5 El Portal Ln · River Park, FL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Recently updated! New Kitchen New Roof Granite Countertops, Stainless Steel Appliances, New Wood Laminate Flooring. Accordion shutters, Large Walk-in Closet. Screened in Patio. Amenities: Clubhouse; Laundry Facility; Community Room; Fitness Center; Game Room; Golf Course; Library; Lobby; Picnic Area; Pool; Spa-Hot Tub; Tennis; Whirlpool; Workshop. A Must See! Call Spanish Lakes 772-878-2575 for park approval 772-878-5513 for questions about land lease. $709.81 for new buyer. Lot Rent
Key facts
- 2020 upgrades
- Ss appliances
- Granite counters
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets not allowed
- HOA & community: Senior community; Land lease: $898.77 monthly (lease in effect; expiration 03/28/2126)
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; Attached carport (1 covered space); Driveway with 1 open parking space
- Security: Security patrol
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Faces southeast; Resale condition
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Metal siding; 59-foot mobile; 1,400 living area (manufactured home), 1,600 building area total
- Exterior features: Not waterfront; Flat roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate; Other
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the carport
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $49k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $49k).
- Recommended offer: $46k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 37.9% vs local median 6.4% in River Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#451 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A-; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety D-.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Manatee Academy K-8 (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 1,664 students, 65% FRL); Southern Oaks Middle School (math 39% / reading 43%, grade F, #353 of 571 statewide, top 63%, 894 students, 76% FRL); Fort Pierce Central High School (math 15% / reading 45%, grade F, #441 of 667 statewide, top 67%, 3,091 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 645 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 37.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 112.93%
- DSCR
- 6.02
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $99,400
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Yolanda Ln | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,280 (-9%) | 5mo | $39,000 | $30 | 77 |
| 38 Alta Loma | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,433 (+2%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $126 | 75 |
| 8 S Alhambra Ln | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (0%) | 14mo | $100,000 | $71 | 66 |
| 8580 Mary Ann Ln | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,471 (+5%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $119 | 58 |
| 8591 Mary Ann Ln | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,354 (-3%) | 7mo | $75,000 | $55 | 58 |
| 2 Quintana Roo Ln | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 | 1,350 (-4%) | 21mo | $32,000 | $24 | 55 |
| 501 La Buona Vita Dr | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 | 1,289 (-8%) | 9mo | $132,000 | $102 | 53 |
| 23 San Pablo Ln | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-14%) | 13mo | $37,000 | $31 | 51 |
| 8636 Florence Dr | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 1,266 (-10%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $103 | 50 |
| 560 Natalie Dr | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-11%) | 18mo | $162,800 | $130 | 46 |
| 45 Mediterranean Blvd W | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-14%) | 24mo | $38,000 | $32 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.26×
- Total profit
- $72,108
- Equity at exit
- $7,306
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.65×
- Total profit
- $159,903
- Equity at exit
- $4,237
Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34952
- Home prices YoY
- -29.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 645
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,063 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$257
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$61 /mo · $735/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$433
- Net cashflow
- $1,291
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,325 | -5% $1,308 | +0% $1,291 | +5% $1,274 | +10% $1,257 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,128 | -5% $1,210 | +0% $1,291 | +5% $1,373 | +10% $1,454 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,316 | -0.5pp $1,304 | base $1,291 | +0.5pp $1,278 | +1.0pp $1,266 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,250
- Closing costs
- $1,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 730 SE White Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $10,000 | $7.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 124 E Arbor Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $2,550 | $2.65 | 15d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 805 SE Cavern Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1732 | $2,500 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 7700 Pine Lakes Blvd Port Saint Lucie, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1022 | $1,878 | $1.84 | 15d | 16 | 0.93mi |
| 1900 Bella Vista Way Port Saint Lucie, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 995 | $1,764 | $1.77 | 15d | 15 | 1.01mi |
| 400 NW Prima Vista Blvd Port St Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $2,300 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 326 Shady Ln Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $2,250 | $2.18 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 14 Lake Vista Trl #101 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $2,200 | $1.88 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 336 SE Tranquilla Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1412 | $2,700 | $1.91 | 15d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 11 Lake Vista Trl #206 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,400 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 650 SE Evergreen Ter Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 974 | $2,095 | $2.15 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 4 Lake Vista Trl #202 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,700 | $1.57 | 22d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 26 Lake Vista Trl #201 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,500 | $1.28 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2 Lake Vista Trl #107 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,850 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1 Lake Vista Trl #201 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,800 | $1.54 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 991 SE Walters Ter Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $8,500 | $8.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $49,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $49,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $49,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $49,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $49,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-04-24price $49,000
-
2026-03-28$60,000 Active
-
2023-02-02soldstatus $50,000 Closed 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
Recently updated! New Kitchen New Roof Granite Countertops, Stainless Steel Appliances, New Wood Laminate Flooring. Accordion shutters, Large Walk-in Closet. Screened in Patio. Amenities: Clubhouse; Laundry Facility; Community Room; Fitness Center; Game Room; Golf Course; Library; Lobby; Picnic Area; Pool; Spa-Hot Tub; Tennis; Whirlpool; Workshop. A Must See! Call Spanish Lakes 772-878-2575 for park approval 772-878-5513 for questions about land lease. $709.81 for new buyer. Lot Rent
-
2023-01-28status Pending 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
Recently updated! New Kitchen New Roof Granite Countertops, Stainless Steel Appliances, New Wood Laminate Flooring. Accordion shutters, Large Walk-in Closet. Screened in Patio. Amenities: Clubhouse; Laundry Facility; Community Room; Fitness Center; Game Room; Golf Course; Library; Lobby; Picnic Area; Pool; Spa-Hot Tub; Tennis; Whirlpool; Workshop. A Must See! Call Spanish Lakes 772-878-2575 for park approval 772-878-5513 for questions about land lease. $709.81 for new buyer. Lot Rent
-
2023-01-11price $59,900 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
Recently updated! New Kitchen New Roof Granite Countertops, Stainless Steel Appliances, New Wood Laminate Flooring. Accordion shutters, Large Walk-in Closet. Screened in Patio. Amenities: Clubhouse; Laundry Facility; Community Room; Fitness Center; Game Room; Golf Course; Library; Lobby; Picnic Area; Pool; Spa-Hot Tub; Tennis; Whirlpool; Workshop. A Must See! Call Spanish Lakes 772-878-2575 for park approval 772-878-5513 for questions about land lease. $709.81 for new buyer. Lot Rent
-
2022-12-16historical
-
2022-11-18$65,000 Active 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
Recently updated! New Kitchen New Roof Granite Countertops, Stainless Steel Appliances, New Wood Laminate Flooring. Accordion shutters, Large Walk-in Closet. Screened in Patio. Amenities: Clubhouse; Laundry Facility; Community Room; Fitness Center; Game Room; Golf Course; Library; Lobby; Picnic Area; Pool; Spa-Hot Tub; Tennis; Whirlpool; Workshop. A Must See! Call Spanish Lakes 772-878-2575 for park approval 772-878-5513 for questions about land lease. $709.81 for new buyer. Lot Rent
-
2022-10-12historical Active Under Contract
-
2022-10-12status Active
-
2022-10-08historical
-
2022-08-09status Active
-
2022-07-25historical Active Under Contract
-
2022-04-07$80,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,756
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,745
- − Property taxes
- −$735
- − Insurance
- −$245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,981
- − Management
- −$1,981
- − Depreciation
- −$1,425
- Taxable income
- $15,645
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,755
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,739/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in River Park, FL, is in good condition with recent updates and a prime location. It's move-in ready with a good condition score of 75.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Clean and maintain gutters — Prevents water damage and improves drainage
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Clean and maintain gutters — Prevents water damage and improves drainage ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — River Park
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #451
- US rank
- #8159
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- River Park, FL
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,655
- Household income
- $61,628
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1759.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -155.80%
- Current HPI
- 371.0573
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.92%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-38.8% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $49,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-28 Listed $60,000 Beaches MLS
- 2023-02-02 Sold (MLS) $50,000 MCRTC
- 2023-01-28 Pending — MCRTC
- 2023-01-11 Price Changed $59,900 MCRTC
- 2022-12-16 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2022-11-18 Listed $65,000 MCRTC
- 2022-10-12 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2022-10-12 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2022-10-08 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2022-08-09 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2022-07-25 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2022-04-07 Listed $80,000 Beaches MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…