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3664 Jacobs Ladder Rd 🌊 Lakefront
D Composite 41.32
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.7/10.0

$225,000

3664 Jacobs Ladder Rd · Lee, MA 01223
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,222 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1960 0.80 ac lot ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Enjoy life on Greenwater Pond in the Berkshires! The views, boating, fishing or just relax and at the end of the day watch the beautiful sunsets all from your little piece of lakefront heaven. I'll let the pictures speak for themselves. This property features a cottage with 3 Bedrooms, eat-in Kitchen and 1 full bath, a large barn and storage shed. Just about a 4 mile trip to the town of Lee and the entrance of the Mass Pike. Whether you're planning to move here or already call it home, you know why we love living in the Berkshires!

Key facts

  • Lakefront
  • Boating
  • Cottage

Tags

LAKEFRONTBOATINGFISHINGCOTTAGELARGE BARNSTORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: 100 Amp electric service with circuit breakers; Private sewer
  • Home design: Fixer condition
  • Construction: Metal roof; Total building area 1222
  • Exterior features: Barn/Stable; Outbuilding; Frontage on water; Motorized vehicles allowed on waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes kitchen; specific bedroom locations not provided)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 0 half bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Has heating
  • Interior features: Bay/Bow window
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-301 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $172k (23.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (33.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (33.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.1% in Lee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#88 in MA, #4,582 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F.
  • Central Berkshire (rural): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #206 of 302 in MA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Becket Washington School (math 34% / reading 54%, grade F, #421 of 938 statewide, top 48%, 100 students, 0% FRL); Nessacus Regional Middle School (math 27% / reading 44%, grade F, #175 of 305 statewide, top 58%, 345 students, 0% FRL); Wahconah Regional High (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #157 of 343 statewide, top 47%, 485 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 26% district-wide (26 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 130 units permitted in Berkshire County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Berkshire County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,214 (33.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.67%
Cap rate
5.04%
Cash-on-cash
-4.46%
DSCR
0.80
GRM
12.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$43,992
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3650 Jacobs Ladder Rd 0.04mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,176 (-4%) 1mo $42,500 $36 86

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$103,360
Equity at exit
$202,698
10-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
6.07×
Total profit
$319,411
Equity at exit
$437,126

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Massachusetts
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Cambridge / Boston historically rent-controlled (preempted 1994 but consideration ongoing); strong tenant protections; court backlogs.

ZIP-level market 01223

Home prices YoY
6.8%
Active inventory
73
Price-to-rent
12.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,502 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$147 /mo · $1,769/yr
Insurance
$94
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$-301

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,883
Max offer price $171,852
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 537-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $225,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,769 · $147/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,268 · $189/mo
Expected delta
+$499/yr (+$42/mo · 28.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X · 100% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,026
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$1,769
− Insurance
−$1,922
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,442
− Management
−$1,442
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$7,699
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,848
After-tax cash flow
$-1,763/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Central Berkshire
NCES district ID
2503390
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$58,145
Composite
34.8/100
National rank
#5108
State rank
#206 of 302 in MA

Livability — Lee

Score
74/100
State rank
#88
US rank
#4582

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living C- Crime B+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,588

Population outlook (Berkshire County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
119,723 people
By 2030
114,608 · -4.3%
By 2040
102,806 · -14.1%
By 2050
91,305 · -23.7%
By 2075
71,517 · -40.3%
By 2100
57,988 · -51.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 10% Romanian 6% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5%
Languages at home
93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Berkshire

2024 margin
Solid D (+39.9) · D 68.9% · R 29.0% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-12.5pp toward R · 2008: 52.4pp · 2024: 39.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+39.9 2020: D+47.1 2016: D+41.5 2012: D+53.7 2008: D+52.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 19.33%
Current HPI
305.8977
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.28%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $225,000 BCMLS
  • 2009-05-06 Listing Removed BCMLS
  • 2008-10-01 Listed $269,900 BCMLS
  • 2008-09-04 Listing Removed BCMLS
  • 2007-10-04 Listed $269,900 BCMLS

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2023): $1,769 · +35.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…