139 W Second St · Waynesboro, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! This 3 bedroom 1 bath townhouse features: living room; dining room; kitchen with decent cabinets; 2 bedrooms on second floor; full bath with tub-shower; finished attic/3rd bedroom; main floor laundry; back porch; back yard; updated gas furnace; updated water heater; replacement windows; inexpensive property taxes; and more. Conveniently location in the Borough of Waynesboro.
Key facts
- Finished attic
- Living room
- Main floor laundry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Not in a federal flood zone; Pets allowed with no pet restrictions
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas heating fuel; Electric hot water; 100 Amp electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: End of row/townhouse; Estimated year built
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Stone foundation; Architectural shingle roof; Double-hung replacement double-pane windows
- Exterior features: Rear yard; Rear fencing; Porch(es)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range/oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Attic; Tub with shower; Carpeted areas; Dining area; Formal separate dining room
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer on the main floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $360 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.8% in Waynesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#280 in PA, #2,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, commute F.
- Waynesboro Area SD (town): math 36% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #283 of 539 in PA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Waynesboro Area Shs (math 69% / reading 24%, grade D-, #173 of 437 statewide, top 40%, 1,439 students, 47% FRL).
- Market conditions: 230 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.87%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $140,358
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 286 W Second St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (+7%) | 8mo | $136,375 | $135 | 69 |
| 113 E North St | 0.46mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 936 (-1%) | 11mo | $165,000 | $176 | 62 |
| 290 W 2nd St #19 | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,082 (+15%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $111 | 58 |
| 276 W W Second St #276 | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (+7%) | 21mo | $125,000 | $124 | 58 |
| 284 W Second St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (+7%) | 23mo | $113,500 | $113 | 56 |
| 272 W Second St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 828 (-12%) | 16mo | $123,500 | $149 | 54 |
| 273 Park St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,039 (+10%) | 21mo | $185,000 | $178 | 51 |
| 618 W Third St #71 | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,020 (+8%) | 24mo | $259,900 | $255 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,831
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $30,990
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17268
- Active inventory
- 230
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,482 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $903/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $360
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 E North St Unit 2 Waynesboro, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,080 | $1.44 | 13d | 1 | 0.41mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $130,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $140,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $140,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $140,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $140,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-30remarks 401-char remark
-
2026-05-30$140,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $903 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,478 · $123/mo
- Expected delta
- +$576/yr (+$48/mo · 63.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,789
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$903
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,423
- − Management
- −$1,423
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $2,326
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$558
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,762/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waynesboro Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4225110
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,445
- Composite
- 37.79/100
- National rank
- #4342
- State rank
- #283 of 539 in PA
Livability — Waynesboro
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #280
- US rank
- #2482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waynesboro, PA
- County
- Franklin County · 56,916 people
- City population
- 29,362
- Metro
- Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,362
- Household income
- $73,161
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 539.0
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 157,827 people
- By 2030
- 158,933 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 159,060 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 155,132 · -1.7%
- By 2075
- 138,545 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 112,321 · -28.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.0) · D 28.1% · R 71.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -32.6pp · 2024: -43.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.0 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+32.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -113.20%
- Current HPI
- 189.6931
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+10.1%/yrLatest (2026): $903 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…