price $189,000
-
2024-06-05$205,000 Active
-
2008-05-05soldstatus $366,000
-
2008-05-05soldstatus $366,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,402 · $200/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,645 · $220/mo
- Expected delta
- +$243/yr (+$20/mo · 10.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,020
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,301
- − Property taxes
- −$2,402
- − Insurance
- −$920
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,602
- − Management
- −$1,602
- − Depreciation
- −$5,350
- Taxable loss
- −$2,155
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$517
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,439/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Branch Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1930750
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,511
- Composite
- 59.92/100
- National rank
- #880
- State rank
- #134 of 289 in IA
Livability — West Branch
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #29
- US rank
- #817
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Branch, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,752
Population outlook (Cedar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,416 people
- By 2030
- 18,294 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 17,771 · -3.5%
- By 2050
- 16,841 · -8.6%
- By 2075
- 14,503 · -21.2%
- By 2100
- 11,301 · -38.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cedar
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.4% · R 60.1% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.6pp · 2024: -21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.8 2020: R+17.0 2016: R+18.1 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+9.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.15%
- Current HPI
- 221.5249
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-49.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Listed $183,900 ICAARMLS
- 2025-10-01 Listed $185,000 ICAARMLS
- 2025-03-04 Listed $189,000 ICAARMLS
- 2024-11-16 Price Changed $189,000 ICAARMLS
- 2024-06-05 Listed $205,000 ICAARMLS
- 2008-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $366,000 Public Records
- 2008-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $366,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,402 · -6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…